Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Wednesday, April 29, 2026)?

Tyler Glasnow (LAD) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 5.9 K against MIA. A 29% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 21% of the time.

What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?

The top projected-K starts on Wednesday, April 29, 2026: Tyler Glasnow (~5.9 K), Tarik Skubal (~5.4 K), Yusei Kikuchi (~5.8 K), Gavin Williams (~5.7 K), Taj Bradley (~5.9 K). The full board ranks every starter.

How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?

It pairs each starter's strikeout rate (K/BF) with the strikeout rate of every hitter he faces, hand by hand, the log5 way — then scales by his expected batters faced (how deep he goes) and his command (K-BB%). Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside.

Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?

Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.

What's the projected strikeout number?

A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.

Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.

What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?

Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.

Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?

A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.

What's the confidence meter?

How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.

Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?

Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)

Are these confirmed or projected lineups?

Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.

Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Strikeouts Board · Archive

Best MLB strikeouts matchups — Wednesday, April 29, 2026

Every starting pitcher on the Wednesday, April 29, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by strikeout upside against today's lineup. Whiff rate, the bats he's facing, how deep he goes, and command. Higher means more K's. Results show how each start played out.

Final · 1–3

TBaway

CLEhomeTop matchup67 Final · 2–3

LAAaway

CWShomeTop matchup75 Final · 5–3

SEAaway

MINhomeTop matchup67 Final · 0–3

NYYaway

TEXhomeTop matchup61 Final · 1–8

BOSaway

TORhomeTop matchup33 Final · 3–2

MIAaway

LADhomeTop matchup100 Final · 5–4

CHCaway

SDhomeTop matchup38 Final · 13–2

COLaway

CINhomeTop matchup36 Final · 5–4

STLaway

PIThomeTop matchup45 Final · 14–2

WSHaway

NYMhomeTop matchup39 Final · 3–4

DETaway

ATLhomeTop matchup83 Final · 6–2

AZaway

MILhomeTop matchup31 Final · 2–5

KCaway

ATHhomeTop matchup38

#Pitcher · MatchupScore

Pitcher Strikeout Rate28.6% K/BF

vs LHB26.2%

vs RHB28.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)21.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.9 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.7% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Jakob Marsee (L)19.8%3.0

2. Kyle Stowers (L)22.9%3.0

3. Otto Lopez (R)21.3%3.0

4. Xavier Edwards (L)14.5%3.0

5. Liam Hicks (L)14.9%3.0

6. Connor Norby (R)28.6%2.4

7. Javier Sanoja (R)15.7%2.0

8. Graham Pauley (L)24.0%2.0

9. Esteury Ruiz (R)24.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate27.0% K/BF

vs LHB23.7%

vs RHB27.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)21.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.3 BF

Expected batters faced23.3

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness19.9% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)22.3%3.0

2. Drake Baldwin (L)17.3%3.0

3. Ozzie Albies (R)14.3%3.0

4. Matt Olson (L)22.5%3.0

5. Austin Riley (R)19.0%3.0

6. Mauricio Dubón (R)18.9%2.3

7. Michael Harris II (L)19.3%2.0

8. Mike Yastrzemski (L)23.4%2.0

9. Reynaldo López (R)22.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate24.5% K/BF

vs LHB24.4%

vs RHB23.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.5% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Chase Meidroth (R)20.1%3.0

2. Miguel Vargas (R)17.3%3.0

3. Munetaka Murakami (L)29.0%3.0

4. Austin Hays (R)24.1%3.0

5. Colson Montgomery (L)26.2%2.6

6. Edgar Quero (R)20.3%2.0

7. Tristan Peters (L)24.4%2.0

8. Jarred Kelenic (L)28.3%2.0

9. Sam Antonacci (L)21.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate26.7% K/BF

vs LHB26.9%

vs RHB24.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.4%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.3 BF

Expected batters faced23.3

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.7% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Chandler Simpson (L)14.0%3.0

2. Ben Williamson (R)20.9%3.0

3. Jonathan Aranda (L)21.6%3.0

4. Yandy Díaz (R)15.2%3.0

5. Jake Fraley (L)22.2%3.0

6. Cedric Mullins (L)22.4%2.3

7. Richie Palacios (L)19.6%2.0

8. Hunter Feduccia (L)25.8%2.0

9. Taylor Walls (L)24.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.1% K/BF

vs LHB25.0%

vs RHB19.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.1%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.9 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness24.2% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. J.P. Crawford (L)19.4%3.0

2. Cal Raleigh (L)26.3%3.0

3. Julio Rodríguez (R)22.0%3.0

4. Josh Naylor (L)17.7%3.0

5. Randy Arozarena (R)24.5%3.0

6. Luke Raley (L)29.2%2.6

7. Leo Rivas (L)26.2%2.0

8. Cole Young (L)22.8%2.0

9. Will Wilson (R)29.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.6% K/BF

vs LHB18.9%

vs RHB24.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.7% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Trent Grisham (L)19.2%3.0

2. Ben Rice (L)21.9%3.0

3. Aaron Judge (R)23.7%3.0

4. Cody Bellinger (L)17.7%3.0

5. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)26.6%3.0

6. Max Schuemann (R)23.8%2.6

7. J.C. Escarra (L)24.6%2.0

8. Ryan McMahon (L)26.8%2.0

9. José Caballero (R)20.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.8% K/BF

vs LHB19.7%

vs RHB21.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.6%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.1 BF

Expected batters faced24.1

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.1% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Byron Buxton (R)25.7%3.0

2. Austin Martin (R)20.8%3.0

3. Josh Bell (L)18.6%3.0

4. James Outman (L)25.4%3.0

5. Kody Clemens (L)24.8%3.0

6. Luke Keaschall (R)19.3%3.0

7. Victor Caratini (L)20.5%2.1

8. Brooks Lee (L)19.0%2.0

9. Royce Lewis (R)24.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate22.0% K/BF

vs LHB22.0%

vs RHB22.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.6% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Sam Haggerty (L)24.1%3.0

2. Josh Jung (R)20.2%3.0

3. Corey Seager (L)21.6%3.0

4. Joc Pederson (L)24.1%3.0

5. Jake Burger (R)26.8%3.0

6. Evan Carter (L)21.0%2.0

7. Kyle Higashioka (R)24.2%2.0

8. Alejandro Osuna (L)20.1%2.0

9. Ezequiel Duran (R)21.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.8% K/BF

vs LHB24.3%

vs RHB22.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.7 BF

Expected batters faced21.7

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.1% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Steven Kwan (L)15.4%3.0

2. Chase DeLauter (L)14.8%3.0

3. José Ramírez (L)15.9%3.0

4. Kyle Manzardo (L)28.6%2.7

5. Daniel Schneemann (L)25.7%2.0

6. Angel Martínez (L)25.4%2.0

7. Travis Bazzana (L)22.2%2.0

8. Bo Naylor (L)24.4%2.0

9. Brayan Rocchio (L)17.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate23.7% K/BF

vs LHB23.3%

vs RHB22.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.1%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.3 BF

Expected batters faced23.3

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.0% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Kevin McGonigle (L)16.6%3.0

2. Gleyber Torres (R)18.1%3.0

3. Colt Keith (L)20.9%3.0

4. Riley Greene (L)24.0%3.0

5. Dillon Dingler (R)18.8%3.0

6. Matt Vierling (R)21.0%2.3

7. Spencer Torkelson (R)26.8%2.0

8. Wenceel Pérez (L)18.8%2.0

9. Jahmai Jones (R)24.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.9% K/BF

vs LHB20.4%

vs RHB21.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.4% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Oneil Cruz (L)29.4%3.0

2. Nick Yorke (R)20.7%3.0

3. Bryan Reynolds (L)23.8%3.0

4. Ryan O'Hearn (L)20.1%3.0

5. Marcell Ozuna (R)27.8%2.9

6. Nick Gonzales (R)17.4%2.0

7. Billy Cook (R)25.9%2.0

8. Konnor Griffin (R)23.9%2.0

9. Henry Davis (R)21.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate24.6% K/BF

vs LHB24.4%

vs RHB22.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.4 BF

Expected batters faced21.4

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.3% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Bo Bichette (R)20.4%3.0

2. Juan Soto (L)17.0%3.0

3. Austin Slater (R)23.1%3.0

4. Francisco Alvarez (R)21.1%2.4

5. Brett Baty (L)24.1%2.0

6. Tyrone Taylor (R)21.8%2.0

7. Carson Benge (L)18.0%2.0

8. Luis Torrens (R)21.4%2.0

9. Ronny Mauricio (L)24.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.8% K/BF

vs LHB21.4%

vs RHB22.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.7% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Nick Kurtz (L)26.0%3.0

2. Shea Langeliers (R)21.0%3.0

3. Carlos Cortes (L)14.8%3.0

4. Brent Rooker (R)25.1%3.0

5. Jacob Wilson (R)14.3%3.0

6. Jeff McNeil (L)16.2%2.6

7. Zack Gelof (R)25.4%2.0

8. Lawrence Butler (L)24.8%2.0

9. Darell Hernaiz (R)18.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.6% K/BF

vs LHB21.3%

vs RHB20.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.9% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Jackson Merrill (L)24.1%3.0

2. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)23.0%3.0

3. Manny Machado (R)21.2%3.0

4. Xander Bogaerts (R)19.0%3.0

5. Ty France (R)15.9%3.0

6. Ramón Laureano (R)28.9%2.1

7. Jake Cronenworth (L)21.0%2.0

8. Freddy Fermin (R)20.8%2.0

9. Bryce Johnson (L)23.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate18.3% K/BF

vs LHB18.9%

vs RHB19.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.8% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. TJ Friedl (L)20.8%3.0

2. Matt McLain (R)26.3%3.0

3. Elly De La Cruz (L)25.9%3.0

4. Sal Stewart (R)20.8%3.0

5. Tyler Stephenson (R)28.6%2.5

6. Will Benson (L)24.7%2.0

7. JJ Bleday (L)21.2%2.0

8. Rece Hinds (R)26.1%2.0

9. Ke'Bryan Hayes (R)20.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.2% K/BF

vs LHB19.3%

vs RHB22.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.5% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. JJ Wetherholt (L)19.0%3.0

2. Iván Herrera (R)18.2%3.0

3. Alec Burleson (L)18.2%3.0

4. Jordan Walker (R)28.5%3.0

5. Nolan Gorman (L)26.5%2.5

6. Masyn Winn (R)22.9%2.0

7. Nathan Church (L)22.7%2.0

8. Ramón Urías (R)19.8%2.0

9. Victor Scott II (L)26.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate16.6% K/BF

vs LHB16.0%

vs RHB20.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.8%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.6% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Zach Neto (R)27.7%3.0

2. Mike Trout (R)20.7%3.0

3. Oswald Peraza (R)24.5%3.0

4. Bryce Teodosio (R)24.8%3.0

5. Jo Adell (R)24.7%2.5

6. Josh Lowe (L)24.9%2.0

7. Vaughn Grissom (R)18.8%2.0

8. Sebastián Rivero (R)21.1%2.0

9. Adam Frazier (L)25.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.9% K/BF

vs LHB22.4%

vs RHB19.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.1%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.2% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Maikel Garcia (R)19.8%3.0

2. Bobby Witt Jr. (R)18.9%3.0

3. Carter Jensen (L)25.7%3.0

4. Salvador Perez (R)22.1%3.0

5. Michael Massey (L)18.8%2.9

6. Isaac Collins (L)26.0%2.0

7. Jac Caglianone (L)25.6%2.0

8. Lane Thomas (R)21.3%2.0

9. Kyle Isbel (L)22.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate20.0% K/BF

vs LHB23.0%

vs RHB19.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.5%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.1 BF

Expected batters faced22.1

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.8% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Roman Anthony (L)24.1%3.0

2. Willson Contreras (R)25.0%3.0

3. Wilyer Abreu (L)17.9%3.0

4. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)26.0%3.0

5. Trevor Story (R)27.6%2.1

6. Jarren Duran (L)22.1%2.0

7. Connor Wong (R)21.9%2.0

8. Marcelo Mayer (L)21.3%2.0

9. Caleb Durbin (R)19.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate21.6% K/BF

vs LHB20.9%

vs RHB22.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.5 BF

Expected batters faced21.5

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.2% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Geraldo Perdomo (L)18.0%3.0

2. Ketel Marte (L)18.4%3.0

3. Corbin Carroll (L)26.3%3.0

4. Adrian Del Castillo (L)23.8%2.5

5. Ildemaro Vargas (L)15.3%2.0

6. Jorge Barrosa (L)28.8%2.0

7. Nolan Arenado (R)19.3%2.0

8. Jose Fernandez (R)21.4%2.0

9. Alek Thomas (L)19.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.3% K/BF

vs LHB22.0%

vs RHB19.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.2%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.1 BF

Expected batters faced22.1

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness22.8% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. James Wood (L)26.6%3.0

2. Curtis Mead (R)21.6%3.0

3. Brady House (R)25.2%3.0

4. José Tena (L)21.7%3.0

5. Jacob Young (R)20.5%2.1

6. Daylen Lile (L)21.4%2.0

7. Joey Wiemer (R)27.1%2.0

8. Nasim Nuñez (R)22.9%2.0

9. Keibert Ruiz (R)18.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate19.0% K/BF

vs LHB19.4%

vs RHB20.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.4 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.4% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Nico Hoerner (R)13.5%3.0

2. Moisés Ballesteros (L)18.1%3.0

3. Alex Bregman (R)17.1%3.0

4. Ian Happ (L)25.1%3.0

5. Michael Busch (L)25.1%3.0

6. Michael Conforto (L)23.6%2.1

7. Matt Shaw (R)21.3%2.0

8. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)26.0%2.0

9. Miguel Amaya (R)22.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate18.1% K/BF

vs LHB21.9%

vs RHB17.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)6.6%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness21.8% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Tyler Black (L)21.1%3.0

2. Brice Turang (L)23.0%3.0

3. William Contreras (R)20.1%3.0

4. Jake Bauers (L)22.3%3.0

5. Gary Sánchez (R)22.3%3.0

6. Luis Rengifo (R)19.8%2.4

7. Garrett Mitchell (L)25.4%2.0

8. Sal Frelick (L)20.6%2.0

9. David Hamilton (L)21.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate17.3% K/BF

vs LHB17.2%

vs RHB19.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.4%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload25.0 BF

Expected batters faced25.0

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.8% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Shohei Ohtani (L)24.8%3.0

2. Freddie Freeman (L)15.9%3.0

3. Andy Pages (R)21.3%3.0

4. Kyle Tucker (L)20.2%3.0

5. Will Smith (R)18.7%3.0

6. Miguel Rojas (R)18.1%3.0

7. Hyeseong Kim (L)21.5%3.0

8. Alex Call (R)19.5%2.0

9. Alex Freeland (L)27.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate17.3% K/BF

vs LHB16.6%

vs RHB20.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.3%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.0 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness20.7% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Ernie Clement (R)14.5%3.0

2. Jesús Sánchez (L)19.9%3.0

3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)17.0%3.0

4. Kazuma Okamoto (R)28.8%3.0

5. Daulton Varsho (L)22.8%3.0

6. George Springer (R)21.8%2.0

7. Myles Straw (R)17.0%2.0

8. Andrés Giménez (L)18.9%2.0

9. Brandon Valenzuela (L)26.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher Strikeout Rate16.6% K/BF

vs LHB23.5%

vs RHB15.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)2.7%

How often he strikes out the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the strikeout-count multiplier.

Projection4.3 K

Expected strikeouts — each lineup spot's strikeout probability (his rate × the hitter's rate, combined via log5) summed across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-Proneness23.8% avg

BatterK rateExp PA

1. Jordan Beck (R)21.6%3.0

2. Brenton Doyle (R)23.0%3.0

3. TJ Rumfield (L)19.1%3.0

4. Hunter Goodman (R)28.4%3.0

5. Willi Castro (R)24.4%2.8

6. Brett Sullivan (L)20.5%2.0

7. Kyle Karros (R)21.9%2.0

8. Ezequiel Tovar (R)28.9%2.0

9. Mickey Moniak (L)26.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeout rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Best MLB Strikeout Pitcher Matchups — Wednesday, April 29, 2026

Tyler Glasnow (LAD) is the top strikeout start on the Wednesday, April 29, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 5.9 K, with Tarik Skubal (DET) right behind. Every starter on the slate is ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his whiff rate, the lineup he's facing, how deep he goes, and his command. It's the same read DFS and strikeout-prop players make before lock.

Top strikeout spot: Tyler Glasnow

Tyler Glasnow (LAD) is the best strikeout matchup on the board at 100, projected for about 5.9 K against MIA. He's missing bats at a 29% clip — strikeouts per batter faced — and MIA has been around league average, going down 21% of the time. He's lined up for about 23 batters, so the volume's there for a big number.

The rest of the top of the board

Tarik Skubal (DET) (83) — about 5.4 K vs ATL: a 27% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 20% of the time.
Yusei Kikuchi (LAA) (75) — about 5.8 K vs CWS: a 24% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 23% of the time.
Gavin Williams (CLE) (67) — about 5.7 K vs TB: a 27% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 21% of the time.
Taj Bradley (MIN) (67) — about 5.9 K vs SEA: a 22% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 24% of the time.
Nathan Eovaldi (TEX) (61) — about 5.0 K vs NYY: a 21% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 23% of the time.

Whiffiest lineups to attack today

SEA is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Taj Bradley is the arm to exploit it (67).
CIN is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Tomoyuki Sugano is the arm to exploit it (36).
COL is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Brandon Williamson is the arm to exploit it (0).
LAA is striking out 24% of the time in this spot — Erick Fedde is the arm to exploit it (35).

How it played out

The top 10 starts averaged 5.8 strikeouts. Top play Tyler Glasnow punched out 9. We grade every projection against the box score so you can see how the board held up.

How to read these strikeout matchups

Each starter's score (0–100) blends his strikeout rate against every hitter in the lineup — hand by hand, combined the log5 way — then scales by how deep he's been going (expected batters faced) and his command (K-BB%). Higher means more whiffs point his way. We project a strikeout count and grade every start against what actually happened.

Keep reading

Frequently asked questions

Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Wednesday, April 29, 2026)?: Tyler Glasnow (LAD) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 5.9 K against MIA. A 29% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 21% of the time.
What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?: The top projected-K starts on Wednesday, April 29, 2026: Tyler Glasnow (~5.9 K), Tarik Skubal (~5.4 K), Yusei Kikuchi (~5.8 K), Gavin Williams (~5.7 K), Taj Bradley (~5.9 K). The full board ranks every starter.
How many strikeouts did the top matchup get on Wednesday, April 29, 2026?: Tyler Glasnow punched out 9.
How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?: It pairs each starter's strikeout rate (K/BF) with the strikeout rate of every hitter he faces, hand by hand, the log5 way — then scales by his expected batters faced (how deep he goes) and his command (K-BB%). Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside.
Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?: Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.
What's the projected strikeout number?: A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.
What does K/BF mean?: Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.
What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?: Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.
Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?: A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.
What's the confidence meter?: How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.
Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?: Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)
Are these confirmed or projected lineups?: Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.