Best MLB Total Bases Matchups — Wednesday, June 17, 2026
Top total bases spot: Dillon Dingler
Dillon Dingler (DET) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Peter Lambert. The righty is racking up bases at .511 TB/PA against righties this year — and .821 over the last two weeks, an excellent bat that turns into a total base in about 51% of his trips. And Peter Lambert has been getting squared up by righties lately — .588 total bases per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Peter Lambert. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- James Wood (WSH) (83) vs RHP Luinder Avila: a strong bat at .445 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.500), hot bat.
- Brandon Lowe (PIT) (83) vs RHP Aaron Civale: a strong bat at .439 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Jackson Chourio (MIL) (82) vs RHP Gavin Williams: an excellent bat at .482 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) (80) vs LHP Anthony Kay: an excellent bat at .507 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hot bat.
- Luis García Jr. (WSH) (79) vs RHP Luinder Avila: a strong bat at .450 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.500).
- Liam Hicks (MIA) (79) vs RHP Andrew Painter: a strong bat at .425 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.745), hot bat.
- Nick Kurtz (ATH) (79) vs RHP Braxton Ashcraft: a strong bat at .458 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.450), hot bat.
Arms giving up extra bases today
- RHP Andrew Painter has been getting squared up by righties — .486 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Liam Hicks (MIA), Otto Lopez (MIA), and Xavier Edwards (MIA).
- RHP Peter Lambert has been getting squared up by righties — .457 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Dillon Dingler (DET), Spencer Torkelson (DET), and Kerry Carpenter (DET).
- RHP Aaron Civale has been getting squared up by righties — .446 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Brandon Lowe (PIT), Spencer Horwitz (PIT), and Ryan O'Hearn (PIT).
- RHP Zack Littell has been getting squared up by righties — .428 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Jac Caglianone (KC), Lane Thomas (KC), and Bobby Witt Jr. (KC).
Platoon edges to target
- James Wood (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .474 against righties this year.
- Brandon Lowe (PIT) — lefty bat vs RHP, .507 against righties this year.
- Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) — righty bat vs LHP, .653 against lefties this year.
- Luis García Jr. (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .436 against righties this year.
- Liam Hicks (MIA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .457 against righties this year.
Lineup watch
252 of today's hitters are still on projected lineups, drawn from each team's last game. Batting order drives the score, so these flip the moment official lineups post — usually about two hours before first pitch. Anyone who doesn't make the official card gets flagged "Not starting" and drops to the bottom.
How to read these total bases matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's total bases per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.