Best MLB Total Bases Matchups — Thursday, June 18, 2026
Top total bases spot: Kody Clemens
Kody Clemens (MIN) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Jack Leiter. The lefty is racking up bases at .467 TB/PA against righties this year — and 1.000 over the last two weeks, an excellent bat that turns into a total base in about 53% of his trips. And Jack Leiter has been getting squared up by righties lately — .529 total bases per batter faced. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .000 in 2 career PA against Jack Leiter, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Randal Grichuk (CWS) (98) vs LHP Ryan Weathers: a strong bat at .475 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.639).
- Byron Buxton (MIN) (97) vs RHP Jack Leiter: an excellent bat at .511 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.714), hot bat.
- Ben Rice (NYY) (95) vs RHP Sean Burke: a strong bat at .460 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.481).
- Bo Bichette (NYM) (94) vs RHP Aaron Nola: a strong bat at .445 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.571), hot bat.
- Nick Kurtz (ATH) (93) vs RHP Ryan Johnson: a strong bat at .475 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hot bat.
- Chase Meidroth (CWS) (90) vs LHP Ryan Weathers: a strong bat at .427 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.639).
- Dominic Canzone (SEA) (88) vs RHP Shane Baz: an excellent bat at .496 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.650), hot bat.
Arms giving up extra bases today
- LHP Ryan Weathers has been getting squared up by lefties — .434 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Randal Grichuk (CWS), Chase Meidroth (CWS), and Miguel Vargas (CWS).
- LHP Matthew Liberatore has been getting squared up by lefties — .427 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Bobby Witt Jr. (KC), Jac Caglianone (KC), and Lane Thomas (KC).
- RHP Ryan Johnson has been getting squared up by righties — .425 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Nick Kurtz (ATH), Zack Gelof (ATH), and Tyler Soderstrom (ATH).
- RHP Aaron Nola has been getting squared up by righties — .420 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Bo Bichette (NYM), Juan Soto (NYM), and Jared Young (NYM).
Platoon edges to target
- Kody Clemens (MIN) — lefty bat vs RHP, .467 against righties this year.
- Randal Grichuk (CWS) — righty bat vs LHP, .603 against lefties this year.
- Ben Rice (NYY) — lefty bat vs RHP, .553 against righties this year.
- Nick Kurtz (ATH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .455 against righties this year.
- Chase Meidroth (CWS) — righty bat vs LHP, .500 against lefties this year.
Lineup watch
18 of today's hitters are still on projected lineups, drawn from each team's last game. Batting order drives the score, so these flip the moment official lineups post — usually about two hours before first pitch. Anyone who doesn't make the official card gets flagged "Not starting" and drops to the bottom.
How it played out
4 of the top 10 total bases matchups landed at least one total base. Top play Kody Clemens finished with 1 total base. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these total bases matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's total bases per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.