Best MLB Total Bases Matchups — Friday, June 19, 2026
Top total bases spot: Freddie Freeman
Freddie Freeman (LAD) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Trey Gibson. The lefty is racking up bases at .457 TB/PA against righties this year — and .513 over the last two weeks, a strong bat that turns into a total base in about 43% of his trips. And Trey Gibson has been getting squared up by righties lately — .438 total bases per batter faced. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Trey Gibson. It all sets up in a neutral park, weather helping.
The rest of the top of the board
- Zach Neto (LAA) (100) vs LHP Jeffrey Springs: a solid bat at .413 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.793).
- Pete Alonso (BAL) (94) vs RHP Roki Sasaki: a strong bat at .429 into an arm giving up bases to the same side (.364).
- Nick Kurtz (ATH) (93) vs RHP José Soriano: an excellent bat at .481 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.457), hot bat.
- Kody Clemens (MIN) (92) vs RHP Michael Soroka: an excellent bat at .513 into an arm tough on the same side (.259).
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) (91) vs RHP Kevin Gausman: an elite bat at .550 into an arm giving up bases to the same side (.367), hot bat.
- Alec Burleson (STL) (90) vs RHP Seth Lugo: an excellent bat at .538 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.750).
- Jo Adell (LAA) (88) vs LHP Jeffrey Springs: a solid bat at .407 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.793), due to bounce back.
Arms giving up extra bases today
- LHP Jeffrey Springs has been getting squared up by lefties — .472 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Zach Neto (LAA), Jo Adell (LAA), and Oswald Peraza (LAA).
- RHP Randy Vásquez has been getting squared up by righties — .436 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Josh Jung (TEX), Wyatt Langford (TEX), and Joc Pederson (TEX).
- LHP Brandon Eisert has been getting squared up by lefties — .429 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Kevin McGonigle (DET), Dillon Dingler (DET), and Riley Greene (DET).
- RHP Seth Lugo has been getting squared up by righties — .426 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Alec Burleson (STL), JJ Wetherholt (STL), and Jordan Walker (STL).
Platoon edges to target
- Freddie Freeman (LAD) — lefty bat vs RHP, .457 against righties this year.
- Zach Neto (LAA) — righty bat vs LHP, .379 against lefties this year.
- Nick Kurtz (ATH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .457 against righties this year.
- Kody Clemens (MIN) — lefty bat vs RHP, .460 against righties this year.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .472 against righties this year.
Best parks for total bases today
Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% extra-base park). Top bat there: Ryan O'Hearn (PIT) at 70.
How it played out
7 of the top 10 total bases matchups landed at least one total base. Top play Freddie Freeman finished with 0 total bases. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these total bases matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's total bases per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.