MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Home Runs · Saturday, March 28, 2026

CLE @ SEA Home Runs matchups · Saturday, March 28, 2026

CLE
CLE
Cleveland Guardians
65
Final
SEA
Seattle Mariners
SEA
T-Mobile ParkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 405 ft 53°F Partly CloudyWind 6 mph, In From LF

CLE CLE Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.032620 BF
wOBA allowed.263
Hard-Hit %30%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.034583 BF
wOBA allowed.247
Hard-Hit %27%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA
Season.0008 PA
Last 2 Years.023858 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.032620 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L7–6
ERA4.17
WHIP1.03
IP99.1
H / K / BB83 / 97 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05357 PA
Season.05357 PA
Last 2 Years.0323575 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -8%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.323
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.281
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.106

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

MGMBetMGM+1200
BOVBovada+1200
CZRCaesars+1100
BRBetRivers+1000
BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Steven Kwan's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.042

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.3758 PA
Season.3758 PA
Last 2 Years.3758 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.032620 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L7–6
ERA4.17
WHIP1.03
IP99.1
H / K / BB83 / 97 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05357 PA
Season.05357 PA
Last 2 Years.0323575 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.332
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.281
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.181

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

MGMBetMGM+525
CZRCaesars+525
BOLBetOnline+500
BRBetRivers+500
BOVBovada+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Chase DeLauter's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA
Season.0008 PA
Last 2 Years.050988 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.032620 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L7–6
ERA4.17
WHIP1.03
IP99.1
H / K / BB83 / 97 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05357 PA
Season.05357 PA
Last 2 Years.0323575 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.323
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.281
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.400
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.151

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

MGMBetMGM+575
BOVBovada+550
CZRCaesars+475
BOLBetOnline+450
BRBetRivers+425

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

José Ramírez's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA
Season.0007 PA
Last 2 Years.047579 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.032620 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L7–6
ERA4.17
WHIP1.03
IP99.1
H / K / BB83 / 97 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05357 PA
Season.05357 PA
Last 2 Years.0323575 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.319
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.281
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.143

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

MGMBetMGM+625
BOVBovada+600
CZRCaesars+475
BRBetRivers+430
BOLBetOnline+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Kyle Manzardo's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.026264 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.034583 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L7–6
ERA4.17
WHIP1.03
IP99.1
H / K / BB83 / 97 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.00018 PA
Last 2 Years.0263943 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.305
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.270
Hard-Hit % Allowed29%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.102

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

MGMBetMGM+900
BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

David Fry's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA
Season.0002 PA
Last 2 Years.029547 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.032620 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L7–6
ERA4.17
WHIP1.03
IP99.1
H / K / BB83 / 97 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05357 PA
Season.05357 PA
Last 2 Years.0323575 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -10%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.310
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.281
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.116

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

BRBetRivers+1000
BOVBovada+900
CZRCaesars+850
MGMBetMGM+800
BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Daniel Schneemann's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.0001 PA
Last 2 Years.020441 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.032620 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L7–6
ERA4.17
WHIP1.03
IP99.1
H / K / BB83 / 97 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05357 PA
Season.05357 PA
Last 2 Years.0323575 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.298
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.281
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.095

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs4 books

MGMBetMGM+1050
CZRCaesars+850
BRBetRivers+800
BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Angel Martínez's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0004 PA
Season.0004 PA
Last 2 Years.025120 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.032620 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L7–6
ERA4.17
WHIP1.03
IP99.1
H / K / BB83 / 97 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05357 PA
Season.05357 PA
Last 2 Years.0323575 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.281
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.112

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

CJ Kayfus's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.0006 PA
Last 2 Years.012590 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.032620 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L7–6
ERA4.17
WHIP1.03
IP99.1
H / K / BB83 / 97 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05357 PA
Season.05357 PA
Last 2 Years.0323575 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.307
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.281
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.084

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

BOVBovada+1400
MGMBetMGM+1350
CZRCaesars+1300
BRBetRivers+1150
BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Brayan Rocchio's full player page →

SEA SEA Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.039155 BF
wOBA allowed.361
Hard-Hit %27%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.024409 BF
wOBA allowed.275
Hard-Hit %34%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.04149 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.024409 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L7–3
ERA3.86
WHIP1.36
IP91.0
H / K / BB80 / 89 / 44

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.00015 PA
Last 2 Years.0263274 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.320
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.293
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.138

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Ryan Bliss's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.048

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.0001 PA
Last 2 Years.093377 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.024409 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L7–3
ERA3.86
WHIP1.36
IP91.0
H / K / BB80 / 89 / 44

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.00015 PA
Last 2 Years.0263274 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.331
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.293
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.214

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

BRBetRivers+280
MGMBetMGM+270
BOVBovada+265
CZRCaesars+255
BOLBetOnline+250

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Cal Raleigh's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.0001 PA
Last 2 Years.046351 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.024409 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L7–3
ERA3.86
WHIP1.36
IP91.0
H / K / BB80 / 89 / 44

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.00015 PA
Last 2 Years.0263274 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.321
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.293
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.16

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

MGMBetMGM+425
BOVBovada+425
BRBetRivers+420
BOLBetOnline+400
CZRCaesars+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Julio Rodríguez's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.0001 PA
Last 2 Years.033367 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.039155 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L7–3
ERA3.86
WHIP1.36
IP91.0
H / K / BB80 / 89 / 44

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.040

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.13046 PA
Season.13046 PA
Last 2 Years.0333022 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.334
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.128

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

MGMBetMGM+725
BOVBovada+725
BOLBetOnline+600
CZRCaesars+575
BRBetRivers+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Josh Naylor's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.042384 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.024409 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L7–3
ERA3.86
WHIP1.36
IP91.0
H / K / BB80 / 89 / 44

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.00015 PA
Last 2 Years.0263274 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.329
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.293
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.154

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

MGMBetMGM+525
BOVBovada+500
CZRCaesars+475
BOLBetOnline+450
BRBetRivers+425

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Randy Arozarena's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.0001 PA
Last 2 Years.005364 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.039155 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L7–3
ERA3.86
WHIP1.36
IP91.0
H / K / BB80 / 89 / 44

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.040

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.13046 PA
Season.13046 PA
Last 2 Years.0333022 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.309
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.334
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.097

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

MGMBetMGM+1000
BRBetRivers+1000
CZRCaesars+950
BOLBetOnline+900
BOVBovada+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Brendan Donovan's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.017118 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.039155 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L7–3
ERA3.86
WHIP1.36
IP91.0
H / K / BB80 / 89 / 44

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.040

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.13046 PA
Season.13046 PA
Last 2 Years.0333022 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.292
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.334
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.095

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Luke Raley's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.00073 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.024409 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L7–3
ERA3.86
WHIP1.36
IP91.0
H / K / BB80 / 89 / 44

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.00015 PA
Last 2 Years.0263274 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.293
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.09

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

MGMBetMGM+1200
BOVBovada+1200
CZRCaesars+1100
BOLBetOnline+900
BRBetRivers+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Leo Rivas's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.00067 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.039155 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L7–3
ERA3.86
WHIP1.36
IP91.0
H / K / BB80 / 89 / 44

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.040

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.13046 PA
Season.13046 PA
Last 2 Years.0333022 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.334
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.086

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

BOVBovada+1400
MGMBetMGM+1350
CZRCaesars+1100
BRBetRivers+1000
BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Cole Young's full player page →