MatchWiz

Cal Raleigh

Cal Raleigh — hitting .184 in our graded log with 23 home runs. The model's read on his matchups, and where it's been right.

Last scored board
72.7
RBIs · vs LAA · 2026-09-27
Our calls on him · hits
54%
1+ hit in 7/13 top-20 calls
Games graded
125
this season, box-score final
Cal Raleigh
CBats SThrows RSeattle Mariners
RBIs72.7/100proj 0.6#11Home Runs65.9/100proj 0.3#10Walks63.8/100proj 0.4#14H+R+RBI47.9/100proj 1.7#49Fantasy Points45.5/100proj 6.7#50Hits41.6/100proj 0.9#76Runs36/100proj 0.5#79Total Bases34.9/100proj 1.6#71Doubles34/100proj 0.2#62Singles23.3/100proj 0.5#126Stolen Bases8.5/100proj 0#97Triples3.2/100proj 0#131

Last scored matchup

Cal isn't on today's slate. He was last scored 10 days ago, at home against Los Angeles Angels on Sunday, September 27, 2026, where he landed on rbis (72.7/100), home runs (65.9/100), walks (63.8/100). This page refreshes with new projections as soon as he's back in a lineup.

Recent form

Cal is 7-for-36 (.194) over his last 10 games, in line with his .184 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.

What kind of hitter he is

Cal has 23 home runs and 38 extra-base hits in 446 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.

He bats from both sides

Cal is a switch-hitter, which changes how the model reads every one of his matchups. Most hitters carry a real platoon penalty — a lefty bat facing a good lefty arm is a materially worse spot, and the score drops accordingly. Cal takes the favourable side almost every night, so he doesn't collect that penalty. What moves his number instead is the quality of the arm rather than its handedness, and how the two sides of his own swing actually compare, which is rarely as balanced as the switch-hitter label suggests.

Floor and ceiling

Cal has recorded at least one hit in 64 of 124 games he's batted in — 52% — with 14 multi-hit games among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.

Home and away

Cal is hitting .199 at home (45-for-226) and .168 on the road (37-for-220) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

Against Los Angeles Angels

Cal is 6-for-22 (.273) against Los Angeles Angels in our log, over 6 games. Worth knowing, worth not over-reading. 22 at-bats against one club is a tiny sample, and the model treats it as a minor input next to what that pitching staff actually allows to his handedness. Batter-versus-pitcher history is the most quoted number in baseball and one of the least predictive.

His best game in the log

Cal's biggest night was Saturday, September 19, 2026 at COL — 2-for-4 with 1 homer, 2 driven in. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.

How our calls on Cal have graded

In the 13 games where we ranked Cal a top-20 hitter matchup, he recorded a hit 7 times — 54%. That's a thin sample and we'd treat it as such. Every one of those calls was graded against the real box score, misses included.

Where he lands across our boards

Cal was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: rbis graded 72.7/100 while triples came in at 3.2/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Take the name off Cal and the model still produces the same number, because it's scoring the matchup rather than the player. His splits against this handedness, what the opposing starter and bullpen actually allow, how many plate appearances he's likely to get, the park, the weather, how he's swinging lately. All of it lands on a 0–100 scale against everyone else playing today. We don't publish how it's weighted. We publish every result it produces.

What we'd flag

Three caveats worth carrying. Not every player gets a posted line — book coverage runs to about 87% for confirmed starters, so a blank line is the market's silence, not ours. Lineup changes land late enough to strand a projection published hours earlier. And judging any of this on a single night is meaningless; the model is tuned on hundreds of settled outcomes.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Sunday, September 27vs LAA53001
Saturday, September 26vs LAA40000
Thursday, September 24vs LAA20010
Wednesday, September 23vs HOU40000
Tuesday, September 22vs HOU30000
Sunday, September 20@ COL30000
Saturday, September 19@ COL42112
Friday, September 18@ COL40000
Wednesday, September 16@ LAA32013
Tuesday, September 15@ LAA40000
Monday, September 14@ LAA41113
Sunday, September 13@ ATH51010

Cal Raleigh — FAQ

Is Cal Raleigh playing today?

Cal Raleigh isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Sunday, September 27, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Cal Raleigh graded?

In the 13 games where our model ranked Cal a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 7 times — 54%. Every call is graded against the real result at the line the market offered, wins and losses both.

How has Cal Raleigh been hitting lately?

Cal is 7-for-36 (.194) over his last 10 games, against .184 on the season across 446 at-bats in our log, with 23 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Cal Raleigh appear on?

Cal was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — rbis, home runs, walks, h+r+rbi, fantasy points. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Cal Raleigh's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).