MatchWiz

Josh Naylor

Josh Naylor — the model's read on today's matchup and how our calls on him have graded. Top board today: rbis at 38.1/100.

Today's top board
38.1
RBIs · vs CIN
Our calls on him · hits
60%
1+ hit in 6/10 top-20 calls
Games graded
93
this season, box-score final
Josh Naylor
1BBats LThrows LSeattle Mariners
RBIs38.1/100proj 0.5#141Total Bases36/100proj 1.5#172Stolen Bases34.1/100proj 0.2#28Fantasy Points32.2/100proj 6.8#115H+R+RBI28.4/100proj 1.6#180Runs27.5/100proj 0.5#176Home Runs25.9/100proj 0.1#130Hits24.6/100proj 0.9#212Walks18.6/100proj 0.4#104

Today's matchup

Josh is hosting Cincinnati Reds on the Tuesday, July 21, 2026 slate. He lands on 9 of our boards — rbis (38.1/100, #141), total bases (36/100, #172), stolen bases (34.1/100, #28), fantasy points (32.2/100, #115). We project Josh for 0.5 on the rbis board. Tap any board for the full breakdown, and check back for the graded result once the game's final.

Recent form

Over his last 5 games, Josh is 5-for-18 (.278). The full log's below.

How our calls on Josh have done

When we've ranked Josh a top-20 hitter matchup this season, he's recorded a hit in 6 of 10 games (60%). That's the honest number — graded against the real box score, hits and misses both.

How the model reads him

Josh's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Monday, July 20vs CIN51000
Sunday, July 19vs SF42011
Saturday, July 18vs SF30010
Friday, July 17vs SF31000
Sunday, July 12@ TB31010
Saturday, July 11@ TB41000
Friday, July 10@ TB31000
Thursday, July 9@ MIA41010
Wednesday, July 8@ MIA31000
Tuesday, July 7@ MIA51011
Sunday, July 5vs TOR41001
Saturday, July 4vs TOR41000

Josh Naylor — FAQ

Who is Josh Naylor facing today?

Josh Naylor is hosting Cincinnati Reds on Tuesday, July 21, 2026. His best matchup grades 38.1/100 on our rbis board.

What's Josh Naylor's projection today?

We project Josh for 0.5 on the rbis board (home vs CIN). Every board he's scored on is listed with its matchup score.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Josh Naylor done?

In the 10 games where our model ranked Josh a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 6 times (60%). Every projection is graded against the real result.

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).