MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
MLB · 1B · Seattle Mariners

Josh Naylor

Josh Naylor — the model's read on today's matchup and how our calls on him have graded. Top board today: stolen bases at 57.7/100.

Today's top board
57.7
Stolen Bases · vs TOR
Our calls on him · hits
57%
1+ hit in 4/7 top-20 calls
Games graded
80
this season, box-score final
Josh Naylor
1BBats LThrows LSeattle Mariners
Stolen Bases57.7/100proj 0.1#10RBIs51.7/100proj 0.5#83H+R+RBI41.4/100proj 1.7#100Fantasy Points40/100proj 6.7#84Hits39.8/100proj 1#100Walks38.2/100proj 0.5#60Runs37.8/100proj 0.5#122Total Bases29.7/100proj 1.5#139Home Runs27.5/100proj 0.1#102

Today's matchup

Josh is hosting Toronto Blue Jays on the Friday, July 3, 2026 slate. He lands on 9 of our boards — stolen bases (57.7/100, #10), rbis (51.7/100, #83), h+r+rbi (41.4/100, #100), fantasy points (40/100, #84). We project Josh for 0.1 on the stolen bases board. Tap any board for the full breakdown, and check back for the graded result once the game's final.

Recent form

Over his last 5 games, Josh is 5-for-20 (.250). The full log's below.

How our calls on Josh have done

When we've ranked Josh a top-20 hitter matchup this season, he's recorded a hit in 4 of 7 games (57%). That's the honest number — graded against the real box score, hits and misses both.

How the model reads him

Josh's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Thursday, July 2vs LAA40000
Tuesday, June 30vs LAA42010
Monday, June 29vs LAA30020
Sunday, June 28@ CLE42011
Saturday, June 27@ CLE51000
Friday, June 26@ CLE40000
Thursday, June 25@ PIT31000
Wednesday, June 24@ PIT42000
Tuesday, June 23@ PIT42000
Sunday, June 21vs BOS30000
Saturday, June 20vs BOS41001
Friday, June 19vs BOS41000

Josh Naylor — FAQ

Who is Josh Naylor facing today?

Josh Naylor is hosting Toronto Blue Jays on Friday, July 3, 2026. His best matchup grades 57.7/100 on our stolen bases board.

What's Josh Naylor's projection today?

We project Josh for 0.1 on the stolen bases board (home vs TOR). Every board he's scored on is listed with its matchup score.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Josh Naylor done?

In the 7 games where our model ranked Josh a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 4 times (57%). Every projection is graded against the real result.

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).