MatchWiz

Leo Rivas

Leo Rivas — hitting .141 in our graded log. The model's read on his matchups, and where it's been right.

Last scored board
54.1
Walks · @ HOU · 2026-08-14
Our calls on him · hits
record builds as games settle
Games graded
40
this season, box-score final
Leo Rivas
3BBats SThrows RSeattle Mariners
Walks54.1/100proj 0.4RBIs23.1/100proj 0.3Triples19.9/100proj 0Stolen Bases18.3/100proj 0.1Fantasy Points18.2/100proj 5.7Singles15.7/100proj 0.5H+R+RBI5.5/100proj 1.3Total Bases5.4/100proj 1.3Hits4.8/100proj 0.8Home Runs3.9/100proj 0Doubles0/100proj 0.1Runs0/100proj 0.4

Last scored matchup

Leo isn't on today's slate. He was last scored yesterday, away at Houston Astros on Friday, August 14, 2026, where he landed on walks (54.1/100), rbis (23.1/100), triples (19.9/100). This page refreshes with new projections as soon as he's back in a lineup.

What kind of hitter he is

Leo strikes out a lot — 36 strikeouts in 99 at-bats, roughly 36%. That cuts both ways in our numbers. It drags his floor on the hits board, since he needs contact to get there. But it barely dents the power boards, where one swing settles it. Against a high-strikeout arm his score will fall further than a contact hitter's would.

He bats from both sides

Leo is a switch-hitter, which changes how the model reads every one of his matchups. Most hitters carry a real platoon penalty — a lefty bat facing a good lefty arm is a materially worse spot, and the score drops accordingly. Leo takes the favourable side almost every night, so he doesn't collect that penalty. What moves his number instead is the quality of the arm rather than its handedness, and how the two sides of his own swing actually compare, which is rarely as balanced as the switch-hitter label suggests.

Floor and ceiling

Leo has recorded at least one hit in 13 of 36 games he's batted in — 36% — with 1 multi-hit game among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.

Home and away

Leo is hitting .149 at home (10-for-67) and .125 on the road (4-for-32) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

No graded record on him yet

We haven't ranked Leo a top-20 hitter matchup often enough this season to have a record worth publishing — not once so far. He's appeared in 40 graded games, so the log below is real; there just isn't a track record on our calls to show. It'll build here if the matchups start landing his way.

Where he lands across our boards

Leo was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: walks graded 54.1/100 while runs came in at 0/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Leo's score rates the spot in front of him, not the name on the jersey. It weighs his rates against the kind of arm he's facing — handedness matters a lot — set against what that pitcher and his bullpen give up, then adjusts for expected playing time, park, weather, and recent form, normalized 0–100 across the slate. The weighting is proprietary and re-tuned weekly; the grading is public, and that's the half that proves anything.

What we'd flag

Books don't price every player — coverage tops out around 87% even for confirmed starters, so "no line" here usually means no book posted one rather than a gap in our data. Lineups change late, and an afternoon projection can be stale by first pitch. And the model is tuned across hundreds of graded outcomes, so one game tells you nothing about whether it's working. For Leo specifically, his sample is small (99 at-bats logged), and we don't have a meaningful graded record on him yet.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Thursday, August 13@ NYY20000
Wednesday, August 12@ 10000
Thursday, August 6vs DET31000
Sunday, August 2vs MIN30000
Saturday, August 1@ 00000
Sunday, May 17vs SD10010
Sunday, May 10@ CWS00000
Saturday, May 9@ CWS10000
Friday, May 8@ CWS00000
Wednesday, May 6vs ATL31000
Tuesday, May 5vs ATL30000
Monday, May 4vs ATL30000

Leo Rivas — FAQ

Is Leo Rivas playing today?

Leo Rivas isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Friday, August 14, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How has Leo Rivas been hitting lately?

Leo is 2-for-14 (.143) over his last 10 games, against .141 on the season across 99 at-bats in our log. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Leo Rivas appear on?

Leo was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — walks, rbis, triples, stolen bases, fantasy points. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Leo Rivas's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).