MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Home Runs · Sunday, July 5, 2026

PIT @ WSH Home Runs matchups · Sunday, July 5, 2026

PIT
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
vs
1:00 PM EDT
WSH
Washington Nationals
WSH
Nationals ParkElevation 35 ftCenter Field 402 ft

PIT PIT Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from PIT's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02639 BF
Season.021233 BF
Last 2 Years.025357 BF
wOBA allowed.347
Hard-Hit %34%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00025 BF
Season.012164 BF
Last 2 Years.019259 BF
wOBA allowed.261
Hard-Hit %33%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.023176 PA
Last 2 Years.023176 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29@ PHI0
Jun 30@ PHI0
Jul 1@ PHI0
Jul 3@ WSH0
Jul 4@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.020

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00025 PA
Season.012164 PA
Last 2 Years.019259 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.69
WHIP1.33
IP90.1
H / K / BB91 / 102 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.033214 PA
Season.0371138 PA
Last 2 Years.0362923 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.302
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-0

Home Runs0 in 1 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.11

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Konnor Griffin's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.055

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04544 PA
Season.061262 PA
Last 2 Years.059902 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29@ PHI0
Jul 1@ PHI0
Jul 2@ PHI0
Jul 3@ WSH0
Jul 4@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02639 PA
Season.021233 PA
Last 2 Years.025357 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.69
WHIP1.33
IP90.1
H / K / BB91 / 102 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.025163 PA
Season.042927 PA
Last 2 Years.0432564 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.361
Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.329
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.3

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Brandon Lowe's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02246 PA
Season.023266 PA
Last 2 Years.026977 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 30@ PHI0
Jul 1@ PHI0
Jul 2@ PHI0
Jul 3@ WSH1
Jul 4@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02639 PA
Season.021233 PA
Last 2 Years.025357 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.69
WHIP1.33
IP90.1
H / K / BB91 / 102 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.025163 PA
Season.042927 PA
Last 2 Years.0432564 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.343
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.329
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-4

Home Runs0 in 5 PA
Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.132

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Bryan Reynolds's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 9-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 30@ PHI0
Jul 1@ PHI0
Jul 2@ PHI0
Jul 3@ WSH0
Jul 4@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.020

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00025 PA
Season.012164 PA
Last 2 Years.019259 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.69
WHIP1.33
IP90.1
H / K / BB91 / 102 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.033214 PA
Season.0371138 PA
Last 2 Years.0362923 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.302
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.146

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Esmerlyn Valdez's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.8× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04445 PA
Season.045224 PA
Last 2 Years.033872 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29@ PHI0
Jul 1@ PHI0
Jul 2@ PHI0
Jul 3@ WSH0
Jul 4@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02639 PA
Season.021233 PA
Last 2 Years.025357 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.69
WHIP1.33
IP90.1
H / K / BB91 / 102 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.025163 PA
Season.042927 PA
Last 2 Years.0432564 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.348
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.329
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-1

Home Runs0 in 1 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.165

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Ryan O'Hearn's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.014

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02246 PA
Season.012243 PA
Last 2 Years.010707 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 30@ PHI0
Jul 1@ PHI0
Jul 2@ PHI1
Jul 3@ WSH0
Jul 4@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.020

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00025 PA
Season.012164 PA
Last 2 Years.019259 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.69
WHIP1.33
IP90.1
H / K / BB91 / 102 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.033214 PA
Season.0371138 PA
Last 2 Years.0362923 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.325
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.302
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.069

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Nick Gonzales's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.011

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00044 PA
Season.006169 PA
Last 2 Years.006460 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29@ PHI0
Jul 1@ PHI0
Jul 2@ PHI0
Jul 3@ WSH0
Jul 4@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02639 PA
Season.021233 PA
Last 2 Years.025357 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.69
WHIP1.33
IP90.1
H / K / BB91 / 102 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.025163 PA
Season.042927 PA
Last 2 Years.0432564 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.327
Hard-Hit %27%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.329
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-1

Home Runs0 in 1 PA
Career Average1.000
Plate Appearances1
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.044

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Jake Mangum's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03330 PA
Season.04665 PA
Last 2 Years.04271 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27vs CIN0
Jun 28vs CIN1
Jun 29@ PHI0
Jul 1@ PHI0
Jul 4@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02639 PA
Season.021233 PA
Last 2 Years.025357 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.69
WHIP1.33
IP90.1
H / K / BB91 / 102 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.025163 PA
Season.042927 PA
Last 2 Years.0432564 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.329
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.131

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Tyler Callihan's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.18211 PA
Season.047128 PA
Last 2 Years.028363 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26vs CIN0
Jun 28vs CIN0
Jun 30@ PHI0
Jul 1@ PHI1
Jul 4@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.020

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00025 PA
Season.012164 PA
Last 2 Years.019259 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.69
WHIP1.33
IP90.1
H / K / BB91 / 102 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.033214 PA
Season.0371138 PA
Last 2 Years.0362923 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.280
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.302
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-0

Home Runs0 in 1 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.111

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Henry Davis's full player page →

WSH WSH Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from WSH's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02049 BF
Season.036196 BF
Last 2 Years.031257 BF
wOBA allowed.341
Hard-Hit %36%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00029 BF
Season.011183 BF
Last 2 Years.012246 BF
wOBA allowed.284
Hard-Hit %34%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 6-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.044

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00033 PA
Season.055273 PA
Last 2 Years.044945 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29@ BOS1
Jun 30@ BOS0
Jul 1@ BOS1
Jul 3vs PIT0
Jul 4vs PIT1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02049 PA
Season.036196 PA
Last 2 Years.031257 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–8
ERA4.62
WHIP1.39
IP85.2
H / K / BB71 / 79 / 48

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.051253 PA
Season.0331362 PA
Last 2 Years.0273544 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.367
Hard-Hit %46%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-3

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.325

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

James Wood's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.059

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.24337 PA
Season.064252 PA
Last 2 Years.049857 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29@ BOS0
Jun 30@ BOS0
Jul 1@ BOS0
Jul 3vs PIT2
Jul 4vs PIT0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02049 PA
Season.036196 PA
Last 2 Years.031257 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–8
ERA4.62
WHIP1.39
IP85.2
H / K / BB71 / 79 / 48

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.051253 PA
Season.0331362 PA
Last 2 Years.0273544 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.373
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.308

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Luis García Jr.'s full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09122 PA
Season.054148 PA
Last 2 Years.033307 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28@ BAL0
Jun 29@ BOS0
Jun 30@ BOS0
Jul 1@ BOS0
Jul 4vs PIT0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.016

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00029 PA
Season.011183 PA
Last 2 Years.012246 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–8
ERA4.62
WHIP1.39
IP85.2
H / K / BB71 / 79 / 48

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.021

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.038157 PA
Season.0171147 PA
Last 2 Years.0193580 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.294
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.153

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Curtis Mead's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.046

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09731 PA
Season.059256 PA
Last 2 Years.041864 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28@ BAL0
Jun 29@ BOS0
Jun 30@ BOS1
Jul 3vs PIT0
Jul 4vs PIT0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02049 PA
Season.036196 PA
Last 2 Years.031257 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–8
ERA4.62
WHIP1.39
IP85.2
H / K / BB71 / 79 / 48

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.051253 PA
Season.0331362 PA
Last 2 Years.0273544 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.349
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-3

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.204

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

CJ Abrams's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06929 PA
Season.038261 PA
Last 2 Years.032535 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29@ BOS0
Jun 30@ BOS0
Jul 1@ BOS0
Jul 3vs PIT2
Jul 4vs PIT0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02049 PA
Season.036196 PA
Last 2 Years.031257 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–8
ERA4.62
WHIP1.39
IP85.2
H / K / BB71 / 79 / 48

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.051253 PA
Season.0331362 PA
Last 2 Years.0273544 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.345
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.146

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Daylen Lile's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2.5× / ~1.6×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00033 PA
Season.028106 PA
Last 2 Years.030439 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29@ BOS0
Jun 30@ BOS0
Jul 1@ BOS0
Jul 3vs PIT0
Jul 4vs PIT0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.016

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00029 PA
Season.011183 PA
Last 2 Years.012246 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–8
ERA4.62
WHIP1.39
IP85.2
H / K / BB71 / 79 / 48

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.021

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.038157 PA
Season.0171147 PA
Last 2 Years.0193580 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.269
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.294
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.097

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Dylan Crews's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA
Season.026155 PA
Last 2 Years.017425 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27@ BAL0
Jun 29@ BOS0
Jun 30@ BOS0
Jul 3vs PIT1
Jul 4vs PIT0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02049 PA
Season.036196 PA
Last 2 Years.031257 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–8
ERA4.62
WHIP1.39
IP85.2
H / K / BB71 / 79 / 48

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.051253 PA
Season.0331362 PA
Last 2 Years.0273544 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.300
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.093

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

José Tena's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.018

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.017121 PA
Last 2 Years.011186 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 21@ TB0
Jun 24vs PHI0
Jun 27@ BAL0
Jul 1@ BOS0
Jul 4vs PIT0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02049 PA
Season.036196 PA
Last 2 Years.031257 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–8
ERA4.62
WHIP1.39
IP85.2
H / K / BB71 / 79 / 48

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.051253 PA
Season.0331362 PA
Last 2 Years.0273544 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.291
Hard-Hit %25%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.051

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Drew Millas's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.010

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00026 PA
Season.000202 PA
Last 2 Years.007300 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 29@ BOS0
Jun 30@ BOS0
Jul 1@ BOS1
Jul 3vs PIT0
Jul 4vs PIT0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02049 PA
Season.036196 PA
Last 2 Years.031257 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–8
ERA4.62
WHIP1.39
IP85.2
H / K / BB71 / 79 / 48

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.051253 PA
Season.0331362 PA
Last 2 Years.0273544 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.271
Hard-Hit %19%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.023

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Nasim Nuñez's full player page →