MatchWiz

Bryan Reynolds

Bryan Reynolds — hitting .257 in our graded log with 15 home runs. The model's read on his matchups, and where it's been right.

Last scored board
66.3
Runs · @ DET · 2026-09-27
Our calls on him · hits
67%
1+ hit in 8/12 top-20 calls
Games graded
149
this season, box-score final
Bryan Reynolds
LFBats SThrows RPittsburgh Pirates
Runs66.3/100proj 0.6#17Hits50.2/100proj 1#51H+R+RBI49.3/100proj 1.7#44Walks47.8/100proj 0.4#26Doubles47.3/100proj 0.2#25RBIs43.5/100proj 0.4#66Fantasy Points38.1/100proj 6.4#69Singles31.4/100proj 0.6#97Total Bases29.5/100proj 1.5#84Home Runs28.9/100proj 0.1#69Stolen Bases10.2/100proj 0#87Triples8.2/100proj 0#71

Last scored matchup

Bryan isn't on today's slate. He was last scored 12 days ago, away at Detroit Tigers on Sunday, September 27, 2026, where he landed on runs (66.3/100), hits (50.2/100), h+r+rbi (49.3/100). This page refreshes with new projections as soon as he's back in a lineup.

Recent form

Bryan is 7-for-30 (.233) over his last 10 games, in line with his .257 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.

What kind of hitter he is

Bryan has 15 home runs and 52 extra-base hits in 549 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.

He bats from both sides

Bryan is a switch-hitter, which changes how the model reads every one of his matchups. Most hitters carry a real platoon penalty — a lefty bat facing a good lefty arm is a materially worse spot, and the score drops accordingly. Bryan takes the favourable side almost every night, so he doesn't collect that penalty. What moves his number instead is the quality of the arm rather than its handedness, and how the two sides of his own swing actually compare, which is rarely as balanced as the switch-hitter label suggests.

Floor and ceiling

Bryan has recorded at least one hit in 97 of 148 games he's batted in — 66% — with 39 multi-hit games among them. That's about average — most regulars land somewhere near it.

Home and away

Bryan is hitting .285 at home (74-for-260) and .232 on the road (67-for-289) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

Against Detroit Tigers

Bryan is 2-for-8 (.250) against Detroit Tigers in our log, over 3 games. Worth knowing, worth not over-reading. 8 at-bats against one club is a tiny sample, and the model treats it as a minor input next to what that pitching staff actually allows to his handedness. Batter-versus-pitcher history is the most quoted number in baseball and one of the least predictive.

His best game in the log

Bryan's biggest night was Saturday, September 26, 2026 at DET — 2-for-4 with 1 driven in. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.

How our calls on Bryan have graded

In the 12 games where we ranked Bryan a top-20 hitter matchup, he recorded a hit 8 times — 67%. That's a thin sample and we'd treat it as such. Every one of those calls was graded against the real box score, misses included.

Where he lands across our boards

Bryan was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: runs graded 66.3/100 while triples came in at 8.2/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Take the name off Bryan and the model still produces the same number, because it's scoring the matchup rather than the player. His splits against this handedness, what the opposing starter and bullpen actually allow, how many plate appearances he's likely to get, the park, the weather, how he's swinging lately. All of it lands on a 0–100 scale against everyone else playing today. We don't publish how it's weighted. We publish every result it produces.

What we'd flag

Three caveats worth carrying. Not every player gets a posted line — book coverage runs to about 87% for confirmed starters, so a blank line is the market's silence, not ours. Lineup changes land late enough to strand a projection published hours earlier. And judging any of this on a single night is meaningless; the model is tuned on hundreds of settled outcomes.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Sunday, September 27@ DET10000
Saturday, September 26@ DET42001
Friday, September 25@ DET30010
Thursday, September 24vs STL00000
Wednesday, September 23vs STL30000
Tuesday, September 22vs STL31000
Sunday, September 20vs KC31000
Saturday, September 19vs KC40000
Friday, September 18vs KC52000
Thursday, September 17vs MIL41000
Wednesday, September 16vs MIL40000
Tuesday, September 15vs MIL40000

Bryan Reynolds — FAQ

Is Bryan Reynolds playing today?

Bryan Reynolds isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Sunday, September 27, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Bryan Reynolds graded?

In the 12 games where our model ranked Bryan a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 8 times — 67%. Every call is graded against the real result at the line the market offered, wins and losses both.

How has Bryan Reynolds been hitting lately?

Bryan is 7-for-30 (.233) over his last 10 games, against .257 on the season across 549 at-bats in our log, with 15 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Bryan Reynolds appear on?

Bryan was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — runs, hits, h+r+rbi, walks, doubles. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Bryan Reynolds's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).