MatchWiz

Bryan Reynolds

Bryan Reynolds — today's matchup, what the model projects, and how our calls on him have graded. Top board: hits at 80.2/100.

Today's top board
80.2
Hits · @ LAD
Our calls on him · hits
78%
1+ hit in 7/9 top-20 calls
Games graded
118
this season, box-score final
Bryan Reynolds
LFBats SThrows RPittsburgh Pirates
Hits80.2/100proj 1.1#17Doubles77.9/100proj 0.2#6H+R+RBI69.7/100proj 1.8#25Singles63.5/100proj 0.6#17RBIs62.1/100proj 0.5#28Runs56.1/100proj 0.5#39Walks47.7/100proj 0.4#39Fantasy Points42.9/100proj 6.6#42Total Bases41.8/100proj 1.5#55Home Runs27.4/100proj 0.2#34Stolen Bases20.8/100proj 0.1#40Triples2.6/100proj 0#85

Today's matchup

Bryan is on the road against Los Angeles Dodgers on the Sunday, August 23, 2026 slate. He shows up on 12 boards — hits (80.2/100, #17), doubles (77.9/100, #6), h+r+rbi (69.7/100, #25), singles (63.5/100, #17). We've got him at 1.1 on the hits board. That's one of the stronger spots on the board today. Open any board row for the full breakdown of what's driving it.

Recent form

Bryan is 9-for-39 (.231) over his last 10 games, in line with his .259 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.

What kind of hitter he is

Bryan has 13 home runs and 40 extra-base hits in 437 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.

He bats from both sides

Bryan is a switch-hitter, which changes how the model reads every one of his matchups. Most hitters carry a real platoon penalty — a lefty bat facing a good lefty arm is a materially worse spot, and the score drops accordingly. Bryan takes the favourable side almost every night, so he doesn't collect that penalty. What moves his number instead is the quality of the arm rather than its handedness, and how the two sides of his own swing actually compare, which is rarely as balanced as the switch-hitter label suggests.

Floor and ceiling

Bryan has recorded at least one hit in 79 of 118 games he's batted in — 67% — with 30 multi-hit games among them. That's about average — most regulars land somewhere near it.

Home and away

Bryan is hitting .293 at home (61-for-208) and .227 on the road (52-for-229) across the season. That's a real-looking split, and it's the kind of thing that's usually part park and part noise. The model doesn't apply a blanket home-road adjustment — it prices the actual ballpark he's standing in, which is the part that carries signal.

His best game in the log

Bryan's biggest night was Friday, August 21, 2026 at LAD — 2-for-4. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.

How our calls on Bryan have graded

In the 9 games where we ranked Bryan a top-20 hitter matchup, he recorded a hit 7 times — 78%. That's a thin sample and we'd treat it as such. Every one of those calls was graded against the real box score, misses included.

Where he lands across our boards

Bryan was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: hits graded 80.2/100 while triples came in at 2.6/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Take the name off Bryan and the model still produces the same number, because it's scoring the matchup rather than the player. His splits against this handedness, what the opposing starter and bullpen actually allow, how many plate appearances he's likely to get, the park, the weather, how he's swinging lately. All of it lands on a 0–100 scale against everyone else playing today. We don't publish how it's weighted. We publish every result it produces.

What we'd flag

Three caveats worth carrying. Not every player gets a posted line — book coverage runs to about 87% for confirmed starters, so a blank line is the market's silence, not ours. Lineup changes land late enough to strand a projection published hours earlier. And judging any of this on a single night is meaningless; the model is tuned on hundreds of settled outcomes.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Saturday, August 22@ LAD41010
Friday, August 21@ LAD42010
Wednesday, August 19vs DET41000
Tuesday, August 18vs DET41001
Monday, August 17vs DET50000
Sunday, August 16vs BOS32022
Saturday, August 15vs BOS40000
Friday, August 14vs BOS42030
Thursday, August 13@ MIA40000
Wednesday, August 12@ MIA30000
Tuesday, August 11@ MIA40000
Sunday, August 9vs NYM31000

Bryan Reynolds — FAQ

Who is Bryan Reynolds facing today?

Bryan Reynolds is facing Los Angeles Dodgers on Sunday, August 23, 2026. His strongest matchup grades 80.2/100 on our hits board, ranked #17.

What is Bryan Reynolds's projection today?

We project Bryan for 1.1 on the hits board. That's the model's number for this specific matchup — the opposing arm, the park, the weather, and his expected playing time all feed it. It's graded against the real box score tonight.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Bryan Reynolds graded?

In the 9 games where our model ranked Bryan a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 7 times — 78%. Every call is graded against the real result at the line the market offered, wins and losses both.

How has Bryan Reynolds been hitting lately?

Bryan is 9-for-39 (.231) over his last 10 games, against .259 on the season across 437 at-bats in our log, with 13 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Bryan Reynolds appear on?

Bryan was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — hits, doubles, h+r+rbi, singles, rbis. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Bryan Reynolds's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).