MatchWiz

Henry Davis

Henry Davis — hitting .189 in our graded log with 9 home runs. The model's read on his matchups, and where it's been right.

Last scored board
32.9
Walks · @ DET · 2026-09-27
Our calls on him · hits
—
record builds as games settle
Games graded
87
this season, box-score final
Henry Davis
CBats RThrows RPittsburgh Pirates
Walks32.9/100proj 0.4Doubles25.8/100proj 0.2RBIs24.7/100proj 0.4Runs23.5/100proj 0.4Home Runs22/100proj 0.1Total Bases14.6/100proj 1.3Singles13/100proj 0.5Fantasy Points12.6/100proj 5.5Stolen Bases11.3/100proj 0.1H+R+RBI10.6/100proj 1.4Hits3.1/100proj 0.7Triples3/100proj 0

Last scored matchup

Henry isn't on today's slate. He was last scored 11 days ago, away at Detroit Tigers on Sunday, September 27, 2026, where he landed on walks (32.9/100), doubles (25.8/100), rbis (24.7/100). This page refreshes with new projections as soon as he's back in a lineup.

Recent form

Henry is 5-for-24 (.208) over his last 10 games, in line with his .189 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.

What kind of hitter he is

Henry has 9 home runs and 15 extra-base hits in 227 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.

He's a right-handed bat

Henry hits from the right side, so the platoon math runs the other way from a lefty's. Right-handed bats face right-handed pitching most of the time, meaning his baseline is built against the harder side and a left-handed starter is the upgrade. That's why a righty's score can jump on a day nothing else about the matchup changed. The model weighs his rates against the specific handedness he's drawing rather than a blended season number, which is where a lot of the day-to-day movement in his score comes from.

Floor and ceiling

Henry has recorded at least one hit in 35 of 76 games he's batted in — 46% — with 8 multi-hit games among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.

Home and away

Henry is hitting .213 at home (27-for-127) and .160 on the road (16-for-100) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

No graded record on him yet

We haven't ranked Henry a top-20 hitter matchup often enough this season to have a record worth publishing — not once so far. He's appeared in 87 graded games, so the log below is real; there just isn't a track record on our calls to show. It'll build here if the matchups start landing his way.

Where he lands across our boards

Henry was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: walks graded 32.9/100 while triples came in at 3/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Henry's score rates the spot in front of him, not the name on the jersey. It weighs his rates against the kind of arm he's facing — handedness matters a lot — set against what that pitcher and his bullpen give up, then adjusts for expected playing time, park, weather, and recent form, normalized 0–100 across the slate. The weighting is proprietary and re-tuned weekly; the grading is public, and that's the half that proves anything.

What we'd flag

Books don't price every player — coverage tops out around 87% even for confirmed starters, so "no line" here usually means no book posted one rather than a gap in our data. Lineups change late, and an afternoon projection can be stale by first pitch. And the model is tuned across hundreds of graded outcomes, so one game tells you nothing about whether it's working. For Henry specifically, we don't have a meaningful graded record on him yet.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Saturday, September 26@ DET32010
Thursday, September 24vs STL40000
Saturday, September 19vs KC00000
Friday, September 18vs KC31001
Thursday, September 17vs MIL21122
Sunday, September 13@ CHC40000
Saturday, September 12@ CHC10000
Friday, September 11@ CHC20000
Sunday, September 6vs LAA31111
Friday, September 4vs LAA20000
Tuesday, September 1vs SF31012
Friday, August 28@ STL20000

Henry Davis — FAQ

Is Henry Davis playing today?

Henry Davis isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Sunday, September 27, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How has Henry Davis been hitting lately?

Henry is 5-for-24 (.208) over his last 10 games, against .189 on the season across 227 at-bats in our log, with 9 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Henry Davis appear on?

Henry was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — walks, doubles, rbis, runs, home runs. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Henry Davis's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).