MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Home Runs · Monday, April 6, 2026

HOU @ COL Home Runs matchups · Monday, April 6, 2026

HOU
HOU
Houston Astros
79
Final
COL
Colorado Rockies
COL
Coors FieldElevation 5,190 ftCenter Field 415 ft 65°F CloudyWind 12 mph, In From LF

HOU HOU Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 BF
Season.0006 BF
Last 2 Years.028423 BF
wOBA allowed.149
Hard-Hit %25%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0005 BF
Season.0005 BF
Last 2 Years.028393 BF
wOBA allowed.140
Hard-Hit %50%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.00016 PA
Last 2 Years.024913 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA
Season.0005 PA
Last 2 Years.028393 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L2–2
ERA4.42
WHIP1.25
IP53.0
H / K / BB46 / 35 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.025160 PA
Season.025160 PA
Last 2 Years.0353885 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.320
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.311
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.117

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+525
BRBetRivers+510
BOLBetOnline+450

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Jeremy Peña's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04323 PA
Season.04323 PA
Last 2 Years.049589 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.0006 PA
Last 2 Years.028423 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L2–2
ERA4.42
WHIP1.25
IP53.0
H / K / BB46 / 35 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.040151 PA
Season.040151 PA
Last 2 Years.0343093 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.341
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.323
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.184

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+280
CZRCaesars+265
BOLBetOnline+250

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Yordan Alvarez's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09122 PA
Season.09122 PA
Last 2 Years.0331039 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA
Season.0005 PA
Last 2 Years.028393 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L2–2
ERA4.42
WHIP1.25
IP53.0
H / K / BB46 / 35 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.025160 PA
Season.025160 PA
Last 2 Years.0353885 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.325
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.311
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.667
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.134

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+475
BOLBetOnline+400
BRBetRivers+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Jose Altuve's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00024 PA
Season.00024 PA
Last 2 Years.023726 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA
Season.0005 PA
Last 2 Years.028393 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L2–2
ERA4.42
WHIP1.25
IP53.0
H / K / BB46 / 35 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.025160 PA
Season.025160 PA
Last 2 Years.0353885 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.325
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.311
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.117

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+525
BOLBetOnline+500
BRBetRivers+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Carlos Correa's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.040

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07726 PA
Season.07726 PA
Last 2 Years.049908 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA
Season.0005 PA
Last 2 Years.028393 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L2–2
ERA4.42
WHIP1.25
IP53.0
H / K / BB46 / 35 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.025160 PA
Season.025160 PA
Last 2 Years.0353885 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.334
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.311
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.429
Plate Appearances14

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.171

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+370
BRBetRivers+340
BOLBetOnline+300

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Christian Walker's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form🔥 6-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04224 PA
Season.04224 PA
Last 2 Years.016380 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA
Season.0005 PA
Last 2 Years.028393 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L2–2
ERA4.42
WHIP1.25
IP53.0
H / K / BB46 / 35 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.025160 PA
Season.025160 PA
Last 2 Years.0353885 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.311
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.12

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+625
BOLBetOnline+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Cam Smith's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.00023 PA
Last 2 Years.022316 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.0006 PA
Last 2 Years.028423 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L2–2
ERA4.42
WHIP1.25
IP53.0
H / K / BB46 / 35 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.040151 PA
Season.040151 PA
Last 2 Years.0343093 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.324
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.323
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.109

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+625
BRBetRivers+600
BOLBetOnline+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Joey Loperfido's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.00023 PA
Last 2 Years.026897 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA
Season.0005 PA
Last 2 Years.028393 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L2–2
ERA4.42
WHIP1.25
IP53.0
H / K / BB46 / 35 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.025160 PA
Season.025160 PA
Last 2 Years.0353885 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.310
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.311
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.400
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.102

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+575
BRBetRivers+550
BOLBetOnline+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Yainer Diaz's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04821 PA
Season.04821 PA
Last 2 Years.019691 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA
Season.0005 PA
Last 2 Years.028393 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L2–2
ERA4.42
WHIP1.25
IP53.0
H / K / BB46 / 35 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.025160 PA
Season.025160 PA
Last 2 Years.0353885 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.315
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.311
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.099

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+850
BRBetRivers+800
BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Jake Meyers's full player page →

COL COL Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 BF
Season.0006 BF
Last 2 Years.00038 BF
wOBA allowed.117
Hard-Hit %50%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1437 BF
Season.1437 BF
Last 2 Years.06050 BF
wOBA allowed.552
Hard-Hit %40%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03231 PA
Season.03231 PA
Last 2 Years.033797 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1437 PA
Season.1437 PA
Last 2 Years.06050 PA

Opposing Starter · Season3 GS

W–L0–1
ERA5.40
WHIP1.75
IP20.0
H / K / BB21 / 22 / 14

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.038185 PA
Season.038185 PA
Last 2 Years.0331998 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.327
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.15

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Ezequiel Tovar's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.2867 PA
Season.2867 PA
Last 2 Years.048788 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.0006 PA
Last 2 Years.00038 PA

Opposing Starter · Season3 GS

W–L0–1
ERA5.40
WHIP1.75
IP20.0
H / K / BB21 / 22 / 14

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.039128 PA
Season.039128 PA
Last 2 Years.0291546 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.327
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.184

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+400
CZRCaesars+400
BRBetRivers+375

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Mickey Moniak's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03231 PA
Season.03231 PA
Last 2 Years.051602 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1437 PA
Season.1437 PA
Last 2 Years.06050 PA

Opposing Starter · Season3 GS

W–L0–1
ERA5.40
WHIP1.75
IP20.0
H / K / BB21 / 22 / 14

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.038185 PA
Season.038185 PA
Last 2 Years.0331998 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.327
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.167

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+350
CZRCaesars+350
BRBetRivers+275

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Hunter Goodman's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2.3× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04821 PA
Season.04821 PA
Last 2 Years.037134 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.0006 PA
Last 2 Years.00038 PA

Opposing Starter · Season3 GS

W–L0–1
ERA5.40
WHIP1.75
IP20.0
H / K / BB21 / 22 / 14

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.039128 PA
Season.039128 PA
Last 2 Years.0291546 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.323
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.138

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+625
BOLBetOnline+600
BRBetRivers+550

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Troy Johnston's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06929 PA
Season.06929 PA
Last 2 Years.06929 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.0006 PA
Last 2 Years.00038 PA

Opposing Starter · Season3 GS

W–L0–1
ERA5.40
WHIP1.75
IP20.0
H / K / BB21 / 22 / 14

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.039128 PA
Season.039128 PA
Last 2 Years.0291546 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.331
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.137

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+525
BOLBetOnline+500
BRBetRivers+480

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

TJ Rumfield's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00030 PA
Season.00030 PA
Last 2 Years.018826 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.0006 PA
Last 2 Years.00038 PA

Opposing Starter · Season3 GS

W–L0–1
ERA5.40
WHIP1.75
IP20.0
H / K / BB21 / 22 / 14

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.039128 PA
Season.039128 PA
Last 2 Years.0291546 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.310
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.101

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Willi Castro's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.00023 PA
Last 2 Years.032845 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1437 PA
Season.1437 PA
Last 2 Years.06050 PA

Opposing Starter · Season3 GS

W–L0–1
ERA5.40
WHIP1.75
IP20.0
H / K / BB21 / 22 / 14

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.038185 PA
Season.038185 PA
Last 2 Years.0331998 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.305
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.327
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.118

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+600
CZRCaesars+575
BRBetRivers+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Brenton Doyle's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.00023 PA
Last 2 Years.022545 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.0006 PA
Last 2 Years.00038 PA

Opposing Starter · Season3 GS

W–L0–1
ERA5.40
WHIP1.75
IP20.0
H / K / BB21 / 22 / 14

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.039128 PA
Season.039128 PA
Last 2 Years.0291546 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.310
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.091

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+1000
CZRCaesars+950
BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Jake McCarthy's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA
Season.00021 PA
Last 2 Years.007143 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1437 PA
Season.1437 PA
Last 2 Years.06050 PA

Opposing Starter · Season3 GS

W–L0–1
ERA5.40
WHIP1.75
IP20.0
H / K / BB21 / 22 / 14

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.038185 PA
Season.038185 PA
Last 2 Years.0331998 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.309
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.327
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.101

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+900
CZRCaesars+850
BRBetRivers+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Kyle Karros's full player page →