MatchWiz

Joey Loperfido

Joey Loperfido — hitting .221 in our graded log with 1 home run. The model's read on his matchups, and where it's been right.

Last scored board
34.5
Stolen Bases · vs TB · 2026-07-03
Our calls on him · hits
record builds as games settle
Games graded
36
this season, box-score final
Joey Loperfido
LFBats LThrows RHouston Astros
Stolen Bases34.5/100proj 0.1Total Bases33.1/100proj 1.5RBIs32.3/100proj 0.4Fantasy Points13.7/100proj 5.7Home Runs11.2/100proj 0.1Walks10.4/100proj 0.2Doubles7.8/100proj 0.2Singles7.8/100proj 0.6Triples7.8/100proj 0Runs7.6/100proj 0.4H+R+RBI7.1/100proj 1.4Hits6.3/100proj 0.8

Not on the current slate

Joey hasn't been scored in 51 days — his last matchup was against Tampa Bay Rays on Friday, July 3, 2026. A gap that long usually means an injury, a minor-league option, or a roster move rather than a rest day. Everything below is his most recent real production, not a projection.

He's in a cold stretch

Joey is 3-for-26 (.115) across his last 10 games, down from .221 on the season. Slumps this size are mostly noise at this sample — 26 at-bats is a fortnight, not a trend — and the model treats it that way, discounting the cold run rather than writing him off. If the matchup underneath is good, he'll still grade well here. That's a feature, and sometimes it's wrong.

What kind of hitter he is

Joey strikes out a lot — 28 strikeouts in 95 at-bats, roughly 29%. That cuts both ways in our numbers. It drags his floor on the hits board, since he needs contact to get there. But it barely dents the power boards, where one swing settles it — he's got 1 homer. Against a high-strikeout arm his score will fall further than a contact hitter's would.

He's a left-handed bat

Joey hits from the left side, and that's the first thing the model looks at. Left-handed hitters see right-handed pitching most nights, which is the favourable side — so a lefty bat's baseline is set against righties, and drawing a left-handed starter is a genuine downgrade rather than a rounding error. When you see his score fall on a day he's still in the lineup, an opposing lefty is usually why. Handedness also shapes the park read: pull-side geometry matters more for a left-handed swing than the raw park factor suggests.

Floor and ceiling

Joey has recorded at least one hit in 16 of 33 games he's batted in — 48% — with 4 multi-hit games among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.

Home and away

Joey is hitting .273 at home (12-for-44) and .176 on the road (9-for-51) across the season. That's a real-looking split, and it's the kind of thing that's usually part park and part noise. The model doesn't apply a blanket home-road adjustment — it prices the actual ballpark he's standing in, which is the part that carries signal.

No graded record on him yet

We haven't ranked Joey a top-20 hitter matchup often enough this season to have a record worth publishing — not once so far. He's appeared in 36 graded games, so the log below is real; there just isn't a track record on our calls to show. It'll build here if the matchups start landing his way.

Where he lands across our boards

Joey was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: stolen bases graded 34.5/100 while hits came in at 6.3/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Take the name off Joey and the model still produces the same number, because it's scoring the matchup rather than the player. His splits against this handedness, what the opposing starter and bullpen actually allow, how many plate appearances he's likely to get, the park, the weather, how he's swinging lately. All of it lands on a 0–100 scale against everyone else playing today. We don't publish how it's weighted. We publish every result it produces.

What we'd flag

Three caveats worth carrying. Not every player gets a posted line — book coverage runs to about 87% for confirmed starters, so a blank line is the market's silence, not ours. Lineup changes land late enough to strand a projection published hours earlier. And judging any of this on a single night is meaningless; the model is tuned on hundreds of settled outcomes. For Joey specifically, his sample is small (95 at-bats logged), and we don't have a meaningful graded record on him yet.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Wednesday, July 1vs MIN31001
Monday, June 29vs MIN40000
Sunday, June 28@ DET10000
Saturday, June 27@ DET10000
Friday, June 26@ DET40000
Thursday, June 25@ DET20000
Wednesday, June 24@ TOR31010
Tuesday, June 23@ TOR11114
Monday, June 22@ TOR40000
Sunday, June 21vs CLE30000
Saturday, June 20vs CLE11000
Friday, June 19vs CLE31000

Joey Loperfido — FAQ

Is Joey Loperfido playing today?

Joey Loperfido isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Friday, July 3, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How has Joey Loperfido been hitting lately?

Joey is 3-for-26 (.115) over his last 10 games, against .221 on the season across 95 at-bats in our log, with 1 home run. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Joey Loperfido appear on?

Joey was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — stolen bases, total bases, rbis, fantasy points, home runs. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Joey Loperfido's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).