MatchWiz

Jeremy Peña

Jeremy Peña — our top-20 calls on him have hit 66% this season. His matchups, projections, and the full graded record.

Last scored board
100
Hits · vs CWS · 2026-09-30
Our calls on him · hits
66%
1+ hit in 45/68 top-20 calls
Games graded
110
this season, box-score final
Jeremy Peña
SSBats RThrows RHouston Astros
Hits100/100proj 1.2#1Runs100/100proj 0.6#1Total Bases100/100proj 1.9#1Fantasy Points91.1/100proj 7.8#3H+R+RBI89.1/100proj 2#2Doubles82.9/100proj 0.2#3Singles70.4/100proj 0.7#4RBIs54.2/100proj 0.5#10Stolen Bases48/100proj 0.1#7Home Runs44.4/100proj 0.2#6Triples32.9/100proj 0#8Walks26.2/100proj 0.3#34

Last scored matchup

Jeremy isn't on today's slate. He was last scored 8 days ago, at home against Chicago White Sox on Wednesday, September 30, 2026, where he landed on hits (100/100), runs (100/100), total bases (100/100). This page refreshes with new projections as soon as he's back in a lineup.

Recent form

Jeremy is 13-for-42 (.310) over his last 10 games, in line with his .276 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.

What kind of hitter he is

Jeremy has 23 home runs and 41 extra-base hits in 442 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.

He's a right-handed bat

Jeremy hits from the right side, so the platoon math runs the other way from a lefty's. Right-handed bats face right-handed pitching most of the time, meaning his baseline is built against the harder side and a left-handed starter is the upgrade. That's why a righty's score can jump on a day nothing else about the matchup changed. The model weighs his rates against the specific handedness he's drawing rather than a blended season number, which is where a lot of the day-to-day movement in his score comes from.

Floor and ceiling

Jeremy has recorded at least one hit in 79 of 108 games he's batted in — 73% — with 31 multi-hit games among them. That's about average — most regulars land somewhere near it.

Home and away

Jeremy is hitting .307 at home (62-for-202) and .250 on the road (60-for-240) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

His best game in the log

Jeremy's biggest night was Saturday, September 26, 2026 at ATH — 4-for-6 with 2 homers, 4 driven in. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.

How our calls on Jeremy have graded

We've ranked Jeremy a top-20 hitter matchup 68 times this season. He got a hit in 45 of them — 66%. That's the model reading him well, and it's the number we'd point to if you asked why we keep ranking him. It's also a season-sized sample on one player, which is smaller than it sounds; don't extrapolate it into a promise about tonight.

Where he lands across our boards

Jeremy was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: hits graded 100/100 while walks came in at 26.2/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Jeremy's score rates the spot in front of him, not the name on the jersey. It weighs his rates against the kind of arm he's facing — handedness matters a lot — set against what that pitcher and his bullpen give up, then adjusts for expected playing time, park, weather, and recent form, normalized 0–100 across the slate. The weighting is proprietary and re-tuned weekly; the grading is public, and that's the half that proves anything.

What we'd flag

Books don't price every player — coverage tops out around 87% even for confirmed starters, so "no line" here usually means no book posted one rather than a gap in our data. Lineups change late, and an afternoon projection can be stale by first pitch. And the model is tuned across hundreds of graded outcomes, so one game tells you nothing about whether it's working.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Wednesday, September 30vs CWS42111
Tuesday, September 29vs CWS41010
Sunday, September 27@ ATH52011
Saturday, September 26@ ATH64244
Friday, September 25@ ATH50000
Thursday, September 24@ ATH51000
Wednesday, September 23@ SEA00000
Tuesday, September 22@ SEA41020
Sunday, September 20vs ATL51000
Saturday, September 19vs ATL41010
Friday, September 18vs ATL40000
Thursday, September 17vs KC52112

Jeremy Peña — FAQ

Is Jeremy Peña playing today?

Jeremy Peña isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Wednesday, September 30, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Jeremy Peña graded?

In the 68 games where our model ranked Jeremy a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 45 times — 66%. Every call is graded against the real result at the line the market offered, wins and losses both.

How has Jeremy Peña been hitting lately?

Jeremy is 13-for-42 (.310) over his last 10 games, against .276 on the season across 442 at-bats in our log, with 23 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Jeremy Peña appear on?

Jeremy was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — hits, runs, total bases, fantasy points, h+r+rbi. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Jeremy Peña's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).