MatchWiz

Jeremy Peña

Jeremy Peña — our top-20 calls on him have hit 63% this season. His matchups, projections, and the full graded record.

Last scored board
62.6
Singles · vs AZ · 2026-09-06
Our calls on him · hits
63%
1+ hit in 33/52 top-20 calls
Games graded
90
this season, box-score final
Jeremy Peña
SSBats RThrows RHouston Astros
Singles62.6/100proj 0.7#18Hits62/100proj 1.1#17H+R+RBI54.8/100proj 1.8#34Fantasy Points54.4/100proj 6.8#45RBIs53.4/100proj 0.5#47Doubles50.6/100proj 0.2#43Total Bases50.5/100proj 1.6#44Walks47.7/100proj 0.4#42Runs40.9/100proj 0.5#84Home Runs35.6/100proj 0.1#49Stolen Bases19.4/100proj 0.1#43Triples17.1/100proj 0#68

Last scored matchup

Jeremy isn't on today's slate. He was last scored yesterday, at home against Arizona Diamondbacks on Sunday, September 6, 2026, where he landed on singles (62.6/100), hits (62/100), h+r+rbi (54.8/100). This page refreshes with new projections as soon as he's back in a lineup.

He's in a cold stretch

Jeremy is 7-for-40 (.175) across his last 10 games, down from .267 on the season. Slumps this size are mostly noise at this sample — 40 at-bats is a fortnight, not a trend — and the model treats it that way, discounting the cold run rather than writing him off. If the matchup underneath is good, he'll still grade well here. That's a feature, and sometimes it's wrong.

What kind of hitter he is

Jeremy has 17 home runs and 31 extra-base hits in 360 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.

He's a right-handed bat

Jeremy hits from the right side, so the platoon math runs the other way from a lefty's. Right-handed bats face right-handed pitching most of the time, meaning his baseline is built against the harder side and a left-handed starter is the upgrade. That's why a righty's score can jump on a day nothing else about the matchup changed. The model weighs his rates against the specific handedness he's drawing rather than a blended season number, which is where a lot of the day-to-day movement in his score comes from.

Floor and ceiling

Jeremy has recorded at least one hit in 64 of 89 games he's batted in — 72% — with 24 multi-hit games among them. That's about average — most regulars land somewhere near it.

Home and away

Jeremy is hitting .292 at home (49-for-168) and .245 on the road (47-for-192) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

Against Arizona Diamondbacks

Jeremy is 1-for-13 (.077) against Arizona Diamondbacks in our log, over 3 games. Worth knowing, worth not over-reading. 13 at-bats against one club is a tiny sample, and the model treats it as a minor input next to what that pitching staff actually allows to his handedness. Batter-versus-pitcher history is the most quoted number in baseball and one of the least predictive.

His best game in the log

Jeremy's biggest night was Sunday, August 30, 2026 at NYM — 2-for-5 with 1 homer, 2 driven in. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.

How our calls on Jeremy have graded

We've ranked Jeremy a top-20 hitter matchup 52 times this season. He got a hit in 33 of them — 63%. That's the model reading him well, and it's the number we'd point to if you asked why we keep ranking him. It's also a season-sized sample on one player, which is smaller than it sounds; don't extrapolate it into a promise about tonight.

Where he lands across our boards

Jeremy was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: singles graded 62.6/100 while triples came in at 17.1/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Jeremy's score rates the spot in front of him, not the name on the jersey. It weighs his rates against the kind of arm he's facing — handedness matters a lot — set against what that pitcher and his bullpen give up, then adjusts for expected playing time, park, weather, and recent form, normalized 0–100 across the slate. The weighting is proprietary and re-tuned weekly; the grading is public, and that's the half that proves anything.

What we'd flag

Books don't price every player — coverage tops out around 87% even for confirmed starters, so "no line" here usually means no book posted one rather than a gap in our data. Lineups change late, and an afternoon projection can be stale by first pitch. And the model is tuned across hundreds of graded outcomes, so one game tells you nothing about whether it's working.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Sunday, September 6vs AZ40000
Saturday, September 5vs AZ50010
Friday, September 4vs AZ41010
Thursday, September 3vs CWS40000
Wednesday, September 2vs CWS41000
Tuesday, September 1vs CWS30000
Monday, August 31vs CWS41000
Sunday, August 30@ NYM52112
Saturday, August 29@ NYM41010
Friday, August 28@ NYM31000
Thursday, August 27@ NYY41121
Wednesday, August 26@ NYY40000

Jeremy Peña — FAQ

Is Jeremy Peña playing today?

Jeremy Peña isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Sunday, September 6, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Jeremy Peña graded?

In the 52 games where our model ranked Jeremy a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 33 times — 63%. Every call is graded against the real result at the line the market offered, wins and losses both.

How has Jeremy Peña been hitting lately?

Jeremy is 7-for-40 (.175) over his last 10 games, against .267 on the season across 360 at-bats in our log, with 17 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Jeremy Peña appear on?

Jeremy was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — singles, hits, h+r+rbi, fantasy points, rbis. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Jeremy Peña's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).