MatchWiz

Willi Castro

Willi Castro — the model's read on today's matchup and how our calls on him have graded. Top board today: total bases at 59.8/100.

Today's top board
59.8
Total Bases · vs WSH
Our calls on him · hits
69%
1+ hit in 11/16 top-20 calls
Games graded
82
this season, box-score final
Willi Castro
2BBats SThrows RColorado Rockies
Total Bases59.8/100proj 1.7#58Hits55.9/100proj 1.1#65Runs55.6/100proj 0.5#57H+R+RBI48.9/100proj 1.8#88Fantasy Points39.1/100proj 7.2#72RBIs38.4/100proj 0.5#139Home Runs28.3/100proj 0.1#106Walks24.7/100proj 0.5#70Stolen Bases13.7/100proj 0.1#94

Today's matchup

Willi is hosting Washington Nationals on the Tuesday, July 21, 2026 slate. He lands on 9 of our boards — total bases (59.8/100, #58), hits (55.9/100, #65), runs (55.6/100, #57), h+r+rbi (48.9/100, #88). We project Willi for 1.7 on the total bases board. Tap any board for the full breakdown, and check back for the graded result once the game's final.

Recent form

Over his last 5 games, Willi is 5-for-16 (.313) with 2 homers. The full log's below.

How our calls on Willi have done

When we've ranked Willi a top-20 hitter matchup this season, he's recorded a hit in 11 of 16 games (69%). That's the honest number — graded against the real box score, hits and misses both.

How the model reads him

Willi's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Monday, July 20vs WSH31003
Sunday, July 19vs CIN41111
Saturday, July 18vs CIN41001
Friday, July 17vs CIN42111
Saturday, July 11@ SF10000
Friday, July 10@ SF40000
Thursday, July 9@ SF41112
Wednesday, July 8@ LAD20000
Tuesday, July 7@ LAD41000
Monday, July 6@ LAD51010
Sunday, July 5vs SF11000
Saturday, July 4vs SF40000

Willi Castro — FAQ

Who is Willi Castro facing today?

Willi Castro is hosting Washington Nationals on Tuesday, July 21, 2026. His best matchup grades 59.8/100 on our total bases board.

What's Willi Castro's projection today?

We project Willi for 1.7 on the total bases board (home vs WSH). Every board he's scored on is listed with its matchup score.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Willi Castro done?

In the 16 games where our model ranked Willi a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 11 times (69%). Every projection is graded against the real result.

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).