MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Home Runs · Saturday, April 18, 2026

CIN @ MIN Home Runs matchups · Saturday, April 18, 2026

CIN
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
54
Final
MIN
Minnesota Twins
MIN
Target FieldElevation 828 ftCenter Field 404 ft 39°F Partly CloudyWind 19 mph, Out To CF

CIN CIN Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 BF
Season.00047 BF
Last 2 Years.034656 BF
wOBA allowed.259
Hard-Hit %35%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 BF
Season.00046 BF
Last 2 Years.031620 BF
wOBA allowed.291
Hard-Hit %50%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00047 PA
Season.00064 PA
Last 2 Years.026811 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 PA
Season.00047 PA
Last 2 Years.034656 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–3
ERA3.98
WHIP1.28
IP83.2
H / K / BB72 / 91 / 35

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.031193 PA
Season.028252 PA
Last 2 Years.0302926 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +9%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.312
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.315
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.115

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+950
BOLBetOnline+900
BRBetRivers+800

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA
Season.00012 PA
Last 2 Years.018270 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.00046 PA
Last 2 Years.031620 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–3
ERA3.98
WHIP1.28
IP83.2
H / K / BB72 / 91 / 35

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.010205 PA
Season.014284 PA
Last 2 Years.0313332 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +15%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.306
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.131

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02245 PA
Season.03361 PA
Last 2 Years.036984 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 PA
Season.00047 PA
Last 2 Years.034656 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–3
ERA3.98
WHIP1.28
IP83.2
H / K / BB72 / 91 / 35

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.031193 PA
Season.028252 PA
Last 2 Years.0302926 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +12%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.339
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.315
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.164

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+625
BOLBetOnline+600
BRBetRivers+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.043

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08746 PA
Season.08162 PA
Last 2 Years.080113 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.00046 PA
Last 2 Years.031620 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–3
ERA3.98
WHIP1.28
IP83.2
H / K / BB72 / 91 / 35

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.010205 PA
Season.014284 PA
Last 2 Years.0313332 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +10%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.333
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.194

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+575
CZRCaesars+525
BOLBetOnline+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.042

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02245 PA
Season.03558 PA
Last 2 Years.061930 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.00046 PA
Last 2 Years.031620 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–3
ERA3.98
WHIP1.28
IP83.2
H / K / BB72 / 91 / 35

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.010205 PA
Season.014284 PA
Last 2 Years.0313332 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +9%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.333
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.364
Plate Appearances11

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.181

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+475
BOLBetOnline+450
BRBetRivers+430

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2.1× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00048 PA
Season.00065 PA
Last 2 Years.024511 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.00046 PA
Last 2 Years.031620 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–3
ERA3.98
WHIP1.28
IP83.2
H / K / BB72 / 91 / 35

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.010205 PA
Season.014284 PA
Last 2 Years.0313332 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +10%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.300
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.104

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06730 PA
Season.05437 PA
Last 2 Years.035650 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.00046 PA
Last 2 Years.031620 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–3
ERA3.98
WHIP1.28
IP83.2
H / K / BB72 / 91 / 35

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.010205 PA
Season.014284 PA
Last 2 Years.0313332 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +12%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.324
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.15

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+700
BRBetRivers+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA
Season.0008 PA
Last 2 Years.09464 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.00046 PA
Last 2 Years.031620 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–3
ERA3.98
WHIP1.28
IP83.2
H / K / BB72 / 91 / 35

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.010205 PA
Season.014284 PA
Last 2 Years.0313332 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.321
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.14

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+600
CZRCaesars+575
BRBetRivers+550

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02638 PA
Season.02148 PA
Last 2 Years.034923 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.00046 PA
Last 2 Years.031620 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–3
ERA3.98
WHIP1.28
IP83.2
H / K / BB72 / 91 / 35

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.010205 PA
Season.014284 PA
Last 2 Years.0313332 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +8%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.118

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

MIN MIN Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0005 BF
Season.05319 BF
Last 2 Years.016305 BF
wOBA allowed.533
Hard-Hit %40%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02737 BF
Season.01471 BF
Last 2 Years.041986 BF
wOBA allowed.308
Hard-Hit %29%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00026 PA
Season.00039 PA
Last 2 Years.052252 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02737 PA
Season.01471 PA
Last 2 Years.041986 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.90
WHIP1.41
IP90.0
H / K / BB87 / 70 / 40

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.015265 PA
Season.017362 PA
Last 2 Years.0212828 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +9%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.328
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.318
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.166

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+400
CZRCaesars+390
BRBetRivers+350

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form🔥 7-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03628 PA
Season.02442 PA
Last 2 Years.012169 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02737 PA
Season.01471 PA
Last 2 Years.041986 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.90
WHIP1.41
IP90.0
H / K / BB87 / 70 / 40

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.015265 PA
Season.017362 PA
Last 2 Years.0212828 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.336
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.318
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.144

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+1100
BOLBetOnline+900
BRBetRivers+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA
Season.0009 PA
Last 2 Years.000119 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA
Season.05319 PA
Last 2 Years.016305 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.90
WHIP1.41
IP90.0
H / K / BB87 / 70 / 40

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.015203 PA
Season.031289 PA
Last 2 Years.0312556 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +10%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.310
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.319
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.12

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04224 PA
Season.02934 PA
Last 2 Years.036307 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02737 PA
Season.01471 PA
Last 2 Years.041986 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.90
WHIP1.41
IP90.0
H / K / BB87 / 70 / 40

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.015265 PA
Season.017362 PA
Last 2 Years.0212828 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.337
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.318
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.600
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.149

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+575
BRBetRivers+540
BOLBetOnline+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.8× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00030 PA
Season.00042 PA
Last 2 Years.009108 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02737 PA
Season.01471 PA
Last 2 Years.041986 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.90
WHIP1.41
IP90.0
H / K / BB87 / 70 / 40

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.015265 PA
Season.017362 PA
Last 2 Years.0212828 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +10%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.306
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.318
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.115

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+1150
CZRCaesars+950
BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.02638 PA
Last 2 Years.034178 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA
Season.05319 PA
Last 2 Years.016305 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.90
WHIP1.41
IP90.0
H / K / BB87 / 70 / 40

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.015203 PA
Season.031289 PA
Last 2 Years.0312556 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +13%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.319
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.137

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08723 PA
Season.06133 PA
Last 2 Years.030263 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02737 PA
Season.01471 PA
Last 2 Years.041986 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.90
WHIP1.41
IP90.0
H / K / BB87 / 70 / 40

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.015265 PA
Season.017362 PA
Last 2 Years.0212828 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +8%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.318
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.126

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+850
BRBetRivers+800
BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10010 PA
Season.10010 PA
Last 2 Years.02246 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02737 PA
Season.01471 PA
Last 2 Years.041986 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.90
WHIP1.41
IP90.0
H / K / BB87 / 70 / 40

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.015265 PA
Season.017362 PA
Last 2 Years.0212828 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +9%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.318
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.123

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+1000
CZRCaesars+950
BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA
Season.0008 PA
Last 2 Years.05735 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA
Season.05319 PA
Last 2 Years.016305 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.90
WHIP1.41
IP90.0
H / K / BB87 / 70 / 40

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.015203 PA
Season.031289 PA
Last 2 Years.0312556 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.319
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.122

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+575
BOLBetOnline+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.