Best MLB Stolen Bases Matchups — Sunday, June 28, 2026
Top stolen bases spot: Bobby Witt Jr.
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Anthony Kay. The righty is running at .152 SB/PA against lefties this year — and .200 over the last two weeks, an elite bat that turns into a stolen base in about 6% of his trips. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Anthony Kay too — .333 across 6 career trips. It all sets up in a neutral park, though the weather fights it.
The rest of the top of the board
- Chandler Simpson (TB) (93) vs RHP Merrill Kelly: an elite bat at .063.
- Jake Mangum (PIT) (83) vs RHP Brady Singer: an elite bat at .046.
- Otto Lopez (MIA) (77) vs RHP Kyle Leahy: a high-volume bat at .040.
- Konnor Griffin (PIT) (75) vs RHP Brady Singer: a high-volume bat at .033, hot bat.
- Samad Taylor (SD) (68) vs RHP Emmet Sheehan: an elite bat at .055, due to bounce back.
- Henry Bolte (ATH) (66) vs LHP Sam Aldegheri: a high-volume bat at .037.
- Geraldo Perdomo (AZ) (63) vs RHP Drew Rasmussen: an active bat at .027.
Platoon edges to target
- Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) — righty bat vs LHP, .152 against lefties this year.
- Chandler Simpson (TB) — lefty bat vs RHP, .077 against righties this year.
- Jake Mangum (PIT) — lefty bat vs RHP, .080 against righties this year.
- Henry Bolte (ATH) — righty bat vs LHP, .063 against lefties this year.
- Geraldo Perdomo (AZ) — lefty bat vs RHP, .026 against righties this year.
Lineup watch
72 of today's hitters are still on projected lineups, drawn from each team's last game. Batting order drives the score, so these flip the moment official lineups post — usually about two hours before first pitch. Anyone who doesn't make the official card gets flagged "Not starting" and drops to the bottom.
How to read these stolen bases matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's stolen bases per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.