MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Home Runs · Saturday, April 18, 2026

SD @ LAA Home Runs matchups · Saturday, April 18, 2026

SD
SD
San Diego Padres
41
Final
LAA
Los Angeles Angels
LAA
Angel StadiumElevation 151 ftCenter Field 396 ft 75°F Partly CloudyWind 8 mph, R To L

SD SD Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00012 BF
Season.04821 BF
Last 2 Years.023306 BF
wOBA allowed.387
Hard-Hit %31%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06929 BF
Season.02968 BF
Last 2 Years.0371203 BF
wOBA allowed.390
Hard-Hit %53%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 6-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.00015 PA
Last 2 Years.054261 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06929 PA
Season.02968 PA
Last 2 Years.0371203 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L0–3
ERA5.81
WHIP1.58
IP31.0
H / K / BB35 / 33 / 14

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.027221 PA
Season.017362 PA
Last 2 Years.0322683 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.332
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.328
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.235
Plate Appearances34

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.184

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+380
CZRCaesars+370
BOLBetOnline+350

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA
Season.00014 PA
Last 2 Years.020299 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06929 PA
Season.02968 PA
Last 2 Years.0371203 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L0–3
ERA5.81
WHIP1.58
IP31.0
H / K / BB35 / 33 / 14

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.027221 PA
Season.017362 PA
Last 2 Years.0322683 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.328
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances15

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.137

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+350
CZRCaesars+350
BRBetRivers+330

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA
Season.00017 PA
Last 2 Years.021328 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA
Season.04821 PA
Last 2 Years.023306 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L0–3
ERA5.81
WHIP1.58
IP31.0
H / K / BB35 / 33 / 14

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028216 PA
Season.023266 PA
Last 2 Years.0312288 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.316
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.12

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+475
BRBetRivers+440
BOLBetOnline+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA
Season.00013 PA
Last 2 Years.052327 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06929 PA
Season.02968 PA
Last 2 Years.0371203 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L0–3
ERA5.81
WHIP1.58
IP31.0
H / K / BB35 / 33 / 14

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.027221 PA
Season.017362 PA
Last 2 Years.0322683 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.326
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.328
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.267
Plate Appearances15

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.156

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+370
BOLBetOnline+350
BRBetRivers+340

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.7× / ~1.6×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA
Season.00016 PA
Last 2 Years.015275 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06929 PA
Season.02968 PA
Last 2 Years.0371203 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L0–3
ERA5.81
WHIP1.58
IP31.0
H / K / BB35 / 33 / 14

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.027221 PA
Season.017362 PA
Last 2 Years.0322683 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.328
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.308
Plate Appearances13

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.126

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+600
CZRCaesars+575
BRBetRivers+540

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0004 PA
Season.0004 PA
Last 2 Years.00076 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06929 PA
Season.02968 PA
Last 2 Years.0371203 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L0–3
ERA5.81
WHIP1.58
IP31.0
H / K / BB35 / 33 / 14

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.027221 PA
Season.017362 PA
Last 2 Years.0322683 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.328
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.114

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0003 PA
Season.0006 PA
Last 2 Years.016244 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA
Season.04821 PA
Last 2 Years.023306 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L0–3
ERA5.81
WHIP1.58
IP31.0
H / K / BB35 / 33 / 14

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028216 PA
Season.023266 PA
Last 2 Years.0312288 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.310
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.316
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.103

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA
Season.0004 PA
Last 2 Years.009224 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06929 PA
Season.02968 PA
Last 2 Years.0371203 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L0–3
ERA5.81
WHIP1.58
IP31.0
H / K / BB35 / 33 / 14

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.027221 PA
Season.017362 PA
Last 2 Years.0322683 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.328
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.429
Plate Appearances7

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.107

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+700
BRBetRivers+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.00014 PA
Last 2 Years.012332 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA
Season.04821 PA
Last 2 Years.023306 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L0–3
ERA5.81
WHIP1.58
IP31.0
H / K / BB35 / 33 / 14

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028216 PA
Season.023266 PA
Last 2 Years.0312288 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.304
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.316
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances9

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.089

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+950
BOLBetOnline+900
BRBetRivers+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

LAA LAA Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.12524 BF
Season.09432 BF
Last 2 Years.044344 BF
wOBA allowed.524
Hard-Hit %38%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 BF
Season.07427 BF
Last 2 Years.043326 BF
wOBA allowed.312
Hard-Hit %43%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04050 PA
Season.05277 PA
Last 2 Years.043954 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.07427 PA
Last 2 Years.043326 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L3–2
ERA5.76
WHIP1.45
IP29.2
H / K / BB31 / 19 / 12

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.010192 PA
Season.015276 PA
Last 2 Years.0283373 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.327
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.333
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.169

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+350
CZRCaesars+330
BRBetRivers+310

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.044

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08547 PA
Season.08075 PA
Last 2 Years.056568 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.07427 PA
Last 2 Years.043326 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L3–2
ERA5.76
WHIP1.45
IP29.2
H / K / BB31 / 19 / 12

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.010192 PA
Season.015276 PA
Last 2 Years.0283373 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.338
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.333
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances9

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.221

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+260
BOLBetOnline+250
CZRCaesars+235

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA
Season.0006 PA
Last 2 Years.000138 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.07427 PA
Last 2 Years.043326 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L3–2
ERA5.76
WHIP1.45
IP29.2
H / K / BB31 / 19 / 12

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.010192 PA
Season.015276 PA
Last 2 Years.0283373 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.302
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.333
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.109

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2.8× / ~1.6×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00037 PA
Season.00061 PA
Last 2 Years.048856 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.07427 PA
Last 2 Years.043326 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L3–2
ERA5.76
WHIP1.45
IP29.2
H / K / BB31 / 19 / 12

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.010192 PA
Season.015276 PA
Last 2 Years.0283373 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.333
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.149

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+305
BOLBetOnline+300
BRBetRivers+300

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06929 PA
Season.06050 PA
Last 2 Years.048312 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.12524 PA
Season.09432 PA
Last 2 Years.044344 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L3–2
ERA5.76
WHIP1.45
IP29.2
H / K / BB31 / 19 / 12

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.017235 PA
Season.013312 PA
Last 2 Years.0253140 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.331
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.351
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances8

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.17

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+525
CZRCaesars+475
BOLBetOnline+450

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00025 PA
Season.02344 PA
Last 2 Years.026230 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.07427 PA
Last 2 Years.043326 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L3–2
ERA5.76
WHIP1.45
IP29.2
H / K / BB31 / 19 / 12

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.010192 PA
Season.015276 PA
Last 2 Years.0283373 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.307
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.333
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.116

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+600
BRBetRivers+575
CZRCaesars+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA
Season.0007 PA
Last 2 Years.00097 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.07427 PA
Last 2 Years.043326 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L3–2
ERA5.76
WHIP1.45
IP29.2
H / K / BB31 / 19 / 12

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.010192 PA
Season.015276 PA
Last 2 Years.0283373 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.333
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.107

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02935 PA
Season.01952 PA
Last 2 Years.038789 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.07427 PA
Last 2 Years.043326 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L3–2
ERA5.76
WHIP1.45
IP29.2
H / K / BB31 / 19 / 12

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.010192 PA
Season.015276 PA
Last 2 Years.0283373 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.307
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.333
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.400
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.13

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+450
CZRCaesars+425
BRBetRivers+410

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA
Season.04025 PA
Last 2 Years.017642 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.12524 PA
Season.09432 PA
Last 2 Years.044344 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L3–2
ERA5.76
WHIP1.45
IP29.2
H / K / BB31 / 19 / 12

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.017235 PA
Season.013312 PA
Last 2 Years.0253140 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.321
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.351
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances25

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.095

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+1150
CZRCaesars+1100
BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.