MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Home Runs · Sunday, April 19, 2026

TOR @ AZ Home Runs matchups · Sunday, April 19, 2026

TOR
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
104
Final
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
AZ
Chase FieldElevation 1,086 ftCenter Field 407 ft 78°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

TOR TOR Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 BF
Season.06348 BF
Last 2 Years.026618 BF
wOBA allowed.281
Hard-Hit %32%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 BF
Season.02638 BF
Last 2 Years.031653 BF
wOBA allowed.268
Hard-Hit %38%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00029 PA
Season.00039 PA
Last 2 Years.026501 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.06348 PA
Last 2 Years.026618 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–5
ERA4.97
WHIP1.24
IP83.1
H / K / BB81 / 62 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.024206 PA
Season.021325 PA
Last 2 Years.0323479 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.301
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average1.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.121

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+1000
CZRCaesars+850
BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00041 PA
Season.00064 PA
Last 2 Years.016745 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.02638 PA
Last 2 Years.031653 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–5
ERA4.97
WHIP1.24
IP83.1
H / K / BB81 / 62 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.027220 PA
Season.028325 PA
Last 2 Years.0314044 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.097

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+950
BOLBetOnline+900
BRBetRivers+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 9-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00046 PA
Season.00070 PA
Last 2 Years.0351080 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.02638 PA
Last 2 Years.031653 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–5
ERA4.97
WHIP1.24
IP83.1
H / K / BB81 / 62 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.027220 PA
Season.028325 PA
Last 2 Years.0314044 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.343
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances9

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.162

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+420
BOLBetOnline+400
CZRCaesars+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02540 PA
Season.03361 PA
Last 2 Years.034872 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.06348 PA
Last 2 Years.026618 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–5
ERA4.97
WHIP1.24
IP83.1
H / K / BB81 / 62 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.024206 PA
Season.021325 PA
Last 2 Years.0323479 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.323
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.301
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.152

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+550
BOLBetOnline+500
CZRCaesars+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.3× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.00011 PA
Last 2 Years.024249 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.02638 PA
Last 2 Years.031653 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–5
ERA4.97
WHIP1.24
IP83.1
H / K / BB81 / 62 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.027220 PA
Season.028325 PA
Last 2 Years.0314044 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.123

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BOLBetOnline+500
CZRCaesars+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02935 PA
Season.05455 PA
Last 2 Years.023738 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.06348 PA
Last 2 Years.026618 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–5
ERA4.97
WHIP1.24
IP83.1
H / K / BB81 / 62 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.024206 PA
Season.021325 PA
Last 2 Years.0323479 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.301
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.11

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+950
BOLBetOnline+900
BRBetRivers+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00039 PA
Season.03164 PA
Last 2 Years.03164 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.02638 PA
Last 2 Years.031653 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–5
ERA4.97
WHIP1.24
IP83.1
H / K / BB81 / 62 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.027220 PA
Season.028325 PA
Last 2 Years.0314044 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.301
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average1.000
Plate Appearances1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.118

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+625
BOLBetOnline+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08312 PA
Season.07713 PA
Last 2 Years.024169 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.02638 PA
Last 2 Years.031653 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–5
ERA4.97
WHIP1.24
IP83.1
H / K / BB81 / 62 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.027220 PA
Season.028325 PA
Last 2 Years.0314044 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.324
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.116

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+1300
BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05319 PA
Season.05319 PA
Last 2 Years.05319 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.06348 PA
Last 2 Years.026618 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–5
ERA4.97
WHIP1.24
IP83.1
H / K / BB81 / 62 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.024206 PA
Season.021325 PA
Last 2 Years.0323479 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.301
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.119

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BOLBetOnline+900
CZRCaesars+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

AZ AZ Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03628 BF
Season.02147 BF
Last 2 Years.026780 BF
wOBA allowed.243
Hard-Hit %32%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 BF
Season.02441 BF
Last 2 Years.026770 BF
wOBA allowed.194
Hard-Hit %42%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.042

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08834 PA
Season.06562 PA
Last 2 Years.051758 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03628 PA
Season.02147 PA
Last 2 Years.026780 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L4–7
ERA4.19
WHIP1.19
IP101.0
H / K / BB96 / 100 / 24

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.035198 PA
Season.029280 PA
Last 2 Years.0312770 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.334
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.300
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.133
Plate Appearances30

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.2

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+475
BOLBetOnline+400
BRBetRivers+350

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00026 PA
Season.00032 PA
Last 2 Years.00071 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03628 PA
Season.02147 PA
Last 2 Years.026780 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L4–7
ERA4.19
WHIP1.19
IP101.0
H / K / BB96 / 100 / 24

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.035198 PA
Season.029280 PA
Last 2 Years.0312770 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.305
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.300
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.113

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00033 PA
Season.05139 PA
Last 2 Years.05139 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.02441 PA
Last 2 Years.026770 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L4–7
ERA4.19
WHIP1.19
IP101.0
H / K / BB96 / 100 / 24

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030200 PA
Season.029309 PA
Last 2 Years.0293932 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.303
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.144

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+1050
CZRCaesars+950
BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.0008 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.02441 PA
Last 2 Years.026770 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L4–7
ERA4.19
WHIP1.19
IP101.0
H / K / BB96 / 100 / 24

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030200 PA
Season.029309 PA
Last 2 Years.0293932 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.310
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.303
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.131

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.6× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03628 PA
Season.03628 PA
Last 2 Years.041219 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03628 PA
Season.02147 PA
Last 2 Years.026780 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L4–7
ERA4.19
WHIP1.19
IP101.0
H / K / BB96 / 100 / 24

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.035198 PA
Season.029280 PA
Last 2 Years.0312770 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.319
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.300
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.667
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.14

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+700
BOLBetOnline+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 14-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00028 PA
Season.00032 PA
Last 2 Years.008261 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03628 PA
Season.02147 PA
Last 2 Years.026780 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L4–7
ERA4.19
WHIP1.19
IP101.0
H / K / BB96 / 100 / 24

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.035198 PA
Season.029280 PA
Last 2 Years.0312770 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.300
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.103

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+1100
BRBetRivers+1000
BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.00023 PA
Last 2 Years.036166 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.02441 PA
Last 2 Years.026770 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L4–7
ERA4.19
WHIP1.19
IP101.0
H / K / BB96 / 100 / 24

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030200 PA
Season.029309 PA
Last 2 Years.0293932 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.301
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.303
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.111

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA
Season.00016 PA
Last 2 Years.034239 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.02441 PA
Last 2 Years.026770 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L4–7
ERA4.19
WHIP1.19
IP101.0
H / K / BB96 / 100 / 24

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030200 PA
Season.029309 PA
Last 2 Years.0293932 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.303
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.222
Plate Appearances18

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.114

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+950
BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00029 PA
Season.00049 PA
Last 2 Years.018499 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03628 PA
Season.02147 PA
Last 2 Years.026780 PA

Opposing Starter · Season18 GS

W–L4–7
ERA4.19
WHIP1.19
IP101.0
H / K / BB96 / 100 / 24

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.035198 PA
Season.029280 PA
Last 2 Years.0312770 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.297
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.300
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.099

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+950
BOLBetOnline+900
CZRCaesars+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.