MatchWiz Plays
Home Runs · Monday, April 20, 2026

ATH @ SEA Home Runs matchups · Monday, April 20, 2026

ATH
ATH
Athletics
64
Final
SEA
Seattle Mariners
SEA
T-Mobile ParkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 405 ft 72°F Partly CloudyWind 5 mph, Out To CF

ATH ATH Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00012 BF
Season.00037 BF
Last 2 Years.043329 BF
wOBA allowed.194
Hard-Hit %40%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03330 BF
Season.04248 BF
Last 2 Years.032341 BF
wOBA allowed.258
Hard-Hit %34%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.043

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04941 PA
Season.03263 PA
Last 2 Years.073399 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA
Season.00037 PA
Last 2 Years.043329 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.47
WHIP1.05
IP90.2
H / K / BB73 / 87 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.015198 PA
Season.021375 PA
Last 2 Years.0304005 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.362
Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.318
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.125
Plate Appearances8

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.261

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+305
BOLBetOnline+300
BRBetRivers+265

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.040

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02246 PA
Season.05770 PA
Last 2 Years.051818 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03330 PA
Season.04248 PA
Last 2 Years.032341 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.47
WHIP1.05
IP90.2
H / K / BB73 / 87 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.011281 PA
Season.011371 PA
Last 2 Years.0254360 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.335
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.313
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.182
Plate Appearances11

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.191

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+370
CZRCaesars+350
BOLBetOnline+300

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02836 PA
Season.02442 PA
Last 2 Years.037136 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA
Season.00037 PA
Last 2 Years.043329 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.47
WHIP1.05
IP90.2
H / K / BB73 / 87 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.015198 PA
Season.021375 PA
Last 2 Years.0304005 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.325
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.318
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.400
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.149

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+625
BOLBetOnline+600
BRBetRivers+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04347 PA
Season.02969 PA
Last 2 Years.042738 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA
Season.00037 PA
Last 2 Years.043329 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.47
WHIP1.05
IP90.2
H / K / BB73 / 87 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.015198 PA
Season.021375 PA
Last 2 Years.0304005 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.331
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.318
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.400
Plate Appearances10

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.168

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+500
CZRCaesars+500
BOLBetOnline+450

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04346 PA
Season.02970 PA
Last 2 Years.020557 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03330 PA
Season.04248 PA
Last 2 Years.032341 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.47
WHIP1.05
IP90.2
H / K / BB73 / 87 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.011281 PA
Season.011371 PA
Last 2 Years.0254360 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.313
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.104

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+850
CZRCaesars+850
BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00040 PA
Season.00059 PA
Last 2 Years.028728 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA
Season.00037 PA
Last 2 Years.043329 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.47
WHIP1.05
IP90.2
H / K / BB73 / 87 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.015198 PA
Season.021375 PA
Last 2 Years.0304005 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.318
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.116

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+850
BRBetRivers+750
BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00036 PA
Season.01855 PA
Last 2 Years.039231 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03330 PA
Season.04248 PA
Last 2 Years.032341 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.47
WHIP1.05
IP90.2
H / K / BB73 / 87 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.011281 PA
Season.011371 PA
Last 2 Years.0254360 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.312
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.313
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.127

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02639 PA
Season.03655 PA
Last 2 Years.040876 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA
Season.00037 PA
Last 2 Years.043329 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.47
WHIP1.05
IP90.2
H / K / BB73 / 87 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.015198 PA
Season.021375 PA
Last 2 Years.0304005 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.318
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.100
Plate Appearances10

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.142

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+625
BRBetRivers+540
BOLBetOnline+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA
Season.00035 PA
Last 2 Years.012163 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03330 PA
Season.04248 PA
Last 2 Years.032341 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.47
WHIP1.05
IP90.2
H / K / BB73 / 87 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.011281 PA
Season.011371 PA
Last 2 Years.0254360 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.302
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.313
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.099

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

SEA SEA Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04821 BF
Season.03628 BF
Last 2 Years.049288 BF
wOBA allowed.206
Hard-Hit %25%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05020 BF
Season.02935 BF
Last 2 Years.029309 BF
wOBA allowed.284
Hard-Hit %28%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00041 PA
Season.00045 PA
Last 2 Years.015738 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04821 PA
Season.03628 PA
Last 2 Years.049288 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–4
ERA3.15
WHIP1.22
IP88.2
H / K / BB72 / 78 / 36

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.032218 PA
Season.026308 PA
Last 2 Years.0292749 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.333
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.117

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+700
CZRCaesars+625
BOLBetOnline+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.042

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04050 PA
Season.02773 PA
Last 2 Years.061981 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04821 PA
Season.03628 PA
Last 2 Years.049288 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–4
ERA3.15
WHIP1.22
IP88.2
H / K / BB72 / 78 / 36

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.032218 PA
Season.026308 PA
Last 2 Years.0292749 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.328
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.333
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.204

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+340
CZRCaesars+305
BOLBetOnline+225

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00050 PA
Season.00074 PA
Last 2 Years.036990 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05020 PA
Season.02935 PA
Last 2 Years.029309 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–4
ERA3.15
WHIP1.22
IP88.2
H / K / BB72 / 78 / 36

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.041269 PA
Season.031392 PA
Last 2 Years.0323990 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.321
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.303
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.143

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+430
BOLBetOnline+400
CZRCaesars+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04347 PA
Season.02871 PA
Last 2 Years.042882 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04821 PA
Season.03628 PA
Last 2 Years.049288 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–4
ERA3.15
WHIP1.22
IP88.2
H / K / BB72 / 78 / 36

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.032218 PA
Season.026308 PA
Last 2 Years.0292749 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.333
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.667
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.161

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+500
BRBetRivers+460
BOLBetOnline+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02049 PA
Season.01375 PA
Last 2 Years.031999 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05020 PA
Season.02935 PA
Last 2 Years.029309 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–4
ERA3.15
WHIP1.22
IP88.2
H / K / BB72 / 78 / 36

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.041269 PA
Season.031392 PA
Last 2 Years.0323990 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.327
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.303
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.139

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+525
BOLBetOnline+500
BRBetRivers+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA
Season.0002 PA
Last 2 Years.021235 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05020 PA
Season.02935 PA
Last 2 Years.029309 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–4
ERA3.15
WHIP1.22
IP88.2
H / K / BB72 / 78 / 36

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.041269 PA
Season.031392 PA
Last 2 Years.0323990 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.315
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.303
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.13

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00031 PA
Season.04050 PA
Last 2 Years.043391 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04821 PA
Season.03628 PA
Last 2 Years.049288 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–4
ERA3.15
WHIP1.22
IP88.2
H / K / BB72 / 78 / 36

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.032218 PA
Season.026308 PA
Last 2 Years.0292749 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.326
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.333
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average1.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.159

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+475
CZRCaesars+475
BOLBetOnline+450

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00044 PA
Season.01565 PA
Last 2 Years.020255 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04821 PA
Season.03628 PA
Last 2 Years.049288 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–4
ERA3.15
WHIP1.22
IP88.2
H / K / BB72 / 78 / 36

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.032218 PA
Season.026308 PA
Last 2 Years.0292749 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.333
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.101

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+800
CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~1.8× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA
Season.00042 PA
Last 2 Years.012166 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04821 PA
Season.03628 PA
Last 2 Years.049288 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–4
ERA3.15
WHIP1.22
IP88.2
H / K / BB72 / 78 / 36

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.032218 PA
Season.026308 PA
Last 2 Years.0292749 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.319
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.333
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.1

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+1300
CZRCaesars+1100
BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.