MatchWiz Plays
Home Runs · Sunday, April 26, 2026

SEA @ STL Home Runs matchups · Sunday, April 26, 2026

SEA
SEA
Seattle Mariners
32
Final
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
STL
Busch StadiumElevation 460 ftCenter Field 400 ft 77°F SunnyWind 9 mph, R To L

SEA SEA Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05636 BF
Season.02677 BF
Last 2 Years.036303 BF
wOBA allowed.259
Hard-Hit %30%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1437 BF
Season.07128 BF
Last 2 Years.021288 BF
wOBA allowed.289
Hard-Hit %23%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00041 PA
Season.00059 PA
Last 2 Years.015735 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05636 PA
Season.02677 PA
Last 2 Years.036303 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–6
ERA3.12
WHIP1.14
IP89.1
H / K / BB81 / 57 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.027222 PA
Season.032441 PA
Last 2 Years.0282817 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.315
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.320
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.11

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+700
BRBetRivers+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.044

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05852 PA
Season.04392 PA
Last 2 Years.060983 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05636 PA
Season.02677 PA
Last 2 Years.036303 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–6
ERA3.12
WHIP1.14
IP89.1
H / K / BB81 / 57 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.027222 PA
Season.032441 PA
Last 2 Years.0282817 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.329
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.320
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.204

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+235
BRBetRivers+230
BOLBetOnline+225

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00052 PA
Season.00092 PA
Last 2 Years.035987 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1437 PA
Season.07128 PA
Last 2 Years.021288 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–6
ERA3.12
WHIP1.14
IP89.1
H / K / BB81 / 57 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034234 PA
Season.025442 PA
Last 2 Years.0263700 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.303
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.134

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+525
CZRCaesars+525
BOLBetOnline+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00049 PA
Season.01190 PA
Last 2 Years.030995 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1437 PA
Season.07128 PA
Last 2 Years.021288 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–6
ERA3.12
WHIP1.14
IP89.1
H / K / BB81 / 57 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034234 PA
Season.025442 PA
Last 2 Years.0263700 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.324
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.303
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.13

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+600
BRBetRivers+575
CZRCaesars+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA
Season.0006 PA
Last 2 Years.018225 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1437 PA
Season.07128 PA
Last 2 Years.021288 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–6
ERA3.12
WHIP1.14
IP89.1
H / K / BB81 / 57 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034234 PA
Season.025442 PA
Last 2 Years.0263700 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.310
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.303
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.124

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.00017 PA
Last 2 Years.030367 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1437 PA
Season.07128 PA
Last 2 Years.021288 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–6
ERA3.12
WHIP1.14
IP89.1
H / K / BB81 / 57 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034234 PA
Season.025442 PA
Last 2 Years.0263700 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.298
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.303
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.113

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0004 PA
Season.0005 PA
Last 2 Years.021243 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1437 PA
Season.07128 PA
Last 2 Years.021288 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–6
ERA3.12
WHIP1.14
IP89.1
H / K / BB81 / 57 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034234 PA
Season.025442 PA
Last 2 Years.0263700 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.303
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.108

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+900
CZRCaesars+850
BRBetRivers+800

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00041 PA
Season.01378 PA
Last 2 Years.019268 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05636 PA
Season.02677 PA
Last 2 Years.036303 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–6
ERA3.12
WHIP1.14
IP89.1
H / K / BB81 / 57 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.027222 PA
Season.032441 PA
Last 2 Years.0282817 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.320
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.097

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+750
BRBetRivers+650
BOLBetOnline+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00025 PA
Season.00054 PA
Last 2 Years.011178 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05636 PA
Season.02677 PA
Last 2 Years.036303 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–6
ERA3.12
WHIP1.14
IP89.1
H / K / BB81 / 57 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.027222 PA
Season.032441 PA
Last 2 Years.0282817 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.320
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.095

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+1100
BRBetRivers+1000
BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

STL STL Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10519 BF
Season.04248 BF
Last 2 Years.049330 BF
wOBA allowed.292
Hard-Hit %43%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08324 BF
Season.05357 BF
Last 2 Years.036336 BF
wOBA allowed.269
Hard-Hit %36%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02639 PA
Season.02579 PA
Last 2 Years.02579 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10519 PA
Season.04248 PA
Last 2 Years.049330 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.47
WHIP1.05
IP90.2
H / K / BB73 / 87 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.033211 PA
Season.029448 PA
Last 2 Years.0303897 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.328
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.141

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+625
BOLBetOnline+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 8-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07043 PA
Season.03684 PA
Last 2 Years.026545 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08324 PA
Season.05357 PA
Last 2 Years.036336 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.47
WHIP1.05
IP90.2
H / K / BB73 / 87 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.019261 PA
Season.017425 PA
Last 2 Years.0264228 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.337
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.164

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+600
CZRCaesars+575
BRBetRivers+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02540 PA
Season.02579 PA
Last 2 Years.038910 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10519 PA
Season.04248 PA
Last 2 Years.049330 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.47
WHIP1.05
IP90.2
H / K / BB73 / 87 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.033211 PA
Season.029448 PA
Last 2 Years.0303897 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.337
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.328
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.161

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+525
BOLBetOnline+500
BRBetRivers+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06546 PA
Season.06083 PA
Last 2 Years.027450 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08324 PA
Season.05357 PA
Last 2 Years.036336 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.47
WHIP1.05
IP90.2
H / K / BB73 / 87 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.019261 PA
Season.017425 PA
Last 2 Years.0264228 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.312
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.154

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+400
CZRCaesars+390
BOLBetOnline+350

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02245 PA
Season.03683 PA
Last 2 Years.039618 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10519 PA
Season.04248 PA
Last 2 Years.049330 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.47
WHIP1.05
IP90.2
H / K / BB73 / 87 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.033211 PA
Season.029448 PA
Last 2 Years.0303897 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.328
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.148

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+500
CZRCaesars+500
BRBetRivers+460

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 10-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02638 PA
Season.01471 PA
Last 2 Years.017828 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08324 PA
Season.05357 PA
Last 2 Years.036336 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.47
WHIP1.05
IP90.2
H / K / BB73 / 87 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.019261 PA
Season.017425 PA
Last 2 Years.0264228 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.315
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.105

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+950
CZRCaesars+950
BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09731 PA
Season.06661 PA
Last 2 Years.045112 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10519 PA
Season.04248 PA
Last 2 Years.049330 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.47
WHIP1.05
IP90.2
H / K / BB73 / 87 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.033211 PA
Season.029448 PA
Last 2 Years.0303897 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.328
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.667
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.142

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+900
CZRCaesars+850
BRBetRivers+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.00038 PA
Last 2 Years.028507 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08324 PA
Season.05357 PA
Last 2 Years.036336 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.47
WHIP1.05
IP90.2
H / K / BB73 / 87 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.019261 PA
Season.017425 PA
Last 2 Years.0264228 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.299
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.103

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+900
CZRCaesars+850
BRBetRivers+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0003 PA
Season.0006 PA
Last 2 Years.030132 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08324 PA
Season.05357 PA
Last 2 Years.036336 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.47
WHIP1.05
IP90.2
H / K / BB73 / 87 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.019261 PA
Season.017425 PA
Last 2 Years.0264228 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.111

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.