MatchWiz Plays
Home Runs · Sunday, April 26, 2026

SD @ AZ Home Runs matchups · Sunday, April 26, 2026

SD
SD
San Diego Padres
712
Final
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
AZ
Estadio Alfredo Harp HeluCenter Field 400 ft 85°F CloudyWind 1 mph, Varies

SD SD Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 BF
Season.05753 BF
Last 2 Years.026619 BF
wOBA allowed.329
Hard-Hit %39%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 BF
Season.02343 BF
Last 2 Years.030655 BF
wOBA allowed.356
Hard-Hit %39%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04248 PA
Season.04686 PA
Last 2 Years.043585 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.02343 PA
Last 2 Years.030655 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–5
ERA4.97
WHIP1.24
IP83.1
H / K / BB81 / 62 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.045222 PA
Season.033422 PA
Last 2 Years.0324100 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +10%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.331
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.325
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.125
Plate Appearances8

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.211

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+245
BOLBetOnline+225
CZRCaesars+225

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00047 PA
Season.00096 PA
Last 2 Years.041830 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.02343 PA
Last 2 Years.030655 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–5
ERA4.97
WHIP1.24
IP83.1
H / K / BB81 / 62 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.045222 PA
Season.033422 PA
Last 2 Years.0324100 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +10%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.333
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.325
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.286
Plate Appearances21

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.186

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+225
CZRCaesars+225
BRBetRivers+210

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02246 PA
Season.03390 PA
Last 2 Years.046764 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.05753 PA
Last 2 Years.026619 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–5
ERA4.97
WHIP1.24
IP83.1
H / K / BB81 / 62 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.044206 PA
Season.031423 PA
Last 2 Years.0333537 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +11%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.327
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.309
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.400
Plate Appearances15

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.204

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+245
BOLBetOnline+225
BRBetRivers+215

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2.1× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02246 PA
Season.02289 PA
Last 2 Years.037991 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.02343 PA
Last 2 Years.030655 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–5
ERA4.97
WHIP1.24
IP83.1
H / K / BB81 / 62 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.045222 PA
Season.033422 PA
Last 2 Years.0324100 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +10%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.321
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.325
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.276
Plate Appearances29

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.165

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+255
BOLBetOnline+250
BRBetRivers+215

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05139 PA
Season.04785 PA
Last 2 Years.027735 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.02343 PA
Last 2 Years.030655 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–5
ERA4.97
WHIP1.24
IP83.1
H / K / BB81 / 62 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.045222 PA
Season.033422 PA
Last 2 Years.0324100 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +11%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.327
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.325
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.353
Plate Appearances17

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.148

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+360
BOLBetOnline+350
CZRCaesars+350

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02737 PA
Season.04076 PA
Last 2 Years.031808 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.05753 PA
Last 2 Years.026619 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–5
ERA4.97
WHIP1.24
IP83.1
H / K / BB81 / 62 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.044206 PA
Season.031423 PA
Last 2 Years.0333537 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +10%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.309
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances10

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.147

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+250
BRBetRivers+245
CZRCaesars+245

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.00044 PA
Last 2 Years.016550 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.02343 PA
Last 2 Years.030655 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–5
ERA4.97
WHIP1.24
IP83.1
H / K / BB81 / 62 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.045222 PA
Season.033422 PA
Last 2 Years.0324100 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +12%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.325
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.113

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+475
BRBetRivers+450
BOLBetOnline+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA
Season.00047 PA
Last 2 Years.018508 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.02343 PA
Last 2 Years.030655 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–5
ERA4.97
WHIP1.24
IP83.1
H / K / BB81 / 62 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.045222 PA
Season.033422 PA
Last 2 Years.0324100 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +11%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.306
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.325
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.400
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.107

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00036 PA
Season.01377 PA
Last 2 Years.027827 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.05753 PA
Last 2 Years.026619 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–5
ERA4.97
WHIP1.24
IP83.1
H / K / BB81 / 62 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.044206 PA
Season.031423 PA
Last 2 Years.0333537 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +8%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.309
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.222
Plate Appearances27

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.119

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+460
BOLBetOnline+450
CZRCaesars+425

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

AZ AZ Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 BF
Season.00065 BF
Last 2 Years.023560 BF
wOBA allowed.207
Hard-Hit %37%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 BF
Season.02147 BF
Last 2 Years.022449 BF
wOBA allowed.378
Hard-Hit %38%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form🔥 19-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02935 PA
Season.02050 PA
Last 2 Years.011270 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 PA
Season.00065 PA
Last 2 Years.023560 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–7
ERA3.55
WHIP1.18
IP96.1
H / K / BB75 / 83 / 39

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.042213 PA
Season.025396 PA
Last 2 Years.0272979 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +10%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.298
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.139

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+400
CZRCaesars+390
BRBetRivers+375

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08336 PA
Season.05178 PA
Last 2 Years.052755 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 PA
Season.00065 PA
Last 2 Years.023560 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–7
ERA3.55
WHIP1.18
IP96.1
H / K / BB75 / 83 / 39

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.042213 PA
Season.025396 PA
Last 2 Years.0272979 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +10%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.335
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.298
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.222
Plate Appearances9

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.246

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+255
CZRCaesars+210
BOLBetOnline+200

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02934 PA
Season.03165 PA
Last 2 Years.042910 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 PA
Season.00065 PA
Last 2 Years.023560 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–7
ERA3.55
WHIP1.18
IP96.1
H / K / BB75 / 83 / 39

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.042213 PA
Season.025396 PA
Last 2 Years.0272979 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +12%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.337
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.298
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.125
Plate Appearances8

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.2

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+245
CZRCaesars+220

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA
Season.00038 PA
Last 2 Years.00077 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 PA
Season.00065 PA
Last 2 Years.023560 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–7
ERA3.55
WHIP1.18
IP96.1
H / K / BB75 / 83 / 39

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.042213 PA
Season.025396 PA
Last 2 Years.0272979 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +9%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.300
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.298
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.122

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.7× / ~1.6×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.00020 PA
Last 2 Years.034238 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.02147 PA
Last 2 Years.022449 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–7
ERA3.55
WHIP1.18
IP96.1
H / K / BB75 / 83 / 39

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.006175 PA
Season.017363 PA
Last 2 Years.0293255 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +10%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.139

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00036 PA
Season.03853 PA
Last 2 Years.03853 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.02147 PA
Last 2 Years.022449 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–7
ERA3.55
WHIP1.18
IP96.1
H / K / BB75 / 83 / 39

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.006175 PA
Season.017363 PA
Last 2 Years.0293255 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +11%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.147

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+440
CZRCaesars+400
BOLBetOnline+350

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07739 PA
Season.04567 PA
Last 2 Years.029786 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.02147 PA
Last 2 Years.022449 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–7
ERA3.55
WHIP1.18
IP96.1
H / K / BB75 / 83 / 39

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.006175 PA
Season.017363 PA
Last 2 Years.0293255 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +8%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.127

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+430
BOLBetOnline+400
CZRCaesars+390

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form🔥 6-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06332 PA
Season.03262 PA
Last 2 Years.021512 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 PA
Season.00065 PA
Last 2 Years.023560 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–7
ERA3.55
WHIP1.18
IP96.1
H / K / BB75 / 83 / 39

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.042213 PA
Season.025396 PA
Last 2 Years.0272979 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +11%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.309
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.298
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.148

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+500
CZRCaesars+475
BOLBetOnline+450

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.00024 PA
Last 2 Years.036167 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.02147 PA
Last 2 Years.022449 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–7
ERA3.55
WHIP1.18
IP96.1
H / K / BB75 / 83 / 39

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.006175 PA
Season.017363 PA
Last 2 Years.0293255 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +9%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.304
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.12

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+525
CZRCaesars+500
BOLBetOnline+450

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.