MatchWiz Plays
Home Runs · Wednesday, May 6, 2026

ATL @ SEA Home Runs matchups · Wednesday, May 6, 2026

ATL
ATL
Atlanta Braves
13
Final
SEA
Seattle Mariners
SEA
T-Mobile ParkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 405 ft 58°F CloudyWind 7 mph, Out To CF

ATL ATL Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.15426 BF
Season.04490 BF
Last 2 Years.034710 BF
wOBA allowed.302
Hard-Hit %42%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11817 BF
Season.02676 BF
Last 2 Years.033659 BF
wOBA allowed.297
Hard-Hit %31%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05636 PA
Season.057106 PA
Last 2 Years.046457 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.15426 PA
Season.04490 PA
Last 2 Years.034710 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L6–6
ERA4.26
WHIP1.04
IP93.0
H / K / BB79 / 92 / 18

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.044226 PA
Season.035544 PA
Last 2 Years.0343452 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.335
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.304
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.207

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+390
BRBetRivers+380
BOLBetOnline+350

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form🔥 17-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05934 PA
Season.05197 PA
Last 2 Years.027823 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.15426 PA
Season.04490 PA
Last 2 Years.034710 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L6–6
ERA4.26
WHIP1.04
IP93.0
H / K / BB79 / 92 / 18

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.044226 PA
Season.035544 PA
Last 2 Years.0343452 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.304
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.152

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+575
CZRCaesars+475
BOLBetOnline+450

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.047

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.17634 PA
Season.099101 PA
Last 2 Years.0491015 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.15426 PA
Season.04490 PA
Last 2 Years.034710 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L6–6
ERA4.26
WHIP1.04
IP93.0
H / K / BB79 / 92 / 18

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.044226 PA
Season.035544 PA
Last 2 Years.0343452 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.363
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.304
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.273

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+310
BOLBetOnline+300
CZRCaesars+290

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11526 PA
Season.06987 PA
Last 2 Years.037777 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.15426 PA
Season.04490 PA
Last 2 Years.034710 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L6–6
ERA4.26
WHIP1.04
IP93.0
H / K / BB79 / 92 / 18

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.044226 PA
Season.035544 PA
Last 2 Years.0343452 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.323
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.304
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.196

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+410
CZRCaesars+370
BOLBetOnline+350

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00036 PA
Season.02291 PA
Last 2 Years.015620 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11817 PA
Season.02676 PA
Last 2 Years.033659 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L6–6
ERA4.26
WHIP1.04
IP93.0
H / K / BB79 / 92 / 18

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.017178 PA
Season.020507 PA
Last 2 Years.0263852 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.312
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.300
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.385
Plate Appearances13

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.106

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+950
BOLBetOnline+900
BRBetRivers+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2.4× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05338 PA
Season.039103 PA
Last 2 Years.039694 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11817 PA
Season.02676 PA
Last 2 Years.033659 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L6–6
ERA4.26
WHIP1.04
IP93.0
H / K / BB79 / 92 / 18

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.017178 PA
Season.020507 PA
Last 2 Years.0263852 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.310
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.300
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.153

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+450
BRBetRivers+425
CZRCaesars+425

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00036 PA
Season.00099 PA
Last 2 Years.035867 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.15426 PA
Season.04490 PA
Last 2 Years.034710 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L6–6
ERA4.26
WHIP1.04
IP93.0
H / K / BB79 / 92 / 18

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.044226 PA
Season.035544 PA
Last 2 Years.0343452 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.315
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.304
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.182
Plate Appearances11

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.132

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+525
BOLBetOnline+500
CZRCaesars+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05020 PA
Season.03727 PA
Last 2 Years.030233 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11817 PA
Season.02676 PA
Last 2 Years.033659 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L6–6
ERA4.26
WHIP1.04
IP93.0
H / K / BB79 / 92 / 18

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.017178 PA
Season.020507 PA
Last 2 Years.0263852 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.305
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.300
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.12

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11817 PA
Season.02676 PA
Last 2 Years.033659 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L6–6
ERA4.26
WHIP1.04
IP93.0
H / K / BB79 / 92 / 18

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.017178 PA
Season.020507 PA
Last 2 Years.0263852 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.300
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.126

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

SEA SEA Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10010 BF
Season.03132 BF
Last 2 Years.024168 BF
wOBA allowed.313
Hard-Hit %40%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04323 BF
Season.02580 BF
Last 2 Years.042590 BF
wOBA allowed.262
Hard-Hit %41%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form🔥 7-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA
Season.02638 PA
Last 2 Years.024369 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10010 PA
Season.03132 PA
Last 2 Years.024168 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L6–4
ERA3.00
WHIP1.13
IP72.0
H / K / BB54 / 60 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.053265 PA
Season.032555 PA
Last 2 Years.0263169 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.320
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.311
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances20

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.147

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+700
BRBetRivers+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.046

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07114 PA
Season.02441 PA
Last 2 Years.085389 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04323 PA
Season.02580 PA
Last 2 Years.042590 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L6–4
ERA3.00
WHIP1.13
IP72.0
H / K / BB54 / 60 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.012172 PA
Season.025490 PA
Last 2 Years.0283965 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.326
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.322
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances7

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.223

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+300
CZRCaesars+280
BOLBetOnline+250

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~2.6× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.043

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.18816 PA
Season.09841 PA
Last 2 Years.056356 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04323 PA
Season.02580 PA
Last 2 Years.042590 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L6–4
ERA3.00
WHIP1.13
IP72.0
H / K / BB54 / 60 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.012172 PA
Season.025490 PA
Last 2 Years.0283965 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.330
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.322
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.133
Plate Appearances15

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.214

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+400
BRBetRivers+340
BOLBetOnline+300

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA
Season.00039 PA
Last 2 Years.027371 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10010 PA
Season.03132 PA
Last 2 Years.024168 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L6–4
ERA3.00
WHIP1.13
IP72.0
H / K / BB54 / 60 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.053265 PA
Season.032555 PA
Last 2 Years.0263169 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.308
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.311
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.286
Plate Appearances7

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.127

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+575
BRBetRivers+550
BOLBetOnline+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05618 PA
Season.05040 PA
Last 2 Years.044385 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04323 PA
Season.02580 PA
Last 2 Years.042590 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L6–4
ERA3.00
WHIP1.13
IP72.0
H / K / BB54 / 60 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.012172 PA
Season.025490 PA
Last 2 Years.0283965 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.328
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.322
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.210
Plate Appearances19

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.166

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+500
BRBetRivers+450
BOLBetOnline+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04821 PA
Season.04347 PA
Last 2 Years.018114 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10010 PA
Season.03132 PA
Last 2 Years.024168 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L6–4
ERA3.00
WHIP1.13
IP72.0
H / K / BB54 / 60 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.053265 PA
Season.032555 PA
Last 2 Years.0263169 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.311
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.132

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+1000
CZRCaesars+950
BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1258 PA
Season.07114 PA
Last 2 Years.011180 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04323 PA
Season.02580 PA
Last 2 Years.042590 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L6–4
ERA3.00
WHIP1.13
IP72.0
H / K / BB54 / 60 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.012172 PA
Season.025490 PA
Last 2 Years.0283965 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.310
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.322
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.143
Plate Appearances14

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.12

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+625
BOLBetOnline+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.00026 PA
Last 2 Years.036309 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04323 PA
Season.02580 PA
Last 2 Years.042590 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L6–4
ERA3.00
WHIP1.13
IP72.0
H / K / BB54 / 60 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.012172 PA
Season.025490 PA
Last 2 Years.0283965 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.323
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.322
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.132

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA
Season.00032 PA
Last 2 Years.000105 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04323 PA
Season.02580 PA
Last 2 Years.042590 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L6–4
ERA3.00
WHIP1.13
IP72.0
H / K / BB54 / 60 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.012172 PA
Season.025490 PA
Last 2 Years.0283965 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.301
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.322
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.104

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+1150
CZRCaesars+1100
BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.