MatchWiz Plays
Home Runs · Friday, May 8, 2026

NYM @ AZ Home Runs matchups · Friday, May 8, 2026

NYM
NYM
New York Mets
31
Final
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
AZ
Chase FieldElevation 1,086 ftCenter Field 407 ft 99°F ClearWind 12 mph, Varies

NYM NYM Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05319 BF
Season.05672 BF
Last 2 Years.025627 BF
wOBA allowed.336
Hard-Hit %46%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07128 BF
Season.04271 BF
Last 2 Years.033671 BF
wOBA allowed.365
Hard-Hit %34%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.045

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07739 PA
Season.05060 PA
Last 2 Years.063900 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05319 PA
Season.05672 PA
Last 2 Years.025627 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–5
ERA4.97
WHIP1.24
IP83.1
H / K / BB81 / 62 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.031191 PA
Season.033553 PA
Last 2 Years.0323597 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.364
Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.310
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.136
Plate Appearances22

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.276

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+250
CZRCaesars+245
BRBetRivers+230

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02343 PA
Season.009118 PA
Last 2 Years.019773 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07128 PA
Season.04271 PA
Last 2 Years.033671 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–5
ERA4.97
WHIP1.24
IP83.1
H / K / BB81 / 62 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.021187 PA
Season.025550 PA
Last 2 Years.0304167 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250
Plate Appearances12

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.134

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+700
CZRCaesars+625
BOLBetOnline+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02540 PA
Season.010103 PA
Last 2 Years.035493 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05319 PA
Season.05672 PA
Last 2 Years.025627 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–5
ERA4.97
WHIP1.24
IP83.1
H / K / BB81 / 62 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.031191 PA
Season.033553 PA
Last 2 Years.0323597 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.312
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.310
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.125
Plate Appearances8

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.15

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+540
CZRCaesars+525
BOLBetOnline+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2.5× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA
Season.0002 PA
Last 2 Years.008247 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05319 PA
Season.05672 PA
Last 2 Years.025627 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–5
ERA4.97
WHIP1.24
IP83.1
H / K / BB81 / 62 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.031191 PA
Season.033553 PA
Last 2 Years.0323597 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.310
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.118

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04842 PA
Season.029102 PA
Last 2 Years.029102 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05319 PA
Season.05672 PA
Last 2 Years.025627 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–5
ERA4.97
WHIP1.24
IP83.1
H / K / BB81 / 62 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.031191 PA
Season.033553 PA
Last 2 Years.0323597 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.312
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.310
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.144

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+700
CZRCaesars+700
BRBetRivers+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02343 PA
Season.018113 PA
Last 2 Years.030926 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07128 PA
Season.04271 PA
Last 2 Years.033671 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–5
ERA4.97
WHIP1.24
IP83.1
H / K / BB81 / 62 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.021187 PA
Season.025550 PA
Last 2 Years.0304167 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.302
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.143
Plate Appearances7

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.12

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+700
BRBetRivers+650
BOLBetOnline+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00026 PA
Season.00040 PA
Last 2 Years.011462 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07128 PA
Season.04271 PA
Last 2 Years.033671 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–5
ERA4.97
WHIP1.24
IP83.1
H / K / BB81 / 62 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.021187 PA
Season.025550 PA
Last 2 Years.0304167 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.294
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.095

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form🔥 6-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00037 PA
Season.03390 PA
Last 2 Years.033523 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07128 PA
Season.04271 PA
Last 2 Years.033671 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–5
ERA4.97
WHIP1.24
IP83.1
H / K / BB81 / 62 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.021187 PA
Season.025550 PA
Last 2 Years.0304167 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250
Plate Appearances12

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.142

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+475
BOLBetOnline+450
BRBetRivers+410

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA
Season.00029 PA
Last 2 Years.018325 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07128 PA
Season.04271 PA
Last 2 Years.033671 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–5
ERA4.97
WHIP1.24
IP83.1
H / K / BB81 / 62 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.021187 PA
Season.025550 PA
Last 2 Years.0304167 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.303
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.114

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+700
BRBetRivers+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

AZ AZ Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 BF
Season.01189 BF
Last 2 Years.005193 BF
wOBA allowed.238
Hard-Hit %20%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 BF
Season.01664 BF
Last 2 Years.034148 BF
wOBA allowed.237
Hard-Hit %20%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00028 PA
Season.01189 PA
Last 2 Years.021841 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA
Season.01189 PA
Last 2 Years.005193 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L4–5
ERA4.03
WHIP1.12
IP89.1
H / K / BB66 / 106 / 34

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.023214 PA
Season.031515 PA
Last 2 Years.0283407 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.325
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.299
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.123

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+950
BOLBetOnline+900
BRBetRivers+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02737 PA
Season.02579 PA
Last 2 Years.014288 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA
Season.01189 PA
Last 2 Years.005193 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L4–5
ERA4.03
WHIP1.12
IP89.1
H / K / BB66 / 106 / 34

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.023214 PA
Season.031515 PA
Last 2 Years.0283407 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.323
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.299
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.118

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+950
BOLBetOnline+900
BRBetRivers+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06332 PA
Season.04490 PA
Last 2 Years.044908 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA
Season.01189 PA
Last 2 Years.005193 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L4–5
ERA4.03
WHIP1.12
IP89.1
H / K / BB66 / 106 / 34

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.023214 PA
Season.031515 PA
Last 2 Years.0283407 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.332
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.299
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.184

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+525
CZRCaesars+525
BOLBetOnline+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.01664 PA
Last 2 Years.034148 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L4–5
ERA4.03
WHIP1.12
IP89.1
H / K / BB66 / 106 / 34

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.015207 PA
Season.015549 PA
Last 2 Years.0244587 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.305
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.146

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.3× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03330 PA
Season.04589 PA
Last 2 Years.030773 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.01664 PA
Last 2 Years.034148 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L4–5
ERA4.03
WHIP1.12
IP89.1
H / K / BB66 / 106 / 34

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.015207 PA
Season.015549 PA
Last 2 Years.0244587 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.305
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.127

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+800
BOLBetOnline+700
CZRCaesars+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form🔥 6-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00024 PA
Season.00037 PA
Last 2 Years.031712 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.01664 PA
Last 2 Years.034148 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L4–5
ERA4.03
WHIP1.12
IP89.1
H / K / BB66 / 106 / 34

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.015207 PA
Season.015549 PA
Last 2 Years.0244587 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.305
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.134

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+700
BRBetRivers+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.00045 PA
Last 2 Years.027447 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.01664 PA
Last 2 Years.034148 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L4–5
ERA4.03
WHIP1.12
IP89.1
H / K / BB66 / 106 / 34

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.015207 PA
Season.015549 PA
Last 2 Years.0244587 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.320
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.305
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.124

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+700
BRBetRivers+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04224 PA
Season.04272 PA
Last 2 Years.04272 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.01664 PA
Last 2 Years.034148 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L4–5
ERA4.03
WHIP1.12
IP89.1
H / K / BB66 / 106 / 34

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.015207 PA
Season.015549 PA
Last 2 Years.0244587 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.325
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.305
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.400
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.142

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BOLBetOnline+900
CZRCaesars+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.00047 PA
Last 2 Years.00086 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA
Season.01189 PA
Last 2 Years.005193 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L4–5
ERA4.03
WHIP1.12
IP89.1
H / K / BB66 / 106 / 34

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.023214 PA
Season.031515 PA
Last 2 Years.0283407 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.301
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.299
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.097

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+1100
BRBetRivers+1000
BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.