MatchWiz Plays
Home Runs · Sunday, May 10, 2026

MIN @ CLE Home Runs matchups · Sunday, May 10, 2026

MIN
MIN
Minnesota Twins
54
Final
CLE
Cleveland Guardians
CLE
Progressive FieldElevation 653 ftCenter Field 405 ft 56°F SunnyWind 5 mph, In From CF

MIN MIN Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05040 BF
Season.050121 BF
Last 2 Years.033658 BF
wOBA allowed.278
Hard-Hit %38%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 BF
Season.02677 BF
Last 2 Years.028576 BF
wOBA allowed.308
Hard-Hit %48%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.054

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.14349 PA
Season.103116 PA
Last 2 Years.068747 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.02677 PA
Last 2 Years.028576 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L9–4
ERA3.81
WHIP1.17
IP101.2
H / K / BB85 / 117 / 34

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.037242 PA
Season.025635 PA
Last 2 Years.0273411 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.350
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.323
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.364
Plate Appearances11

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.255

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+390
BRBetRivers+370
BOLBetOnline+350

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.00029 PA
Last 2 Years.033183 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05040 PA
Season.050121 PA
Last 2 Years.033658 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L9–4
ERA3.81
WHIP1.17
IP101.2
H / K / BB85 / 117 / 34

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.024167 PA
Season.037458 PA
Last 2 Years.0302713 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.300
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.300
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.13

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05934 PA
Season.05770 PA
Last 2 Years.027620 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.02677 PA
Last 2 Years.028576 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L9–4
ERA3.81
WHIP1.17
IP101.2
H / K / BB85 / 117 / 34

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.037242 PA
Season.025635 PA
Last 2 Years.0273411 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.323
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.375
Plate Appearances16

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.134

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+700
BOLBetOnline+600
BRBetRivers+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00037 PA
Season.02292 PA
Last 2 Years.038806 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05040 PA
Season.050121 PA
Last 2 Years.033658 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L9–4
ERA3.81
WHIP1.17
IP101.2
H / K / BB85 / 117 / 34

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.024167 PA
Season.037458 PA
Last 2 Years.0302713 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.309
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.300
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.134

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+625
BOLBetOnline+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 PA
Season.00051 PA
Last 2 Years.000302 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.02677 PA
Last 2 Years.028576 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L9–4
ERA3.81
WHIP1.17
IP101.2
H / K / BB85 / 117 / 34

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.037242 PA
Season.025635 PA
Last 2 Years.0273411 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.320
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.323
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances8

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.086

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+1300
BRBetRivers+1050
BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00045 PA
Season.010103 PA
Last 2 Years.016244 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.02677 PA
Last 2 Years.028576 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L9–4
ERA3.81
WHIP1.17
IP101.2
H / K / BB85 / 117 / 34

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.037242 PA
Season.025635 PA
Last 2 Years.0273411 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.330
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.323
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.092

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+1100
BRBetRivers+1000
BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2.1× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02540 PA
Season.03390 PA
Last 2 Years.052477 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05040 PA
Season.050121 PA
Last 2 Years.033658 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L9–4
ERA3.81
WHIP1.17
IP101.2
H / K / BB85 / 117 / 34

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.024167 PA
Season.037458 PA
Last 2 Years.0302713 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.300
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.222
Plate Appearances9

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.15

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+750
BOLBetOnline+600
CZRCaesars+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02639 PA
Season.03488 PA
Last 2 Years.028570 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05040 PA
Season.050121 PA
Last 2 Years.033658 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L9–4
ERA3.81
WHIP1.17
IP101.2
H / K / BB85 / 117 / 34

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.024167 PA
Season.037458 PA
Last 2 Years.0302713 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.300
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances10

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.103

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+850
CZRCaesars+850
BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00032 PA
Season.04369 PA
Last 2 Years.042576 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.02677 PA
Last 2 Years.028576 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L9–4
ERA3.81
WHIP1.17
IP101.2
H / K / BB85 / 117 / 34

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.037242 PA
Season.025635 PA
Last 2 Years.0273411 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.307
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.323
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.133
Plate Appearances15

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.115

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+700
BOLBetOnline+600
BRBetRivers+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

CLE CLE Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04821 BF
Season.02737 BF
Last 2 Years.02737 BF
wOBA allowed.337
Hard-Hit %38%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 BF
Season.00036 BF
Last 2 Years.00036 BF
wOBA allowed.342
Hard-Hit %15%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00035 PA
Season.009114 PA
Last 2 Years.022859 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04821 PA
Season.02737 PA
Last 2 Years.02737 PA

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L4–2
ERA4.03
WHIP1.42
IP38.0
H / K / BB41 / 40 / 13

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.027220 PA
Season.038519 PA
Last 2 Years.0363149 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.315
Hard-Hit %28%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.322
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.092

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+1300
BOLBetOnline+900
BRBetRivers+800

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02935 PA
Season.056108 PA
Last 2 Years.056108 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04821 PA
Season.02737 PA
Last 2 Years.02737 PA

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L4–2
ERA4.03
WHIP1.42
IP38.0
H / K / BB41 / 40 / 13

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.027220 PA
Season.038519 PA
Last 2 Years.0363149 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.334
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.322
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.162

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+600
BRBetRivers+600
CZRCaesars+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00046 PA
Season.015130 PA
Last 2 Years.046997 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04821 PA
Season.02737 PA
Last 2 Years.02737 PA

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L4–2
ERA4.03
WHIP1.42
IP38.0
H / K / BB41 / 40 / 13

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.027220 PA
Season.038519 PA
Last 2 Years.0363149 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.325
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.322
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.14

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+450
CZRCaesars+400
BRBetRivers+370

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08723 PA
Season.02774 PA
Last 2 Years.039566 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.00036 PA
Last 2 Years.00036 PA

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L4–2
ERA4.03
WHIP1.42
IP38.0
H / K / BB41 / 40 / 13

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.048186 PA
Season.021558 PA
Last 2 Years.0313415 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.324
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.320
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.149

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00035 PA
Season.03488 PA
Last 2 Years.030633 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04821 PA
Season.02737 PA
Last 2 Years.02737 PA

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L4–2
ERA4.03
WHIP1.42
IP38.0
H / K / BB41 / 40 / 13

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.027220 PA
Season.038519 PA
Last 2 Years.0363149 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.322
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.128

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+900
CZRCaesars+850
BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~1.5× / ~2.6×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00033 PA
Season.04687 PA
Last 2 Years.025527 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04821 PA
Season.02737 PA
Last 2 Years.02737 PA

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L4–2
ERA4.03
WHIP1.42
IP38.0
H / K / BB41 / 40 / 13

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.027220 PA
Season.038519 PA
Last 2 Years.0363149 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.300
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.322
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.101

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+800
CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~1× / ~3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00032 PA
Season.00032 PA
Last 2 Years.00032 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04821 PA
Season.02737 PA
Last 2 Years.02737 PA

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L4–2
ERA4.03
WHIP1.42
IP38.0
H / K / BB41 / 40 / 13

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.027220 PA
Season.038519 PA
Last 2 Years.0363149 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.315
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.322
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.105

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+1100
BRBetRivers+1000
BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~1× / ~2.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.16712 PA
Season.08324 PA
Last 2 Years.032252 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.00036 PA
Last 2 Years.00036 PA

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L4–2
ERA4.03
WHIP1.42
IP38.0
H / K / BB41 / 40 / 13

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.048186 PA
Season.021558 PA
Last 2 Years.0313415 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.320
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.121

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~1× / ~2.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00036 PA
Season.010103 PA
Last 2 Years.013599 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04821 PA
Season.02737 PA
Last 2 Years.02737 PA

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L4–2
ERA4.03
WHIP1.42
IP38.0
H / K / BB41 / 40 / 13

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.027220 PA
Season.038519 PA
Last 2 Years.0363149 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.302
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.322
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.077

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+1100
BRBetRivers+1050
BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.