MatchWiz Plays
Home Runs · Tuesday, May 12, 2026

WSH @ CIN Home Runs matchups · Tuesday, May 12, 2026

WSH
WSH
Washington Nationals
104
Final
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
CIN
Great American Ball ParkElevation 535 ftCenter Field 404 ft 76°F ClearWind 7 mph, R To L

WSH WSH Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09122 BF
Season.04099 BF
Last 2 Years.039828 BF
wOBA allowed.428
Hard-Hit %38%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04522 BF
Season.05179 BF
Last 2 Years.020645 BF
wOBA allowed.357
Hard-Hit %34%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02934 PA
Season.064126 PA
Last 2 Years.044799 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09122 PA
Season.04099 PA
Last 2 Years.039828 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–7
ERA5.12
WHIP1.54
IP77.1
H / K / BB94 / 65 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.048147 PA
Season.032471 PA
Last 2 Years.0252052 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.345
Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.350
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.225

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+250
CZRCaesars+245
BRBetRivers+240

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00024 PA
Season.009107 PA
Last 2 Years.036849 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09122 PA
Season.04099 PA
Last 2 Years.039828 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–7
ERA5.12
WHIP1.54
IP77.1
H / K / BB94 / 65 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.048147 PA
Season.032471 PA
Last 2 Years.0252052 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.350
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.146

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+425
BRBetRivers+410
BOLBetOnline+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03826 PA
Season.039103 PA
Last 2 Years.027295 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA
Season.05179 PA
Last 2 Years.020645 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–7
ERA5.12
WHIP1.54
IP77.1
H / K / BB94 / 65 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.019208 PA
Season.018599 PA
Last 2 Years.0293556 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.298
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.308
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.135

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+575
BRBetRivers+525
BOLBetOnline+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.040

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06332 PA
Season.077117 PA
Last 2 Years.041857 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09122 PA
Season.04099 PA
Last 2 Years.039828 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–7
ERA5.12
WHIP1.54
IP77.1
H / K / BB94 / 65 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.048147 PA
Season.032471 PA
Last 2 Years.0252052 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.341
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.350
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.186

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+370
BOLBetOnline+350
CZRCaesars+350

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.5× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00033 PA
Season.02099 PA
Last 2 Years.009656 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA
Season.05179 PA
Last 2 Years.020645 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–7
ERA5.12
WHIP1.54
IP77.1
H / K / BB94 / 65 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.019208 PA
Season.018599 PA
Last 2 Years.0293556 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.293
Hard-Hit %28%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.308
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.08

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+1150
CZRCaesars+1100
BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00033 PA
Season.025122 PA
Last 2 Years.025396 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09122 PA
Season.04099 PA
Last 2 Years.039828 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–7
ERA5.12
WHIP1.54
IP77.1
H / K / BB94 / 65 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.048147 PA
Season.032471 PA
Last 2 Years.0252052 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.326
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.350
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.750
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.123

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+575
BOLBetOnline+500
BRBetRivers+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00029 PA
Season.000100 PA
Last 2 Years.010203 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09122 PA
Season.04099 PA
Last 2 Years.039828 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–7
ERA5.12
WHIP1.54
IP77.1
H / K / BB94 / 65 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.048147 PA
Season.032471 PA
Last 2 Years.0252052 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.295
Hard-Hit %28%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.350
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.08

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+1000
CZRCaesars+950
BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03826 PA
Season.02871 PA
Last 2 Years.015344 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09122 PA
Season.04099 PA
Last 2 Years.039828 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–7
ERA5.12
WHIP1.54
IP77.1
H / K / BB94 / 65 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.048147 PA
Season.032471 PA
Last 2 Years.0252052 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.323
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.350
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.114

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+700
BOLBetOnline+600
BRBetRivers+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08312 PA
Season.02245 PA
Last 2 Years.022550 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09122 PA
Season.04099 PA
Last 2 Years.039828 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–7
ERA5.12
WHIP1.54
IP77.1
H / K / BB94 / 65 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.048147 PA
Season.032471 PA
Last 2 Years.0252052 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.302
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.350
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.099

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+625
BOLBetOnline+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

CIN CIN Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08723 BF
Season.06379 BF
Last 2 Years.042692 BF
wOBA allowed.387
Hard-Hit %42%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00012 BF
Season.06067 BF
Last 2 Years.041657 BF
wOBA allowed.372
Hard-Hit %17%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02540 PA
Season.015131 PA
Last 2 Years.027865 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08723 PA
Season.06379 PA
Last 2 Years.042692 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L2–6
ERA5.24
WHIP1.29
IP77.1
H / K / BB83 / 44 / 17

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.021194 PA
Season.039618 PA
Last 2 Years.0403051 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.331
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.261
Plate Appearances23

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.121

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+575
CZRCaesars+575
BOLBetOnline+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04445 PA
Season.034118 PA
Last 2 Years.035935 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA
Season.06067 PA
Last 2 Years.041657 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L2–6
ERA5.24
WHIP1.29
IP77.1
H / K / BB83 / 44 / 17

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.021190 PA
Season.027621 PA
Last 2 Years.0353587 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.326
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.350
Plate Appearances20

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.152

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+400
CZRCaesars+370
BOLBetOnline+350

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~2.1× / ~2.4×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02343 PA
Season.037135 PA
Last 2 Years.0341005 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08723 PA
Season.06379 PA
Last 2 Years.042692 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L2–6
ERA5.24
WHIP1.29
IP77.1
H / K / BB83 / 44 / 17

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.021194 PA
Season.039618 PA
Last 2 Years.0403051 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.342
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.331
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.316
Plate Appearances19

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.163

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+340
CZRCaesars+330
BOLBetOnline+300

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00046 PA
Season.050141 PA
Last 2 Years.057192 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA
Season.06067 PA
Last 2 Years.041657 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L2–6
ERA5.24
WHIP1.29
IP77.1
H / K / BB83 / 44 / 17

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.021190 PA
Season.027621 PA
Last 2 Years.0353587 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.326
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average1.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.169

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+325
CZRCaesars+320
BOLBetOnline+300

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07540 PA
Season.09542 PA
Last 2 Years.038711 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08723 PA
Season.06379 PA
Last 2 Years.042692 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L2–6
ERA5.24
WHIP1.29
IP77.1
H / K / BB83 / 44 / 17

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.021194 PA
Season.039618 PA
Last 2 Years.0403051 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.332
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.331
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.173

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+370
CZRCaesars+330
BOLBetOnline+300

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02737 PA
Season.015130 PA
Last 2 Years.024576 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA
Season.06067 PA
Last 2 Years.041657 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L2–6
ERA5.24
WHIP1.29
IP77.1
H / K / BB83 / 44 / 17

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.021190 PA
Season.027621 PA
Last 2 Years.0353587 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.300
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.326
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.214
Plate Appearances14

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.104

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+600
CZRCaesars+525
BOLBetOnline+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06531 PA
Season.02775 PA
Last 2 Years.042524 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08723 PA
Season.06379 PA
Last 2 Years.042692 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L2–6
ERA5.24
WHIP1.29
IP77.1
H / K / BB83 / 44 / 17

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.021194 PA
Season.039618 PA
Last 2 Years.0403051 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.331
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.467
Plate Appearances15

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.152

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+420
CZRCaesars+400
BOLBetOnline+350

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00032 PA
Season.02289 PA
Last 2 Years.033670 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA
Season.06067 PA
Last 2 Years.041657 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L2–6
ERA5.24
WHIP1.29
IP77.1
H / K / BB83 / 44 / 17

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.021190 PA
Season.027621 PA
Last 2 Years.0353587 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.326
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.071
Plate Appearances14

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.126

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+475
BRBetRivers+460
BOLBetOnline+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05338 PA
Season.07679 PA
Last 2 Years.038890 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08723 PA
Season.06379 PA
Last 2 Years.042692 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L2–6
ERA5.24
WHIP1.29
IP77.1
H / K / BB83 / 44 / 17

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.021194 PA
Season.039618 PA
Last 2 Years.0403051 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.333
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.331
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.156

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.