MatchWiz Plays
Home Runs · Friday, May 15, 2026

BAL @ WSH Home Runs matchups · Friday, May 15, 2026

BAL
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
23
Final
WSH
Washington Nationals
WSH
Nationals ParkElevation 35 ftCenter Field 402 ft 71°F Partly CloudyWind 4 mph, In From LF

BAL BAL Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05618 BF
Season.12092 BF
Last 2 Years.053723 BF
wOBA allowed.458
Hard-Hit %46%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 BF
Season.04076 BF
Last 2 Years.046673 BF
wOBA allowed.343
Hard-Hit %37%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00044 PA
Season.041145 PA
Last 2 Years.042977 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.045

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05618 PA
Season.12092 PA
Last 2 Years.053723 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L7–6
ERA5.29
WHIP1.35
IP80.0
H / K / BB83 / 49 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.020198 PA
Season.029631 PA
Last 2 Years.0372974 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.330
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.334
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.276
Plate Appearances29

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.188

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+350
CZRCaesars+350
BOLBetOnline+300

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00039 PA
Season.000148 PA
Last 2 Years.0401090 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA
Season.04076 PA
Last 2 Years.046673 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L7–6
ERA5.29
WHIP1.35
IP80.0
H / K / BB83 / 49 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.022222 PA
Season.028677 PA
Last 2 Years.0333640 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.327
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.320
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.417
Plate Appearances12

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.138

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+475
CZRCaesars+475
BOLBetOnline+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03231 PA
Season.04369 PA
Last 2 Years.028668 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.045

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05618 PA
Season.12092 PA
Last 2 Years.053723 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L7–6
ERA5.29
WHIP1.35
IP80.0
H / K / BB83 / 49 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.020198 PA
Season.029631 PA
Last 2 Years.0372974 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.334
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.210
Plate Appearances19

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.135

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+550
CZRCaesars+525
BOLBetOnline+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2.8× / ~1.6×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04842 PA
Season.044136 PA
Last 2 Years.0531019 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA
Season.04076 PA
Last 2 Years.046673 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L7–6
ERA5.29
WHIP1.35
IP80.0
H / K / BB83 / 49 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.022222 PA
Season.028677 PA
Last 2 Years.0333640 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.338
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.320
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances8

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.193

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+290
BRBetRivers+275
BOLBetOnline+250

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form🔥 7-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00040 PA
Season.038104 PA
Last 2 Years.035197 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.045

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05618 PA
Season.12092 PA
Last 2 Years.053723 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L7–6
ERA5.29
WHIP1.35
IP80.0
H / K / BB83 / 49 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.020198 PA
Season.029631 PA
Last 2 Years.0372974 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.321
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.334
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.152

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+450
CZRCaesars+425
BRBetRivers+420

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.02344 PA
Last 2 Years.031423 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA
Season.04076 PA
Last 2 Years.046673 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L7–6
ERA5.29
WHIP1.35
IP80.0
H / K / BB83 / 49 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.022222 PA
Season.028677 PA
Last 2 Years.0333640 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.320
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.111
Plate Appearances18

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.119

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+400
CZRCaesars+370
BOLBetOnline+300

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00029 PA
Season.02581 PA
Last 2 Years.025555 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.045

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05618 PA
Season.12092 PA
Last 2 Years.053723 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L7–6
ERA5.29
WHIP1.35
IP80.0
H / K / BB83 / 49 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.020198 PA
Season.029631 PA
Last 2 Years.0372974 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.334
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.106

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00024 PA
Season.01379 PA
Last 2 Years.026305 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA
Season.04076 PA
Last 2 Years.046673 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L7–6
ERA5.29
WHIP1.35
IP80.0
H / K / BB83 / 49 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.022222 PA
Season.028677 PA
Last 2 Years.0333640 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.289
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.320
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.095

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+500
CZRCaesars+500
BRBetRivers+475

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03330 PA
Season.050100 PA
Last 2 Years.039229 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA
Season.04076 PA
Last 2 Years.046673 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L7–6
ERA5.29
WHIP1.35
IP80.0
H / K / BB83 / 49 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.022222 PA
Season.028677 PA
Last 2 Years.0333640 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.320
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.12

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+600
BRBetRivers+600
CZRCaesars+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

WSH WSH Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00030 BF
Season.009115 BF
Last 2 Years.026619 BF
wOBA allowed.389
Hard-Hit %36%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11118 BF
Season.04883 BF
Last 2 Years.039609 BF
wOBA allowed.336
Hard-Hit %36%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.040

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05437 PA
Season.067134 PA
Last 2 Years.045807 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00030 PA
Season.009115 PA
Last 2 Years.026619 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L4–8
ERA4.31
WHIP1.38
IP94.0
H / K / BB95 / 81 / 35

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.035231 PA
Season.033540 PA
Last 2 Years.0332448 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.346
Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.218

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+350
CZRCaesars+330
BRBetRivers+300

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03330 PA
Season.017117 PA
Last 2 Years.037853 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00030 PA
Season.009115 PA
Last 2 Years.026619 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L4–8
ERA4.31
WHIP1.38
IP94.0
H / K / BB95 / 81 / 35

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.035231 PA
Season.033540 PA
Last 2 Years.0332448 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.325
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.155

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+650
CZRCaesars+575
BOLBetOnline+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA
Season.03852 PA
Last 2 Years.019211 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11118 PA
Season.04883 PA
Last 2 Years.039609 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L4–8
ERA4.31
WHIP1.38
IP94.0
H / K / BB95 / 81 / 35

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.017172 PA
Season.019525 PA
Last 2 Years.0243077 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.323
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.127

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+625
BOLBetOnline+600
BRBetRivers+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05735 PA
Season.072125 PA
Last 2 Years.041858 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00030 PA
Season.009115 PA
Last 2 Years.026619 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L4–8
ERA4.31
WHIP1.38
IP94.0
H / K / BB95 / 81 / 35

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.035231 PA
Season.033540 PA
Last 2 Years.0332448 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.340
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.166

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+510
CZRCaesars+425
BOLBetOnline+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07938 PA
Season.045132 PA
Last 2 Years.032406 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00030 PA
Season.009115 PA
Last 2 Years.026619 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L4–8
ERA4.31
WHIP1.38
IP94.0
H / K / BB95 / 81 / 35

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.035231 PA
Season.033540 PA
Last 2 Years.0332448 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.338
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average1.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.141

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+700
CZRCaesars+625
BOLBetOnline+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00033 PA
Season.000108 PA
Last 2 Years.009211 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00030 PA
Season.009115 PA
Last 2 Years.026619 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L4–8
ERA4.31
WHIP1.38
IP94.0
H / K / BB95 / 81 / 35

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.035231 PA
Season.033540 PA
Last 2 Years.0332448 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.294
Hard-Hit %27%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.073

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2.1× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.00081 PA
Last 2 Years.007141 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00030 PA
Season.009115 PA
Last 2 Years.026619 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L4–8
ERA4.31
WHIP1.38
IP94.0
H / K / BB95 / 81 / 35

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.035231 PA
Season.033540 PA
Last 2 Years.0332448 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.306
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.084

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+1100
BOLBetOnline+900
BRBetRivers+800

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05618 PA
Season.01567 PA
Last 2 Years.013149 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00030 PA
Season.009115 PA
Last 2 Years.026619 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L4–8
ERA4.31
WHIP1.38
IP94.0
H / K / BB95 / 81 / 35

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.035231 PA
Season.033540 PA
Last 2 Years.0332448 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.098

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+950
BOLBetOnline+900
BRBetRivers+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00040 PA
Season.018110 PA
Last 2 Years.009663 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11118 PA
Season.04883 PA
Last 2 Years.039609 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L4–8
ERA4.31
WHIP1.38
IP94.0
H / K / BB95 / 81 / 35

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.017172 PA
Season.019525 PA
Last 2 Years.0243077 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.290
Hard-Hit %28%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.323
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.063

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+1300
BRBetRivers+1200
BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.