MatchWiz Plays
Home Runs · Friday, May 15, 2026

SD @ SEA Home Runs matchups · Friday, May 15, 2026

SD
SD
San Diego Padres
20
Final
SEA
Seattle Mariners
SEA
T-Mobile ParkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 405 ft 53°F Roof ClosedWind 12 mph, In From LF

SD SD Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02638 BF
Season.050101 BF
Last 2 Years.054354 BF
wOBA allowed.292
Hard-Hit %43%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 BF
Season.03684 BF
Last 2 Years.030333 BF
wOBA allowed.305
Hard-Hit %28%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02836 PA
Season.029140 PA
Last 2 Years.044772 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02638 PA
Season.050101 PA
Last 2 Years.054354 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.47
WHIP1.05
IP90.2
H / K / BB73 / 87 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.044180 PA
Season.034621 PA
Last 2 Years.0334083 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.328
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.322
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250
Plate Appearances8

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.177

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+550
CZRCaesars+500
BOLBetOnline+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00040 PA
Season.000150 PA
Last 2 Years.038832 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.03684 PA
Last 2 Years.030333 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.47
WHIP1.05
IP90.2
H / K / BB73 / 87 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.025163 PA
Season.021562 PA
Last 2 Years.0264367 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.325
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.111
Plate Appearances9

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.138

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+525
BOLBetOnline+500
CZRCaesars+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02441 PA
Season.036140 PA
Last 2 Years.039997 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.03684 PA
Last 2 Years.030333 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.47
WHIP1.05
IP90.2
H / K / BB73 / 87 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.025163 PA
Season.021562 PA
Last 2 Years.0264367 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -8%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances11

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.144

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+500
CZRCaesars+475
BOLBetOnline+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08312 PA
Season.08050 PA
Last 2 Years.023691 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.03684 PA
Last 2 Years.030333 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.47
WHIP1.05
IP90.2
H / K / BB73 / 87 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.025163 PA
Season.021562 PA
Last 2 Years.0264367 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -9%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.119

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05437 PA
Season.051136 PA
Last 2 Years.029734 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.03684 PA
Last 2 Years.030333 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.47
WHIP1.05
IP90.2
H / K / BB73 / 87 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.025163 PA
Season.021562 PA
Last 2 Years.0264367 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -10%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.320
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.444
Plate Appearances9

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.122

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+700
CZRCaesars+625
BOLBetOnline+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2.1× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03231 PA
Season.02484 PA
Last 2 Years.019590 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.03684 PA
Last 2 Years.030333 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.47
WHIP1.05
IP90.2
H / K / BB73 / 87 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.025163 PA
Season.021562 PA
Last 2 Years.0264367 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -9%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.319
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.400
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.098

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03826 PA
Season.041122 PA
Last 2 Years.042614 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.03684 PA
Last 2 Years.030333 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.47
WHIP1.05
IP90.2
H / K / BB73 / 87 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.025163 PA
Season.021562 PA
Last 2 Years.0264367 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -9%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.325
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.143
Plate Appearances7

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.136

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+575
BOLBetOnline+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 5 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.00014 PA
Last 2 Years.00014 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02638 PA
Season.050101 PA
Last 2 Years.054354 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.47
WHIP1.05
IP90.2
H / K / BB73 / 87 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.044180 PA
Season.034621 PA
Last 2 Years.0334083 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -9%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.322
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.116

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+900
CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.00069 PA
Last 2 Years.016509 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.03684 PA
Last 2 Years.030333 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.47
WHIP1.05
IP90.2
H / K / BB73 / 87 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.025163 PA
Season.021562 PA
Last 2 Years.0264367 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -9%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.298
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.076

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+950
BOLBetOnline+900
BRBetRivers+800

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

SEA SEA Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 BF
Season.010102 BF
Last 2 Years.024554 BF
wOBA allowed.294
Hard-Hit %34%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04522 BF
Season.03879 BF
Last 2 Years.031554 BF
wOBA allowed.312
Hard-Hit %44%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA
Season.04272 PA
Last 2 Years.028750 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA
Season.010102 PA
Last 2 Years.024554 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–6
ERA4.56
WHIP1.46
IP81.0
H / K / BB92 / 60 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.010198 PA
Season.013529 PA
Last 2 Years.0253214 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.346
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.326
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.214
Plate Appearances14

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.135

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04941 PA
Season.014147 PA
Last 2 Years.038985 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA
Season.03879 PA
Last 2 Years.031554 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–6
ERA4.56
WHIP1.46
IP81.0
H / K / BB92 / 60 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.026156 PA
Season.022457 PA
Last 2 Years.0283464 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -9%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.323
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.139

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+475
BRBetRivers+460
BOLBetOnline+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02639 PA
Season.037135 PA
Last 2 Years.041883 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA
Season.010102 PA
Last 2 Years.024554 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–6
ERA4.56
WHIP1.46
IP81.0
H / K / BB92 / 60 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.010198 PA
Season.013529 PA
Last 2 Years.0253214 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.332
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.326
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.143
Plate Appearances7

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.155

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+500
CZRCaesars+500
BRBetRivers+460

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02441 PA
Season.014144 PA
Last 2 Years.028990 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA
Season.03879 PA
Last 2 Years.031554 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–6
ERA4.56
WHIP1.46
IP81.0
H / K / BB92 / 60 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.026156 PA
Season.022457 PA
Last 2 Years.0283464 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -8%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.338
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.400
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.128

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+600
BRBetRivers+600
CZRCaesars+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.8× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0004 PA
Season.00012 PA
Last 2 Years.018218 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA
Season.03879 PA
Last 2 Years.031554 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–6
ERA4.56
WHIP1.46
IP81.0
H / K / BB92 / 60 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.026156 PA
Season.022457 PA
Last 2 Years.0283464 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -10%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.310
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.101

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07540 PA
Season.036111 PA
Last 2 Years.019787 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA
Season.010102 PA
Last 2 Years.024554 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–6
ERA4.56
WHIP1.46
IP81.0
H / K / BB92 / 60 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.010198 PA
Season.013529 PA
Last 2 Years.0253214 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.321
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.326
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.105

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+950
BOLBetOnline+900
BRBetRivers+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0004 PA
Season.00011 PA
Last 2 Years.019212 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA
Season.03879 PA
Last 2 Years.031554 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–6
ERA4.56
WHIP1.46
IP81.0
H / K / BB92 / 60 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.026156 PA
Season.022457 PA
Last 2 Years.0283464 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -8%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.105

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00032 PA
Season.008121 PA
Last 2 Years.016311 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA
Season.010102 PA
Last 2 Years.024554 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–6
ERA4.56
WHIP1.46
IP81.0
H / K / BB92 / 60 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.010198 PA
Season.013529 PA
Last 2 Years.0253214 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.310
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.326
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.082

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+850
CZRCaesars+850
BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06316 PA
Season.02935 PA
Last 2 Years.030334 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA
Season.03879 PA
Last 2 Years.031554 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–6
ERA4.56
WHIP1.46
IP81.0
H / K / BB92 / 60 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.026156 PA
Season.022457 PA
Last 2 Years.0283464 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -10%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.300
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.095

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.