MatchWiz Plays
Home Runs · Monday, May 18, 2026

CIN @ PHI Home Runs matchups · Monday, May 18, 2026

CIN
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
45
Final
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
PHI
Citizens Bank ParkElevation 20 ftCenter Field 401 ft 93°F ClearWind 13 mph, Out To CF

CIN CIN Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 BF
Season.019103 BF
Last 2 Years.019103 BF
wOBA allowed.325
Hard-Hit %40%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.23517 BF
Season.07269 BF
Last 2 Years.07269 BF
wOBA allowed.449
Hard-Hit %34%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04941 PA
Season.020149 PA
Last 2 Years.025595 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.23517 PA
Season.07269 PA
Last 2 Years.07269 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L1–8
ERA7.06
WHIP1.66
IP65.0
H / K / BB84 / 53 / 24

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.023258 PA
Season.022809 PA
Last 2 Years.0235144 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.307
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.342
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.145

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+525
CZRCaesars+500
BOLBetOnline+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form🔥 10-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02344 PA
Season.040152 PA
Last 2 Years.0341009 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA
Season.019103 PA
Last 2 Years.019103 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L1–8
ERA7.06
WHIP1.66
IP65.0
H / K / BB84 / 53 / 24

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.019212 PA
Season.019573 PA
Last 2 Years.0273435 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.347
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.321
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.203

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+330
BRBetRivers+310
BOLBetOnline+300

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form🔥 8-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04248 PA
Season.029136 PA
Last 2 Years.035938 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.23517 PA
Season.07269 PA
Last 2 Years.07269 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L1–8
ERA7.06
WHIP1.66
IP65.0
H / K / BB84 / 53 / 24

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.023258 PA
Season.022809 PA
Last 2 Years.0235144 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.342
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.179

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+400
BRBetRivers+380
BOLBetOnline+350

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.2005 PA
Season.03529 PA
Last 2 Years.022275 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.23517 PA
Season.07269 PA
Last 2 Years.07269 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L1–8
ERA7.06
WHIP1.66
IP65.0
H / K / BB84 / 53 / 24

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.023258 PA
Season.022809 PA
Last 2 Years.0235144 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.342
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.147

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.1× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00048 PA
Season.044160 PA
Last 2 Years.052211 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.23517 PA
Season.07269 PA
Last 2 Years.07269 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L1–8
ERA7.06
WHIP1.66
IP65.0
H / K / BB84 / 53 / 24

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.023258 PA
Season.022809 PA
Last 2 Years.0235144 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.321
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.342
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.183

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+320
BOLBetOnline+300
BRBetRivers+290

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02737 PA
Season.06593 PA
Last 2 Years.037886 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA
Season.019103 PA
Last 2 Years.019103 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L1–8
ERA7.06
WHIP1.66
IP65.0
H / K / BB84 / 53 / 24

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.019212 PA
Season.019573 PA
Last 2 Years.0273435 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.329
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.321
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.167

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+425
BRBetRivers+390
BOLBetOnline+350

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02935 PA
Season.028106 PA
Last 2 Years.034674 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.23517 PA
Season.07269 PA
Last 2 Years.07269 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L1–8
ERA7.06
WHIP1.66
IP65.0
H / K / BB84 / 53 / 24

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.023258 PA
Season.022809 PA
Last 2 Years.0235144 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.342
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.151

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+475
BOLBetOnline+400
BRBetRivers+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00030 PA
Season.014140 PA
Last 2 Years.026871 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA
Season.019103 PA
Last 2 Years.019103 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L1–8
ERA7.06
WHIP1.66
IP65.0
H / K / BB84 / 53 / 24

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.019212 PA
Season.019573 PA
Last 2 Years.0273435 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.321
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.105

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04323 PA
Season.01193 PA
Last 2 Years.009740 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.23517 PA
Season.07269 PA
Last 2 Years.07269 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L1–8
ERA7.06
WHIP1.66
IP65.0
H / K / BB84 / 53 / 24

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.023258 PA
Season.022809 PA
Last 2 Years.0235144 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.281
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.342
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.092

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+950
CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

PHI PHI Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09111 BF
Season.09111 BF
Last 2 Years.018223 BF
wOBA allowed.565
Hard-Hit %71%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06332 BF
Season.06332 BF
Last 2 Years.038815 BF
wOBA allowed.427
Hard-Hit %32%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.01663 PA
Last 2 Years.035377 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06332 PA
Season.06332 PA
Last 2 Years.038815 PA

Opposing Starter · Season9 GS

W–L2–2
ERA5.59
WHIP1.52
IP46.2
H / K / BB53 / 38 / 18

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.016186 PA
Season.026697 PA
Last 2 Years.0273667 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.326
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.320
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.267
Plate Appearances15

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.17

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+400
CZRCaesars+400
BRBetRivers+390

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.04173 PA
Last 2 Years.044456 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09111 PA
Season.09111 PA
Last 2 Years.018223 PA

Opposing Starter · Season9 GS

W–L2–2
ERA5.59
WHIP1.52
IP46.2
H / K / BB53 / 38 / 18

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.073245 PA
Season.044697 PA
Last 2 Years.0373099 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.331
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.329
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.194

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+350
CZRCaesars+320
BOLBetOnline+300

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06332 PA
Season.06332 PA
Last 2 Years.038815 PA

Opposing Starter · Season9 GS

W–L2–2
ERA5.59
WHIP1.52
IP46.2
H / K / BB53 / 38 / 18

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.016186 PA
Season.026697 PA
Last 2 Years.0273667 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.320
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.16

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.00041 PA
Last 2 Years.033245 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06332 PA
Season.06332 PA
Last 2 Years.038815 PA

Opposing Starter · Season9 GS

W–L2–2
ERA5.59
WHIP1.52
IP46.2
H / K / BB53 / 38 / 18

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.016186 PA
Season.026697 PA
Last 2 Years.0273667 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.321
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.320
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.364
Plate Appearances22

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.166

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+525
CZRCaesars+425
BOLBetOnline+350

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.6× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07713 PA
Season.04050 PA
Last 2 Years.040301 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06332 PA
Season.06332 PA
Last 2 Years.038815 PA

Opposing Starter · Season9 GS

W–L2–2
ERA5.59
WHIP1.52
IP46.2
H / K / BB53 / 38 / 18

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.016186 PA
Season.026697 PA
Last 2 Years.0273667 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.320
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.167

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+380
CZRCaesars+370
BOLBetOnline+350

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA
Season.04522 PA
Last 2 Years.013230 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09111 PA
Season.09111 PA
Last 2 Years.018223 PA

Opposing Starter · Season9 GS

W–L2–2
ERA5.59
WHIP1.52
IP46.2
H / K / BB53 / 38 / 18

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.073245 PA
Season.044697 PA
Last 2 Years.0373099 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.329
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.111
Plate Appearances9

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.127

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+900
CZRCaesars+625
BOLBetOnline+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA
Season.00026 PA
Last 2 Years.019265 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06332 PA
Season.06332 PA
Last 2 Years.038815 PA

Opposing Starter · Season9 GS

W–L2–2
ERA5.59
WHIP1.52
IP46.2
H / K / BB53 / 38 / 18

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.016186 PA
Season.026697 PA
Last 2 Years.0273667 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.305
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.320
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.118
Plate Appearances17

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.129

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+500
CZRCaesars+500
BRBetRivers+450

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0003 PA
Season.00022 PA
Last 2 Years.00022 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09111 PA
Season.09111 PA
Last 2 Years.018223 PA

Opposing Starter · Season9 GS

W–L2–2
ERA5.59
WHIP1.52
IP46.2
H / K / BB53 / 38 / 18

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.073245 PA
Season.044697 PA
Last 2 Years.0373099 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.309
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.329
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.134

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+1100
BRBetRivers+950
BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA
Season.00035 PA
Last 2 Years.017174 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09111 PA
Season.09111 PA
Last 2 Years.018223 PA

Opposing Starter · Season9 GS

W–L2–2
ERA5.59
WHIP1.52
IP46.2
H / K / BB53 / 38 / 18

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.073245 PA
Season.044697 PA
Last 2 Years.0373099 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.310
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.329
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.117

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.