MatchWiz Plays
Home Runs · Wednesday, May 20, 2026

HOU @ MIN Home Runs matchups · Wednesday, May 20, 2026

HOU
HOU
Houston Astros
14
Final
MIN
Minnesota Twins
MIN
Target FieldElevation 828 ftCenter Field 404 ft 57°F Partly CloudyWind 4 mph, L To R

HOU HOU Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00036 BF
Season.025118 BF
Last 2 Years.043625 BF
wOBA allowed.281
Hard-Hit %44%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00010 BF
Season.00085 BF
Last 2 Years.024593 BF
wOBA allowed.240
Hard-Hit %30%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA
Season.00042 PA
Last 2 Years.025825 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA
Season.00085 PA
Last 2 Years.024593 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.18
WHIP1.03
IP93.1
H / K / BB77 / 108 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.010196 PA
Season.018616 PA
Last 2 Years.0312967 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.319
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.295
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances20

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.122

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04643 PA
Season.038133 PA
Last 2 Years.032839 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA
Season.00085 PA
Last 2 Years.024593 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.18
WHIP1.03
IP93.1
H / K / BB77 / 108 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.010196 PA
Season.018616 PA
Last 2 Years.0312967 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.295
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances15

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.125

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+600
BRBetRivers+550
CZRCaesars+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.042

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04643 PA
Season.061147 PA
Last 2 Years.054609 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00036 PA
Season.025118 PA
Last 2 Years.043625 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.18
WHIP1.03
IP93.1
H / K / BB77 / 108 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.031223 PA
Season.035575 PA
Last 2 Years.0372783 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.358
Hard-Hit %41%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.307
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.210
Plate Appearances19

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.248

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+340
CZRCaesars+330
BOLBetOnline+300

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2.5× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.043

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06447 PA
Season.058155 PA
Last 2 Years.052915 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA
Season.00085 PA
Last 2 Years.024593 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.18
WHIP1.03
IP93.1
H / K / BB77 / 108 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.010196 PA
Season.018616 PA
Last 2 Years.0312967 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.329
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.295
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.182
Plate Appearances11

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.196

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+475
BRBetRivers+430
BOLBetOnline+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA
Season.03628 PA
Last 2 Years.016637 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA
Season.00085 PA
Last 2 Years.024593 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.18
WHIP1.03
IP93.1
H / K / BB77 / 108 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.010196 PA
Season.018616 PA
Last 2 Years.0312967 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.295
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances12

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.11

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+900
BRBetRivers+900
CZRCaesars+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 PA
Season.00027 PA
Last 2 Years.024168 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA
Season.00085 PA
Last 2 Years.024593 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.18
WHIP1.03
IP93.1
H / K / BB77 / 108 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.010196 PA
Season.018616 PA
Last 2 Years.0312967 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.295
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.107

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02638 PA
Season.02386 PA
Last 2 Years.049122 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA
Season.00085 PA
Last 2 Years.024593 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.18
WHIP1.03
IP93.1
H / K / BB77 / 108 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.010196 PA
Season.018616 PA
Last 2 Years.0312967 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.295
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.134

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+600
CZRCaesars+575
BRBetRivers+510

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00035 PA
Season.022136 PA
Last 2 Years.016492 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA
Season.00085 PA
Last 2 Years.024593 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.18
WHIP1.03
IP93.1
H / K / BB77 / 108 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.010196 PA
Season.018616 PA
Last 2 Years.0312967 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.300
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.295
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.143
Plate Appearances7

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.093

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+850
CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA
Season.0008 PA
Last 2 Years.00041 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00036 PA
Season.025118 PA
Last 2 Years.043625 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–4
ERA3.18
WHIP1.03
IP93.1
H / K / BB77 / 108 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.031223 PA
Season.035575 PA
Last 2 Years.0372783 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.307
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.118

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

MIN MIN Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03330 BF
Season.058121 BF
Last 2 Years.040329 BF
wOBA allowed.433
Hard-Hit %40%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04522 BF
Season.030100 BF
Last 2 Years.036308 BF
wOBA allowed.309
Hard-Hit %26%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.054

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.12839 PA
Season.104134 PA
Last 2 Years.070763 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA
Season.030100 PA
Last 2 Years.036308 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–8
ERA5.48
WHIP1.50
IP85.1
H / K / BB97 / 69 / 31

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.024170 PA
Season.027479 PA
Last 2 Years.0312396 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.352
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.316
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.400
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.278

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+310
CZRCaesars+290
BOLBetOnline+250

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02737 PA
Season.009113 PA
Last 2 Years.034862 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03330 PA
Season.058121 PA
Last 2 Years.040329 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–8
ERA5.48
WHIP1.50
IP85.1
H / K / BB97 / 69 / 31

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.014215 PA
Season.017595 PA
Last 2 Years.0272198 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.330
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.338
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.134

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+625
BOLBetOnline+600
BRBetRivers+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.021

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00043 PA
Season.00081 PA
Last 2 Years.000326 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA
Season.030100 PA
Last 2 Years.036308 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–8
ERA5.48
WHIP1.50
IP85.1
H / K / BB97 / 69 / 31

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.024170 PA
Season.027479 PA
Last 2 Years.0312396 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.316
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.093

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00038 PA
Season.026115 PA
Last 2 Years.049490 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03330 PA
Season.058121 PA
Last 2 Years.040329 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–8
ERA5.48
WHIP1.50
IP85.1
H / K / BB97 / 69 / 31

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.014215 PA
Season.017595 PA
Last 2 Years.0272198 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.338
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.157

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+425
BOLBetOnline+400
BRBetRivers+390

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00037 PA
Season.008126 PA
Last 2 Years.015267 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA
Season.030100 PA
Last 2 Years.036308 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–8
ERA5.48
WHIP1.50
IP85.1
H / K / BB97 / 69 / 31

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.024170 PA
Season.027479 PA
Last 2 Years.0312396 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.324
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.316
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.1

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+1000
CZRCaesars+950
BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2.8× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.00074 PA
Last 2 Years.025556 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03330 PA
Season.058121 PA
Last 2 Years.040329 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–8
ERA5.48
WHIP1.50
IP85.1
H / K / BB97 / 69 / 31

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.014215 PA
Season.017595 PA
Last 2 Years.0272198 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.304
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.338
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.600
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.114

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+700
BOLBetOnline+600
BRBetRivers+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.03165 PA
Last 2 Years.020150 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03330 PA
Season.058121 PA
Last 2 Years.040329 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–8
ERA5.48
WHIP1.50
IP85.1
H / K / BB97 / 69 / 31

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.014215 PA
Season.017595 PA
Last 2 Years.0272198 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.302
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.338
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.114

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+625
BOLBetOnline+600
BRBetRivers+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.10010 PA
Last 2 Years.02483 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA
Season.030100 PA
Last 2 Years.036308 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–8
ERA5.48
WHIP1.50
IP85.1
H / K / BB97 / 69 / 31

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.024170 PA
Season.027479 PA
Last 2 Years.0312396 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.316
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.117

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+700
CZRCaesars+700
BOLBetOnline+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.00042 PA
Last 2 Years.034177 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03330 PA
Season.058121 PA
Last 2 Years.040329 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–8
ERA5.48
WHIP1.50
IP85.1
H / K / BB97 / 69 / 31

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.014215 PA
Season.017595 PA
Last 2 Years.0272198 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.304
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.338
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.107

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+700
BOLBetOnline+600
BRBetRivers+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.