ATL @ MIA Home Runs matchups · Wednesday, May 20, 2026

ATL

Atlanta Braves

9–1

Final

MIA

Miami Marlins

◆ loanDepot parkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 407 ft☀ 72°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

ATL Lineup

✓

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04842 BF

Season.030132 BF

Last 2 Years.029375 BF

wOBA allowed.386

Hard-Hit %37%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08312 BF

Season.02677 BF

Last 2 Years.017302 BF

wOBA allowed.207

Hard-Hit %27%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season.03727 PA

Last 2 Years.030233 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08312 PA

Season.02677 PA

Last 2 Years.017302 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L3–5

ERA4.80

WHIP1.30

IP60.0

H / K / BB65 / 43 / 13

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.034178 PA

Season.025639 PA

Last 2 Years.0303011 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.303

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.296

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.141

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00029 PA

Season.054112 PA

Last 2 Years.036774 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04842 PA

Season.030132 PA

Last 2 Years.029375 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L3–5

ERA4.80

WHIP1.30

IP60.0

H / K / BB65 / 43 / 13

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.024

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.009216 PA

Season.017757 PA

Last 2 Years.0272955 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317

Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.343

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200

Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.165

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+575

BOLBetOnline+500

CZRCaesars+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.043

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA

Season.081124 PA

Last 2 Years.0491007 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04842 PA

Season.030132 PA

Last 2 Years.029375 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L3–5

ERA4.80

WHIP1.30

IP60.0

H / K / BB65 / 43 / 13

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.024

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.009216 PA

Season.017757 PA

Last 2 Years.0272955 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.349

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.343

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.400

Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.198

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+390

BOLBetOnline+350

CZRCaesars+350

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA

Season.02540 PA

Last 2 Years.024165 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08312 PA

Season.02677 PA

Last 2 Years.017302 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L3–5

ERA4.80

WHIP1.30

IP60.0

H / K / BB65 / 43 / 13

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.034178 PA

Season.025639 PA

Last 2 Years.0303011 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.296

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.119

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00026 PA

Season.04393 PA

Last 2 Years.028501 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04842 PA

Season.030132 PA

Last 2 Years.029375 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L3–5

ERA4.80

WHIP1.30

IP60.0

H / K / BB65 / 43 / 13

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.024

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.009216 PA

Season.017757 PA

Last 2 Years.0272955 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.331

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.343

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333

Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.136

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+650

CZRCaesars+625

BOLBetOnline+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1

vs SP / Bullpen~2.5× / ~1.6×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03628 PA

Season.026115 PA

Last 2 Years.016626 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08312 PA

Season.02677 PA

Last 2 Years.017302 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L3–5

ERA4.80

WHIP1.30

IP60.0

H / K / BB65 / 43 / 13

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.034178 PA

Season.025639 PA

Last 2 Years.0303011 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.311

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.296

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500

Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.096

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+950

BOLBetOnline+900

BRBetRivers+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.06332 PA

Season.046131 PA

Last 2 Years.041706 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08312 PA

Season.02677 PA

Last 2 Years.017302 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L3–5

ERA4.80

WHIP1.30

IP60.0

H / K / BB65 / 43 / 13

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.034178 PA

Season.025639 PA

Last 2 Years.0303011 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318

Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.296

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250

Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.156

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+475

BOLBetOnline+450

BRBetRivers+425

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07726 PA

Season.016122 PA

Last 2 Years.037847 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04842 PA

Season.030132 PA

Last 2 Years.029375 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L3–5

ERA4.80

WHIP1.30

IP60.0

H / K / BB65 / 43 / 13

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.024

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.009216 PA

Season.017757 PA

Last 2 Years.0272955 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.325

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.343

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances7

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.134

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+600

CZRCaesars+575

BRBetRivers+540

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA

Season.0002 PA

Last 2 Years.10010 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04842 PA

Season.030132 PA

Last 2 Years.029375 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L3–5

ERA4.80

WHIP1.30

IP60.0

H / K / BB65 / 43 / 13

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.024

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.009216 PA

Season.017757 PA

Last 2 Years.0272955 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.343

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.119

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+1100

BOLBetOnline+900

BRBetRivers+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

MIA Lineup

✓

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05917 BF

Season.01758 BF

Last 2 Years.013222 BF

wOBA allowed.262

Hard-Hit %30%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00035 BF

Season.032158 BF

Last 2 Years.0191011 BF

wOBA allowed.247

Hard-Hit %30%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.28614 PA

Season.08050 PA

Last 2 Years.012342 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00035 PA

Season.032158 PA

Last 2 Years.0191011 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L8–5

ERA2.14

WHIP1.05

IP84.0

H / K / BB67 / 99 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.030169 PA

Season.021565 PA

Last 2 Years.0333437 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.327

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.291

Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333

Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.145

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+1300

BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA

Season.01857 PA

Last 2 Years.013371 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00035 PA

Season.032158 PA

Last 2 Years.0191011 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L8–5

ERA2.14

WHIP1.05

IP84.0

H / K / BB67 / 99 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.030169 PA

Season.021565 PA

Last 2 Years.0333437 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.323

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.291

Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.667

Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.113

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+800

CZRCaesars+750

BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.09111 PA

Season.02441 PA

Last 2 Years.030165 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00035 PA

Season.032158 PA

Last 2 Years.0191011 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L8–5

ERA2.14

WHIP1.05

IP84.0

H / K / BB67 / 99 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.030169 PA

Season.021565 PA

Last 2 Years.0333437 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.317

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.291

Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.135

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+750

CZRCaesars+750

BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07713 PA

Season.02049 PA

Last 2 Years.028213 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00035 PA

Season.032158 PA

Last 2 Years.0191011 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L8–5

ERA2.14

WHIP1.05

IP84.0

H / K / BB67 / 99 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.030169 PA

Season.021565 PA

Last 2 Years.0333437 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.315

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.291

Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.13

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+1000

CZRCaesars+850

BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA

Season.05319 PA

Last 2 Years.05437 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00035 PA

Season.032158 PA

Last 2 Years.0191011 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L8–5

ERA2.14

WHIP1.05

IP84.0

H / K / BB67 / 99 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.030169 PA

Season.021565 PA

Last 2 Years.0333437 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.314

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.291

Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.136

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+950

BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1

vs SP / Bullpen~2.7× / ~1.4×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0003 PA

Season.00020 PA

Last 2 Years.00020 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05917 PA

Season.01758 PA

Last 2 Years.013222 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L8–5

ERA2.14

WHIP1.05

IP84.0

H / K / BB67 / 99 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.022183 PA

Season.025629 PA

Last 2 Years.0283060 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.314

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.303

Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.127

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA

Season.00019 PA

Last 2 Years.027262 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00035 PA

Season.032158 PA

Last 2 Years.0191011 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L8–5

ERA2.14

WHIP1.05

IP84.0

H / K / BB67 / 99 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.030169 PA

Season.021565 PA

Last 2 Years.0333437 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.299

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.291

Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.111

Plate Appearances9

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.115

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+650

CZRCaesars+625

BOLBetOnline+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.09111 PA

Season.03132 PA

Last 2 Years.01098 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05917 PA

Season.01758 PA

Last 2 Years.013222 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L8–5

ERA2.14

WHIP1.05

IP84.0

H / K / BB67 / 99 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.022183 PA

Season.025629 PA

Last 2 Years.0283060 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.316

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.303

Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.103

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+1300

BRBetRivers+1050

BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.1119 PA

Season.02836 PA

Last 2 Years.021189 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00035 PA

Season.032158 PA

Last 2 Years.0191011 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L8–5

ERA2.14

WHIP1.05

IP84.0

H / K / BB67 / 99 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.030169 PA

Season.021565 PA

Last 2 Years.0333437 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.313

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.291

Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.113

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+1100

CZRCaesars+1100

BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.