MatchWiz Plays
Home Runs · Thursday, May 21, 2026

NYM @ WSH Home Runs matchups · Thursday, May 21, 2026

NYM
NYM
New York Mets
21
Final
WSH
Washington Nationals
WSH
Nationals ParkElevation 35 ftCenter Field 402 ft 61°F CloudyWind 10 mph, In From CF

NYM NYM Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03826 BF
Season.017116 BF
Last 2 Years.025240 BF
wOBA allowed.407
Hard-Hit %30%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04025 BF
Season.010100 BF
Last 2 Years.021195 BF
wOBA allowed.269
Hard-Hit %30%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00044 PA
Season.022139 PA
Last 2 Years.022139 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03826 PA
Season.017116 PA
Last 2 Years.025240 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.43
IP83.1
H / K / BB90 / 89 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.053190 PA
Season.046692 PA
Last 2 Years.0423511 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.333
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.139

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+700
CZRCaesars+700
BRBetRivers+650

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00043 PA
Season.006155 PA
Last 2 Years.018775 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04025 PA
Season.010100 PA
Last 2 Years.021195 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.43
IP83.1
H / K / BB90 / 89 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.036251 PA
Season.036756 PA
Last 2 Years.0364165 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.319
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.106

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+700
BRBetRivers+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form🔥 7-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.050

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.14335 PA
Season.07890 PA
Last 2 Years.066883 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03826 PA
Season.017116 PA
Last 2 Years.025240 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.43
IP83.1
H / K / BB90 / 89 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.053190 PA
Season.046692 PA
Last 2 Years.0423511 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.369
Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.333
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.444
Plate Appearances9

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.283

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+460
CZRCaesars+425
BOLBetOnline+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02836 PA
Season.040100 PA
Last 2 Years.049733 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04025 PA
Season.010100 PA
Last 2 Years.021195 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.43
IP83.1
H / K / BB90 / 89 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.036251 PA
Season.036756 PA
Last 2 Years.0364165 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.312
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.319
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.145

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+525
CZRCaesars+525
BOLBetOnline+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05636 PA
Season.023133 PA
Last 2 Years.038503 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03826 PA
Season.017116 PA
Last 2 Years.025240 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.43
IP83.1
H / K / BB90 / 89 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.053190 PA
Season.046692 PA
Last 2 Years.0423511 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.333
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250
Plate Appearances8

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.142

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+700
BRBetRivers+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05139 PA
Season.021145 PA
Last 2 Years.029925 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04025 PA
Season.010100 PA
Last 2 Years.021195 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.43
IP83.1
H / K / BB90 / 89 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.036251 PA
Season.036756 PA
Last 2 Years.0364165 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.305
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.319
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.107

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+700
BRBetRivers+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA
Season.04522 PA
Last 2 Years.04522 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03826 PA
Season.017116 PA
Last 2 Years.025240 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.43
IP83.1
H / K / BB90 / 89 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.053190 PA
Season.046692 PA
Last 2 Years.0423511 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.329
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.333
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.127

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+900
BRBetRivers+900
CZRCaesars+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00028 PA
Season.02969 PA
Last 2 Years.040378 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03826 PA
Season.017116 PA
Last 2 Years.025240 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.43
IP83.1
H / K / BB90 / 89 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.053190 PA
Season.046692 PA
Last 2 Years.0423511 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.333
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.129

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+700
CZRCaesars+700
BRBetRivers+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA
Season.00047 PA
Last 2 Years.018343 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04025 PA
Season.010100 PA
Last 2 Years.021195 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.43
IP83.1
H / K / BB90 / 89 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.036251 PA
Season.036756 PA
Last 2 Years.0364165 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.302
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.319
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.098

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+1150
CZRCaesars+1100
BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

WSH WSH Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 BF
Season.01567 BF
Last 2 Years.014357 BF
wOBA allowed.318
Hard-Hit %39%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 BF
Season.007136 BF
Last 2 Years.0151079 BF
wOBA allowed.344
Hard-Hit %36%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.03878 PA
Last 2 Years.037430 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.01567 PA
Last 2 Years.014357 PA

Opposing Starter · Season9 GS

W–L4–6
ERA5.86
WHIP1.59
IP73.2
H / K / BB87 / 65 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028291 PA
Season.027700 PA
Last 2 Years.0282838 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.323
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.304
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.263
Plate Appearances19

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.153

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+500
CZRCaesars+500
BRBetRivers+410

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.03557 PA
Last 2 Years.015200 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 PA
Season.007136 PA
Last 2 Years.0151079 PA

Opposing Starter · Season9 GS

W–L4–6
ERA5.86
WHIP1.59
IP73.2
H / K / BB87 / 65 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.026155 PA
Season.020556 PA
Last 2 Years.0293191 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.319
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.325
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.116

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+700
BRBetRivers+650

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~2.7× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.00012 PA
Last 2 Years.00018 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.01567 PA
Last 2 Years.014357 PA

Opposing Starter · Season9 GS

W–L4–6
ERA5.86
WHIP1.59
IP73.2
H / K / BB87 / 65 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028291 PA
Season.027700 PA
Last 2 Years.0282838 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.320
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.304
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.121

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05020 PA
Season.01663 PA
Last 2 Years.018397 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.01567 PA
Last 2 Years.014357 PA

Opposing Starter · Season9 GS

W–L4–6
ERA5.86
WHIP1.59
IP73.2
H / K / BB87 / 65 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028291 PA
Season.027700 PA
Last 2 Years.0282838 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.304
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.143
Plate Appearances28

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.103

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+700
BRBetRivers+550

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA
Season.0002 PA
Last 2 Years.024123 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 PA
Season.007136 PA
Last 2 Years.0151079 PA

Opposing Starter · Season9 GS

W–L4–6
ERA5.86
WHIP1.59
IP73.2
H / K / BB87 / 65 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.026155 PA
Season.020556 PA
Last 2 Years.0293191 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -12%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.310
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.325
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.115

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+600
BRBetRivers+540

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.00064 PA
Last 2 Years.014141 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.01567 PA
Last 2 Years.014357 PA

Opposing Starter · Season9 GS

W–L4–6
ERA5.86
WHIP1.59
IP73.2
H / K / BB87 / 65 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028291 PA
Season.027700 PA
Last 2 Years.0282838 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.304
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.098

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+900
CZRCaesars+850
BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.5002 PA
Season.05917 PA
Last 2 Years.010207 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.01567 PA
Last 2 Years.014357 PA

Opposing Starter · Season9 GS

W–L4–6
ERA5.86
WHIP1.59
IP73.2
H / K / BB87 / 65 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028291 PA
Season.027700 PA
Last 2 Years.0282838 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.308
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.304
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances18

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.102

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.0006 PA
Last 2 Years.00070 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.01567 PA
Last 2 Years.014357 PA

Opposing Starter · Season9 GS

W–L4–6
ERA5.86
WHIP1.59
IP73.2
H / K / BB87 / 65 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028291 PA
Season.027700 PA
Last 2 Years.0282838 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.315
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.304
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.098

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08312 PA
Season.05139 PA
Last 2 Years.020198 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 PA
Season.007136 PA
Last 2 Years.0151079 PA

Opposing Starter · Season9 GS

W–L4–6
ERA5.86
WHIP1.59
IP73.2
H / K / BB87 / 65 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.026155 PA
Season.020556 PA
Last 2 Years.0293191 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.325
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.300
Plate Appearances20

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.112

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+850
BRBetRivers+750
BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.