MatchWiz Plays
Home Runs · Sunday, May 24, 2026

WSH @ ATL Home Runs matchups · Sunday, May 24, 2026

WSH
WSH
Washington Nationals
21
Final
ATL
Atlanta Braves
ATL
Truist ParkElevation 1,001 ftCenter Field 400 ft 79°F CloudyWind 7 mph, L To R

WSH WSH Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 BF
Season.02246 BF
Last 2 Years.017178 BF
wOBA allowed.280
Hard-Hit %39%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04323 BF
Season.034117 BF
Last 2 Years.037561 BF
wOBA allowed.279
Hard-Hit %41%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~2.8× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.03683 PA
Last 2 Years.037435 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.02246 PA
Last 2 Years.017178 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L6–4
ERA3.00
WHIP1.13
IP72.0
H / K / BB54 / 60 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.035229 PA
Season.029729 PA
Last 2 Years.0293348 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.326
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.306
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.169

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+390
BRBetRivers+380

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA
Season.03361 PA
Last 2 Years.015204 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04323 PA
Season.034117 PA
Last 2 Years.037561 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L6–4
ERA3.00
WHIP1.13
IP72.0
H / K / BB54 / 60 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.026191 PA
Season.023665 PA
Last 2 Years.0304028 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.315
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.129

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.3333 PA
Season.05618 PA
Last 2 Years.010207 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.02246 PA
Last 2 Years.017178 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L6–4
ERA3.00
WHIP1.13
IP72.0
H / K / BB54 / 60 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.035229 PA
Season.029729 PA
Last 2 Years.0293348 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.307
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.306
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.126

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05319 PA
Season.01568 PA
Last 2 Years.018399 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.02246 PA
Last 2 Years.017178 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L6–4
ERA3.00
WHIP1.13
IP72.0
H / K / BB54 / 60 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.035229 PA
Season.029729 PA
Last 2 Years.0293348 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.319
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.306
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250
Plate Appearances8

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.117

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+625
BRBetRivers+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA
Season.0007 PA
Last 2 Years.023128 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04323 PA
Season.034117 PA
Last 2 Years.037561 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L6–4
ERA3.00
WHIP1.13
IP72.0
H / K / BB54 / 60 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.026191 PA
Season.023665 PA
Last 2 Years.0304028 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.308
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.129

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+625
BRBetRivers+550

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.00068 PA
Last 2 Years.014145 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.02246 PA
Last 2 Years.017178 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L6–4
ERA3.00
WHIP1.13
IP72.0
H / K / BB54 / 60 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.035229 PA
Season.029729 PA
Last 2 Years.0293348 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.309
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.306
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.667
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.116

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+850
BRBetRivers+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA
Season.01953 PA
Last 2 Years.007272 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04323 PA
Season.034117 PA
Last 2 Years.037561 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L6–4
ERA3.00
WHIP1.13
IP72.0
H / K / BB54 / 60 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.026191 PA
Season.023665 PA
Last 2 Years.0304028 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.308
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.092

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+1100
BRBetRivers+1000

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA
Season.00050 PA
Last 2 Years.018111 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04323 PA
Season.034117 PA
Last 2 Years.037561 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L6–4
ERA3.00
WHIP1.13
IP72.0
H / K / BB54 / 60 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.026191 PA
Season.023665 PA
Last 2 Years.0304028 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.107

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+1300
BRBetRivers+1100

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 7-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08312 PA
Season.04643 PA
Last 2 Years.020201 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04323 PA
Season.034117 PA
Last 2 Years.037561 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L6–4
ERA3.00
WHIP1.13
IP72.0
H / K / BB54 / 60 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.026191 PA
Season.023665 PA
Last 2 Years.0304028 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.324
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.124

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+850
BRBetRivers+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

ATL ATL Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09111 BF
Season.04272 BF
Last 2 Years.04272 BF
wOBA allowed.283
Hard-Hit %35%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08336 BF
Season.042165 BF
Last 2 Years.042165 BF
wOBA allowed.325
Hard-Hit %32%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0004 PA
Season.00053 PA
Last 2 Years.027183 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08336 PA
Season.042165 PA
Last 2 Years.042165 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L8–2
ERA2.93
WHIP1.04
IP98.1
H / K / BB77 / 98 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.018226 PA
Season.026717 PA
Last 2 Years.0343641 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.323
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.326
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.149

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+425
BRBetRivers+420

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00024 PA
Season.00073 PA
Last 2 Years.007277 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08336 PA
Season.042165 PA
Last 2 Years.042165 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L8–2
ERA2.93
WHIP1.04
IP98.1
H / K / BB77 / 98 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.018226 PA
Season.026717 PA
Last 2 Years.0343641 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.326
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.104

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+850
CZRCaesars+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03826 PA
Season.04393 PA
Last 2 Years.041439 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09111 PA
Season.04272 PA
Last 2 Years.04272 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L8–2
ERA2.93
WHIP1.04
IP98.1
H / K / BB77 / 98 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.040199 PA
Season.042691 PA
Last 2 Years.0372922 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.329
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.315
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.176

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+350
CZRCaesars+350

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00026 PA
Season.03489 PA
Last 2 Years.026347 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08336 PA
Season.042165 PA
Last 2 Years.042165 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L8–2
ERA2.93
WHIP1.04
IP98.1
H / K / BB77 / 98 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.018226 PA
Season.026717 PA
Last 2 Years.0343641 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.320
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.326
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.129

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+550
CZRCaesars+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA
Season.01375 PA
Last 2 Years.040253 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08336 PA
Season.042165 PA
Last 2 Years.042165 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L8–2
ERA2.93
WHIP1.04
IP98.1
H / K / BB77 / 98 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.018226 PA
Season.026717 PA
Last 2 Years.0343641 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.326
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.14

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+400
BRBetRivers+380

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2.8× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08025 PA
Season.05357 PA
Last 2 Years.040327 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09111 PA
Season.04272 PA
Last 2 Years.04272 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L8–2
ERA2.93
WHIP1.04
IP98.1
H / K / BB77 / 98 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.040199 PA
Season.042691 PA
Last 2 Years.0372922 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.315
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.154

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+575
CZRCaesars+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.02836 PA
Last 2 Years.042143 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08336 PA
Season.042165 PA
Last 2 Years.042165 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L8–2
ERA2.93
WHIP1.04
IP98.1
H / K / BB77 / 98 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.018226 PA
Season.026717 PA
Last 2 Years.0343641 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.326
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.141

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.00015 PA
Last 2 Years.013156 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08336 PA
Season.042165 PA
Last 2 Years.042165 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L8–2
ERA2.93
WHIP1.04
IP98.1
H / K / BB77 / 98 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.018226 PA
Season.026717 PA
Last 2 Years.0343641 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.326
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.105

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+750
BRBetRivers+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0003 PA
Season.0003 PA
Last 2 Years.00010 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08336 PA
Season.042165 PA
Last 2 Years.042165 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L8–2
ERA2.93
WHIP1.04
IP98.1
H / K / BB77 / 98 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.018226 PA
Season.026717 PA
Last 2 Years.0343641 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.319
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.326
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.123

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.