MatchWiz Plays
Home Runs · Tuesday, May 26, 2026

WSH @ CLE Home Runs matchups · Tuesday, May 26, 2026

WSH
WSH
Washington Nationals
63
Final
CLE
Cleveland Guardians
CLE
Progressive FieldElevation 653 ftCenter Field 405 ft 70°F CloudyWind 4 mph, In From CF

WSH WSH Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 BF
Season.02051 BF
Last 2 Years.034206 BF
wOBA allowed.262
Hard-Hit %24%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.01758 BF
Season.028182 BF
Last 2 Years.025591 BF
wOBA allowed.333
Hard-Hit %36%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.03488 PA
Last 2 Years.036440 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.02051 PA
Last 2 Years.034206 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–3
ERA3.87
WHIP1.35
IP86.0
H / K / BB77 / 85 / 39

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.023176 PA
Season.037725 PA
Last 2 Years.0323379 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.325
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.320
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.159

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+400
BRBetRivers+400
CZRCaesars+370

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.03066 PA
Last 2 Years.014209 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.01758 PA
Season.028182 PA
Last 2 Years.025591 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–3
ERA3.87
WHIP1.35
IP86.0
H / K / BB77 / 85 / 39

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.033212 PA
Season.026803 PA
Last 2 Years.0263788 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.310
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.116

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+900
CZRCaesars+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 5 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.00018 PA
Last 2 Years.018110 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.01758 PA
Season.028182 PA
Last 2 Years.025591 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–3
ERA3.87
WHIP1.35
IP86.0
H / K / BB77 / 85 / 39

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.033212 PA
Season.026803 PA
Last 2 Years.0263788 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.319
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.310
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.13

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+625
BRBetRivers+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05020 PA
Season.01472 PA
Last 2 Years.017402 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.02051 PA
Last 2 Years.034206 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–3
ERA3.87
WHIP1.35
IP86.0
H / K / BB77 / 85 / 39

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.023176 PA
Season.037725 PA
Last 2 Years.0323379 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.320
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.108

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+700
BOLBetOnline+600
BRBetRivers+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.00011 PA
Last 2 Years.023132 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.01758 PA
Season.028182 PA
Last 2 Years.025591 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–3
ERA3.87
WHIP1.35
IP86.0
H / K / BB77 / 85 / 39

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.033212 PA
Season.026803 PA
Last 2 Years.0263788 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.310
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.119

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+900
CZRCaesars+700
BOLBetOnline+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA
Season.00073 PA
Last 2 Years.013150 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.02051 PA
Last 2 Years.034206 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–3
ERA3.87
WHIP1.35
IP86.0
H / K / BB77 / 85 / 39

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.023176 PA
Season.037725 PA
Last 2 Years.0323379 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.310
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.320
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.101

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+800
CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+650

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA
Season.01857 PA
Last 2 Years.007275 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.01758 PA
Season.028182 PA
Last 2 Years.025591 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–3
ERA3.87
WHIP1.35
IP86.0
H / K / BB77 / 85 / 39

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.033212 PA
Season.026803 PA
Last 2 Years.0263788 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.310
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.085

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+1300
BRBetRivers+1050

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.00054 PA
Last 2 Years.017115 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.01758 PA
Season.028182 PA
Last 2 Years.025591 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–3
ERA3.87
WHIP1.35
IP86.0
H / K / BB77 / 85 / 39

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.033212 PA
Season.026803 PA
Last 2 Years.0263788 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.323
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.310
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.097

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

CZRCaesars+1300

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07114 PA
Season.04445 PA
Last 2 Years.020203 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.01758 PA
Season.028182 PA
Last 2 Years.025591 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–3
ERA3.87
WHIP1.35
IP86.0
H / K / BB77 / 85 / 39

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.033212 PA
Season.026803 PA
Last 2 Years.0263788 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.310
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.103

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+850
BRBetRivers+800

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

CLE CLE Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03727 BF
Season.015131 BF
Last 2 Years.024255 BF
wOBA allowed.391
Hard-Hit %33%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03826 BF
Season.009112 BF
Last 2 Years.019207 BF
wOBA allowed.256
Hard-Hit %29%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05437 PA
Season.02871 PA
Last 2 Years.02871 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA
Season.015131 PA
Last 2 Years.024255 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.43
IP83.1
H / K / BB90 / 89 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034179 PA
Season.045668 PA
Last 2 Years.0382774 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.335
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.330
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.138

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+1000
CZRCaesars+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02343 PA
Season.017177 PA
Last 2 Years.043999 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA
Season.015131 PA
Last 2 Years.024255 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.43
IP83.1
H / K / BB90 / 89 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034179 PA
Season.045668 PA
Last 2 Years.0382774 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.319
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.330
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.135

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+525
CZRCaesars+500
BOLBetOnline+475

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02540 PA
Season.046151 PA
Last 2 Years.046151 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA
Season.015131 PA
Last 2 Years.024255 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.43
IP83.1
H / K / BB90 / 89 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034179 PA
Season.045668 PA
Last 2 Years.0382774 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.330
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.157

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+625
BRBetRivers+600
BOLBetOnline+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06332 PA
Season.029138 PA
Last 2 Years.046674 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA
Season.015131 PA
Last 2 Years.024255 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.43
IP83.1
H / K / BB90 / 89 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034179 PA
Season.045668 PA
Last 2 Years.0382774 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.320
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.330
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.156

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+550
BRBetRivers+525
CZRCaesars+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.8× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0004 PA
Season.00017 PA
Last 2 Years.00024 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA
Season.015131 PA
Last 2 Years.024255 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.43
IP83.1
H / K / BB90 / 89 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034179 PA
Season.045668 PA
Last 2 Years.0382774 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.330
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.123

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09432 PA
Season.058121 PA
Last 2 Years.029561 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA
Season.015131 PA
Last 2 Years.024255 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.43
IP83.1
H / K / BB90 / 89 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034179 PA
Season.045668 PA
Last 2 Years.0382774 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.307
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.330
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.115

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+800
CZRCaesars+700
BRBetRivers+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00033 PA
Season.007150 PA
Last 2 Years.021895 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA
Season.015131 PA
Last 2 Years.024255 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.43
IP83.1
H / K / BB90 / 89 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034179 PA
Season.045668 PA
Last 2 Years.0382774 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %27%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.330
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.075

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

CZRCaesars+1500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA
Season.05735 PA
Last 2 Years.029240 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03826 PA
Season.009112 PA
Last 2 Years.019207 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.43
IP83.1
H / K / BB90 / 89 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.025241 PA
Season.032805 PA
Last 2 Years.0353631 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.316
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.108

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03231 PA
Season.015136 PA
Last 2 Years.015604 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA
Season.015131 PA
Last 2 Years.024255 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.43
IP83.1
H / K / BB90 / 89 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034179 PA
Season.045668 PA
Last 2 Years.0382774 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.330
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average1.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.084

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+1100
BRBetRivers+1000

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.