MatchWiz Plays
Home Runs · Saturday, May 30, 2026

SF @ COL Home Runs matchups · Saturday, May 30, 2026

SF
SF
San Francisco Giants
38
Final
COL
Colorado Rockies
COL
Coors FieldElevation 5,190 ftCenter Field 415 ft 76°F Partly CloudyWind 4 mph, Out To CF

SF SF Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season.05735 BF
Last 2 Years.027330 BF
wOBA allowed.281
Hard-Hit %30%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season.05753 BF
Last 2 Years.037321 BF
wOBA allowed.459
Hard-Hit %38%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08945 PA
Season.039178 PA
Last 2 Years.0481000 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season.05753 PA
Last 2 Years.037321 PA

Opposing Starter · Season10 GS

W–L2–2
ERA4.79
WHIP1.30
IP47.0
H / K / BB41 / 35 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.033276 PA
Season.025883 PA
Last 2 Years.0353765 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +9%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.335
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.328
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.067
Plate Appearances15

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.21

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+350
BRBetRivers+340
CZRCaesars+330

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.020

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02344 PA
Season.006162 PA
Last 2 Years.007956 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season.05735 PA
Last 2 Years.027330 PA

Opposing Starter · Season10 GS

W–L2–2
ERA4.79
WHIP1.30
IP47.0
H / K / BB41 / 35 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028214 PA
Season.043675 PA
Last 2 Years.0392942 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +9%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.331
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.319
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.300
Plate Appearances10

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.099

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+1300
BRBetRivers+1050

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~2.3× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.042

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09343 PA
Season.062145 PA
Last 2 Years.050420 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season.05753 PA
Last 2 Years.037321 PA

Opposing Starter · Season10 GS

W–L2–2
ERA4.79
WHIP1.30
IP47.0
H / K / BB41 / 35 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.033276 PA
Season.025883 PA
Last 2 Years.0353765 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +9%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.327
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.328
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.204

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+390
CZRCaesars+390

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.040

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04643 PA
Season.037162 PA
Last 2 Years.051899 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season.05735 PA
Last 2 Years.027330 PA

Opposing Starter · Season10 GS

W–L2–2
ERA4.79
WHIP1.30
IP47.0
H / K / BB41 / 35 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028214 PA
Season.043675 PA
Last 2 Years.0392942 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +11%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.342
Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.319
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.229

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+340
CZRCaesars+305
BOLBetOnline+300

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form🔥 6-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.014142 PA
Last 2 Years.012593 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season.05735 PA
Last 2 Years.027330 PA

Opposing Starter · Season10 GS

W–L2–2
ERA4.79
WHIP1.30
IP47.0
H / K / BB41 / 35 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028214 PA
Season.043675 PA
Last 2 Years.0392942 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +10%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.326
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.319
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.12

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+850
BRBetRivers+800

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00043 PA
Season.006173 PA
Last 2 Years.038885 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season.05753 PA
Last 2 Years.037321 PA

Opposing Starter · Season10 GS

W–L2–2
ERA4.79
WHIP1.30
IP47.0
H / K / BB41 / 35 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.033276 PA
Season.025883 PA
Last 2 Years.0353765 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +8%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.328
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances10

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.129

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+525
CZRCaesars+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00029 PA
Season.02050 PA
Last 2 Years.01285 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season.05735 PA
Last 2 Years.027330 PA

Opposing Starter · Season10 GS

W–L2–2
ERA4.79
WHIP1.30
IP47.0
H / K / BB41 / 35 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028214 PA
Season.043675 PA
Last 2 Years.0392942 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +8%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.319
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.133

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+475
BOLBetOnline+450
BRBetRivers+390

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.2005 PA
Season.15819 PA
Last 2 Years.051117 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season.05753 PA
Last 2 Years.037321 PA

Opposing Starter · Season10 GS

W–L2–2
ERA4.79
WHIP1.30
IP47.0
H / K / BB41 / 35 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.033276 PA
Season.025883 PA
Last 2 Years.0353765 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +11%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.326
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.328
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.161

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+625
BRBetRivers+550

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00028 PA
Season.02292 PA
Last 2 Years.028182 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season.05735 PA
Last 2 Years.027330 PA

Opposing Starter · Season10 GS

W–L2–2
ERA4.79
WHIP1.30
IP47.0
H / K / BB41 / 35 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028214 PA
Season.043675 PA
Last 2 Years.0392942 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +9%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.319
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.116

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+950
CZRCaesars+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

COL COL Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00033 BF
Season.043141 BF
Last 2 Years.037458 BF
wOBA allowed.460
Hard-Hit %39%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 BF
Season.02194 BF
Last 2 Years.015410 BF
wOBA allowed.212
Hard-Hit %27%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00043 PA
Season.016126 PA
Last 2 Years.022553 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00033 PA
Season.043141 PA
Last 2 Years.037458 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L2–6
ERA5.53
WHIP1.52
IP68.1
H / K / BB79 / 49 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.017

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.000172 PA
Season.010680 PA
Last 2 Years.0142400 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +10%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.353
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.400
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.115

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+850
BRBetRivers+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02836 PA
Season.041172 PA
Last 2 Years.041172 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00033 PA
Season.043141 PA
Last 2 Years.037458 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L2–6
ERA5.53
WHIP1.52
IP68.1
H / K / BB79 / 49 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.017

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.000172 PA
Season.010680 PA
Last 2 Years.0142400 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.340
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.353
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.167

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+625
BRBetRivers+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.043

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05636 PA
Season.058155 PA
Last 2 Years.057689 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA
Season.02194 PA
Last 2 Years.015410 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L2–6
ERA5.53
WHIP1.52
IP68.1
H / K / BB79 / 49 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.053207 PA
Season.035812 PA
Last 2 Years.0273115 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +8%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.329
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.296
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.125
Plate Appearances8

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.229

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+400
CZRCaesars+370
BRBetRivers+310

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00031 PA
Season.016124 PA
Last 2 Years.018780 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00033 PA
Season.043141 PA
Last 2 Years.037458 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L2–6
ERA5.53
WHIP1.52
IP68.1
H / K / BB79 / 49 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.017

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.000172 PA
Season.010680 PA
Last 2 Years.0142400 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +8%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.353
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.583
Plate Appearances12

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.123

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.8× / ~1.4×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00041 PA
Season.013158 PA
Last 2 Years.022271 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00033 PA
Season.043141 PA
Last 2 Years.037458 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L2–6
ERA5.53
WHIP1.52
IP68.1
H / K / BB79 / 49 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.017

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.000172 PA
Season.010680 PA
Last 2 Years.0142400 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +9%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.342
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.353
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.126

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07739 PA
Season.025163 PA
Last 2 Years.032774 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA
Season.02194 PA
Last 2 Years.015410 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L2–6
ERA5.53
WHIP1.52
IP68.1
H / K / BB79 / 49 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.053207 PA
Season.035812 PA
Last 2 Years.0273115 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +10%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.309
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.296
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.149

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+800
CZRCaesars+700
BRBetRivers+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03529 PA
Season.015129 PA
Last 2 Years.012251 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA
Season.02194 PA
Last 2 Years.015410 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L2–6
ERA5.53
WHIP1.52
IP68.1
H / K / BB79 / 49 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.053207 PA
Season.035812 PA
Last 2 Years.0273115 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +10%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.306
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.296
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.117

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.021

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00032 PA
Season.000103 PA
Last 2 Years.006521 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA
Season.02194 PA
Last 2 Years.015410 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L2–6
ERA5.53
WHIP1.52
IP68.1
H / K / BB79 / 49 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.053207 PA
Season.035812 PA
Last 2 Years.0273115 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +9%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.296
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.286
Plate Appearances7

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.092

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08312 PA
Season.01760 PA
Last 2 Years.01380 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00033 PA
Season.043141 PA
Last 2 Years.037458 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L2–6
ERA5.53
WHIP1.52
IP68.1
H / K / BB79 / 49 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.017

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.000172 PA
Season.010680 PA
Last 2 Years.0142400 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.298
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.353
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.113

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+750
BRBetRivers+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.