MatchWiz Plays
Home Runs · Friday, June 5, 2026

CIN @ STL Home Runs matchups · Friday, June 5, 2026

CIN
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
310
Final
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
STL
Busch StadiumElevation 460 ftCenter Field 400 ft 83°F Partly CloudyWind 11 mph, Out To LF

CIN CIN Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08723 BF
Season.044136 BF
Last 2 Years.035348 BF
wOBA allowed.428
Hard-Hit %49%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 BF
Season.018114 BF
Last 2 Years.013394 BF
wOBA allowed.281
Hard-Hit %33%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02638 PA
Season.03754 PA
Last 2 Years.029105 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA
Season.018114 PA
Last 2 Years.013394 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L5–4
ERA4.25
WHIP1.51
IP76.1
H / K / BB87 / 62 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.011188 PA
Season.024966 PA
Last 2 Years.0263922 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.297
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.152

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.040

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08834 PA
Season.078102 PA
Last 2 Years.040699 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08723 PA
Season.044136 PA
Last 2 Years.035348 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L5–4
ERA4.25
WHIP1.51
IP76.1
H / K / BB87 / 62 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034175 PA
Season.029963 PA
Last 2 Years.0293196 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.335
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.345
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.194

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+420
BOLBetOnline+400
CZRCaesars+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form🔥 7-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00032 PA
Season.023176 PA
Last 2 Years.034931 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA
Season.018114 PA
Last 2 Years.013394 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L5–4
ERA4.25
WHIP1.51
IP76.1
H / K / BB87 / 62 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.011188 PA
Season.024966 PA
Last 2 Years.0263922 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.297
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.125
Plate Appearances8

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.156

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+575
BOLBetOnline+550
CZRCaesars+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00033 PA
Season.040202 PA
Last 2 Years.047253 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA
Season.018114 PA
Last 2 Years.013394 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L5–4
ERA4.25
WHIP1.51
IP76.1
H / K / BB87 / 62 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.011188 PA
Season.024966 PA
Last 2 Years.0263922 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.327
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.297
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.173

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+525
CZRCaesars+475
BOLBetOnline+450

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.040

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09731 PA
Season.069131 PA
Last 2 Years.041888 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08723 PA
Season.044136 PA
Last 2 Years.035348 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L5–4
ERA4.25
WHIP1.51
IP76.1
H / K / BB87 / 62 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034175 PA
Season.029963 PA
Last 2 Years.0293196 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.338
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.345
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.375
Plate Appearances8

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.192

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+575
CZRCaesars+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2.2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00029 PA
Season.019107 PA
Last 2 Years.064861 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA
Season.018114 PA
Last 2 Years.013394 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L5–4
ERA4.25
WHIP1.51
IP76.1
H / K / BB87 / 62 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.011188 PA
Season.024966 PA
Last 2 Years.0263922 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.329
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.297
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.184

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+425
BRBetRivers+410

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.00020 PA
Last 2 Years.034473 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA
Season.018114 PA
Last 2 Years.013394 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L5–4
ERA4.25
WHIP1.51
IP76.1
H / K / BB87 / 62 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.011188 PA
Season.024966 PA
Last 2 Years.0263922 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +9%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.297
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.129

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04821 PA
Season.030132 PA
Last 2 Years.035664 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA
Season.018114 PA
Last 2 Years.013394 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L5–4
ERA4.25
WHIP1.51
IP76.1
H / K / BB87 / 62 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.011188 PA
Season.024966 PA
Last 2 Years.0263922 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.297
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.143

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+600
CZRCaesars+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08723 PA
Season.044136 PA
Last 2 Years.035348 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L5–4
ERA4.25
WHIP1.51
IP76.1
H / K / BB87 / 62 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034175 PA
Season.029963 PA
Last 2 Years.0293196 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.345
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.129

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

STL STL Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 BF
Season.068148 BF
Last 2 Years.043840 BF
wOBA allowed.449
Hard-Hit %37%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.2867 BF
Season.06790 BF
Last 2 Years.024620 BF
wOBA allowed.375
Hard-Hit %34%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.026587 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.068148 PA
Last 2 Years.043840 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–6
ERA4.81
WHIP1.51
IP73.0
H / K / BB85 / 59 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.025157 PA
Season.036644 PA
Last 2 Years.0292277 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.315
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.351
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.267
Plate Appearances15

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.15

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+475
BRBetRivers+420

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02639 PA
Season.021195 PA
Last 2 Years.025595 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.2867 PA
Season.06790 PA
Last 2 Years.024620 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–6
ERA4.81
WHIP1.51
IP73.0
H / K / BB85 / 59 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.044158 PA
Season.038731 PA
Last 2 Years.0353590 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.329
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.111
Plate Appearances9

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.145

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+550
CZRCaesars+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00037 PA
Season.033184 PA
Last 2 Years.037927 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.068148 PA
Last 2 Years.043840 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–6
ERA4.81
WHIP1.51
IP73.0
H / K / BB85 / 59 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.025157 PA
Season.036644 PA
Last 2 Years.0292277 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.342
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.351
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances10

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.183

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+450
BRBetRivers+410
CZRCaesars+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05437 PA
Season.057192 PA
Last 2 Years.032559 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.2867 PA
Season.06790 PA
Last 2 Years.024620 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–6
ERA4.81
WHIP1.51
IP73.0
H / K / BB85 / 59 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.044158 PA
Season.038731 PA
Last 2 Years.0353590 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.111
Plate Appearances9

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.186

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+400
BRBetRivers+370
CZRCaesars+350

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.6× / ~1.6×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04224 PA
Season.04224 PA
Last 2 Years.04224 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.068148 PA
Last 2 Years.043840 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–6
ERA4.81
WHIP1.51
IP73.0
H / K / BB85 / 59 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.025157 PA
Season.036644 PA
Last 2 Years.0292277 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.325
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.351
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.15

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+950
CZRCaesars+950

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02737 PA
Season.012171 PA
Last 2 Years.017862 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.2867 PA
Season.06790 PA
Last 2 Years.024620 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–6
ERA4.81
WHIP1.51
IP73.0
H / K / BB85 / 59 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.044158 PA
Season.038731 PA
Last 2 Years.0353590 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.304
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250
Plate Appearances8

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.102

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+950
BRBetRivers+800

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1119 PA
Season.02935 PA
Last 2 Years.016124 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.2867 PA
Season.06790 PA
Last 2 Years.024620 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–6
ERA4.81
WHIP1.51
IP73.0
H / K / BB85 / 59 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.044158 PA
Season.038731 PA
Last 2 Years.0353590 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.323
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.133

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA
Season.0008 PA
Last 2 Years.00046 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.068148 PA
Last 2 Years.043840 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–6
ERA4.81
WHIP1.51
IP73.0
H / K / BB85 / 59 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.025157 PA
Season.036644 PA
Last 2 Years.0292277 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.306
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.351
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.118

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00025 PA
Season.009118 PA
Last 2 Years.014511 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.068148 PA
Last 2 Years.043840 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–6
ERA4.81
WHIP1.51
IP73.0
H / K / BB85 / 59 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.025157 PA
Season.036644 PA
Last 2 Years.0292277 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.294
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.351
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.125
Plate Appearances8

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.085

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+1150
CZRCaesars+1100

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.