MatchWiz Plays
Home Runs · Sunday, June 28, 2026

COL @ MIN Home Runs matchups · Sunday, June 28, 2026

COL
COL
Colorado Rockies
vs
2:10 PM EDT
MIN
Minnesota Twins
MIN
Target FieldElevation 828 ftCenter Field 404 ft 74°F OvercastWind 17 mph, In From RF

COL COL Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 BF
Season.01661 BF
Last 2 Years.01661 BF
wOBA allowed.326
Hard-Hit %30%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04347 BF
Season.027186 BF
Last 2 Years.027186 BF
wOBA allowed.332
Hard-Hit %31%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA
Season.01189 PA
Last 2 Years.021286 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 22vs BOS0
Jun 23vs BOS1
Jun 24vs BOS0
Jun 26@ MIN0
Jun 27@ MIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04347 PA
Season.027186 PA
Last 2 Years.027186 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L2–5
ERA5.17
WHIP1.42
IP55.2
H / K / BB56 / 55 / 23

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034148 PA
Season.023868 PA
Last 2 Years.0282853 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.315
Hard-Hit %27%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.332
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.078

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+625
BRBetRivers+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.03360 PA
Last 2 Years.013232 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 22vs BOS0
Jun 23vs BOS0
Jun 24vs BOS0
Jun 26@ MIN0
Jun 27@ MIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04347 PA
Season.027186 PA
Last 2 Years.027186 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L2–5
ERA5.17
WHIP1.42
IP55.2
H / K / BB56 / 55 / 23

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034148 PA
Season.023868 PA
Last 2 Years.0282853 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.301
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.332
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.082

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+750
BRBetRivers+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.056

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.14321 PA
Season.07198 PA
Last 2 Years.057297 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 22vs BOS0
Jun 23vs BOS0
Jun 24vs BOS0
Jun 26@ MIN1
Jun 27@ MIN3

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04347 PA
Season.027186 PA
Last 2 Years.027186 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L2–5
ERA5.17
WHIP1.42
IP55.2
H / K / BB56 / 55 / 23

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034148 PA
Season.023868 PA
Last 2 Years.0282853 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.357
Hard-Hit %41%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.332
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.289

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+305
BRBetRivers+275

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form🔥 10-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.021

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA
Season.01187 PA
Last 2 Years.01187 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 22vs BOS0
Jun 23vs BOS0
Jun 24vs BOS0
Jun 26@ MIN0
Jun 27@ MIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.01661 PA
Last 2 Years.01661 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L2–5
ERA5.17
WHIP1.42
IP55.2
H / K / BB56 / 55 / 23

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.035172 PA
Season.0301044 PA
Last 2 Years.0353020 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.315
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.091

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+850
BRBetRivers+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 21vs PIT0
Jun 22vs BOS0
Jun 24vs BOS0
Jun 26@ MIN0
Jun 27@ MIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04347 PA
Season.027186 PA
Last 2 Years.027186 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L2–5
ERA5.17
WHIP1.42
IP55.2
H / K / BB56 / 55 / 23

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034148 PA
Season.023868 PA
Last 2 Years.0282853 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.332
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.131

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+700
BRBetRivers+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2.5× / ~1.6×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.017

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.01188 PA
Last 2 Years.008122 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 21vs PIT0
Jun 22vs BOS0
Jun 24vs BOS0
Jun 26@ MIN0
Jun 27@ MIN1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04347 PA
Season.027186 PA
Last 2 Years.027186 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L2–5
ERA5.17
WHIP1.42
IP55.2
H / K / BB56 / 55 / 23

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034148 PA
Season.023868 PA
Last 2 Years.0282853 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.332
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.094

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

CZRCaesars+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1258 PA
Season.01760 PA
Last 2 Years.01568 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 22vs BOS0
Jun 23vs BOS0
Jun 24vs BOS0
Jun 26@ MIN0
Jun 27@ MIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.01661 PA
Last 2 Years.01661 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L2–5
ERA5.17
WHIP1.42
IP55.2
H / K / BB56 / 55 / 23

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.035172 PA
Season.0301044 PA
Last 2 Years.0353020 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.276
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.093

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

CZRCaesars+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 15@ CHC0
Jun 19vs PIT0
Jun 21vs PIT0
Jun 22vs BOS0
Jun 24vs BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04347 PA
Season.027186 PA
Last 2 Years.027186 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L2–5
ERA5.17
WHIP1.42
IP55.2
H / K / BB56 / 55 / 23

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034148 PA
Season.023868 PA
Last 2 Years.0282853 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.332
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.117

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+700
BRBetRivers+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.018

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.00076 PA
Last 2 Years.018280 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 22vs BOS0
Jun 23vs BOS1
Jun 24vs BOS0
Jun 26@ MIN0
Jun 27@ MIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04347 PA
Season.027186 PA
Last 2 Years.027186 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L2–5
ERA5.17
WHIP1.42
IP55.2
H / K / BB56 / 55 / 23

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034148 PA
Season.023868 PA
Last 2 Years.0282853 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.288
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.332
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.057

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

CZRCaesars+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form🔥 15-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.011

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA
Season.00050 PA
Last 2 Years.000198 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 22vs BOS0
Jun 23vs BOS0
Jun 24vs BOS0
Jun 26@ MIN1
Jun 27@ MIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.01661 PA
Last 2 Years.01661 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L2–5
ERA5.17
WHIP1.42
IP55.2
H / K / BB56 / 55 / 23

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.035172 PA
Season.0301044 PA
Last 2 Years.0353020 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.319
Hard-Hit %26%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.047

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.06531 PA
Last 2 Years.035114 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 22vs BOS0
Jun 23vs BOS0
Jun 24vs BOS0
Jun 26@ MIN0
Jun 27@ MIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.01661 PA
Last 2 Years.01661 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L2–5
ERA5.17
WHIP1.42
IP55.2
H / K / BB56 / 55 / 23

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.035172 PA
Season.0301044 PA
Last 2 Years.0353020 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.293
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.125

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0003 PA
Season.00031 PA
Last 2 Years.02934 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 13@ ATH1
Jun 15@ CHC0
Jun 16@ CHC0
Jun 21vs PIT0
Jun 27@ MIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.01661 PA
Last 2 Years.01661 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L2–5
ERA5.17
WHIP1.42
IP55.2
H / K / BB56 / 55 / 23

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.035172 PA
Season.0301044 PA
Last 2 Years.0353020 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -8%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.333
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.106

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

MIN MIN Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04025 BF
Season.03196 BF
Last 2 Years.021331 BF
wOBA allowed.271
Hard-Hit %31%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 BF
Season.039102 BF
Last 2 Years.038312 BF
wOBA allowed.378
Hard-Hit %40%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05139 PA
Season.019214 PA
Last 2 Years.032877 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 21@ AZ0
Jun 22vs LAD0
Jun 24vs LAD0
Jun 26vs COL0
Jun 27vs COL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04025 PA
Season.03196 PA
Last 2 Years.021331 PA

Opposing Starter · Season10 GS

W–L2–2
ERA4.79
WHIP1.30
IP47.0
H / K / BB41 / 35 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.027186 PA
Season.040903 PA
Last 2 Years.0383146 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.359
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.297
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.123

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+625

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.070

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04544 PA
Season.089237 PA
Last 2 Years.074783 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 22vs LAD1
Jun 23vs LAD0
Jun 24vs LAD0
Jun 26vs COL0
Jun 27vs COL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.039102 PA
Last 2 Years.038312 PA

Opposing Starter · Season10 GS

W–L2–2
ERA4.79
WHIP1.30
IP47.0
H / K / BB41 / 35 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.026189 PA
Season.0261178 PA
Last 2 Years.0324112 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.379
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.335
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-2

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.667
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.348

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+230
CZRCaesars+220

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.049

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05139 PA
Season.047214 PA
Last 2 Years.054575 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 21@ AZ0
Jun 22vs LAD0
Jun 24vs LAD0
Jun 26vs COL1
Jun 27vs COL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04025 PA
Season.03196 PA
Last 2 Years.021331 PA

Opposing Starter · Season10 GS

W–L2–2
ERA4.79
WHIP1.30
IP47.0
H / K / BB41 / 35 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.027186 PA
Season.040903 PA
Last 2 Years.0383146 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.332
Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.297
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-1

Home Runs0 in 1 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.224

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+400
BRBetRivers+390

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2.4× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02442 PA
Season.034147 PA
Last 2 Years.030595 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 22vs LAD0
Jun 23vs LAD0
Jun 24vs LAD0
Jun 26vs COL0
Jun 27vs COL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.039102 PA
Last 2 Years.038312 PA

Opposing Starter · Season10 GS

W–L2–2
ERA4.79
WHIP1.30
IP47.0
H / K / BB41 / 35 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.026189 PA
Season.0261178 PA
Last 2 Years.0324112 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.285
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.335
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.105

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+400
BRBetRivers+380

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.040

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07739 PA
Season.051216 PA
Last 2 Years.034698 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 22vs LAD0
Jun 23vs LAD1
Jun 24vs LAD0
Jun 26vs COL1
Jun 27vs COL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04025 PA
Season.03196 PA
Last 2 Years.021331 PA

Opposing Starter · Season10 GS

W–L2–2
ERA4.79
WHIP1.30
IP47.0
H / K / BB41 / 35 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.027186 PA
Season.040903 PA
Last 2 Years.0383146 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.320
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.297
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.127

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+650
CZRCaesars+625

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.013

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00031 PA
Season.005209 PA
Last 2 Years.011350 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 22vs LAD0
Jun 23vs LAD0
Jun 24vs LAD0
Jun 26vs COL0
Jun 27vs COL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.039102 PA
Last 2 Years.038312 PA

Opposing Starter · Season10 GS

W–L2–2
ERA4.79
WHIP1.30
IP47.0
H / K / BB41 / 35 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.026189 PA
Season.0261178 PA
Last 2 Years.0324112 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.331
Hard-Hit %27%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.335
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.049

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

CZRCaesars+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06316 PA
Season.05852 PA
Last 2 Years.037107 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 21@ AZ0
Jun 22vs LAD0
Jun 23vs LAD0
Jun 24vs LAD0
Jun 26vs COL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.039102 PA
Last 2 Years.038312 PA

Opposing Starter · Season10 GS

W–L2–2
ERA4.79
WHIP1.30
IP47.0
H / K / BB41 / 35 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.026189 PA
Season.0261178 PA
Last 2 Years.0324112 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.338
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.335
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.143

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

CZRCaesars+625

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 22vs LAD0
Jun 23vs LAD0
Jun 24vs LAD0
Jun 26vs COL0
Jun 27vs COL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.039102 PA
Last 2 Years.038312 PA

Opposing Starter · Season10 GS

W–L2–2
ERA4.79
WHIP1.30
IP47.0
H / K / BB41 / 35 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.026189 PA
Season.0261178 PA
Last 2 Years.0324112 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.335
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.12

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

CZRCaesars+1100

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.020

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.00027 PA
Last 2 Years.014145 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 11@ DET0
Jun 13vs STL0
Jun 15@ TEX0
Jun 16@ TEX0
Jun 21@ AZ0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.039102 PA
Last 2 Years.038312 PA

Opposing Starter · Season10 GS

W–L2–2
ERA4.79
WHIP1.30
IP47.0
H / K / BB41 / 35 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.026189 PA
Season.0261178 PA
Last 2 Years.0324112 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.323
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.335
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.069

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

CZRCaesars+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2.4× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02639 PA
Season.032216 PA
Last 2 Years.040816 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 22vs LAD0
Jun 23vs LAD0
Jun 24vs LAD0
Jun 26vs COL0
Jun 27vs COL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04025 PA
Season.03196 PA
Last 2 Years.021331 PA

Opposing Starter · Season10 GS

W–L2–2
ERA4.79
WHIP1.30
IP47.0
H / K / BB41 / 35 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.027186 PA
Season.040903 PA
Last 2 Years.0383146 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.330
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.297
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-5

Home Runs0 in 5 PA
Career Average.400
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.15

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06730 PA
Season.026155 PA
Last 2 Years.027596 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 22vs LAD0
Jun 23vs LAD1
Jun 24vs LAD0
Jun 26vs COL0
Jun 27vs COL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04025 PA
Season.03196 PA
Last 2 Years.021331 PA

Opposing Starter · Season10 GS

W–L2–2
ERA4.79
WHIP1.30
IP47.0
H / K / BB41 / 35 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.027186 PA
Season.040903 PA
Last 2 Years.0383146 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.297
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-1

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.113

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00026 PA
Season.022138 PA
Last 2 Years.018221 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 19@ AZ0
Jun 23vs LAD0
Jun 24vs LAD0
Jun 26vs COL0
Jun 27vs COL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04025 PA
Season.03196 PA
Last 2 Years.021331 PA

Opposing Starter · Season10 GS

W–L2–2
ERA4.79
WHIP1.30
IP47.0
H / K / BB41 / 35 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.027186 PA
Season.040903 PA
Last 2 Years.0383146 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.283
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.297
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.064

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.