MatchWiz Plays
Home Runs · Sunday, June 28, 2026

NYY @ BOS Home Runs matchups · Sunday, June 28, 2026

NYY
NYY
New York Yankees
vs
7:20 PM EDT
BOS
Boston Red Sox
BOS
Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft

NYY NYY Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from NYY's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05735 BF
Season.031191 BF
Last 2 Years.032746 BF
wOBA allowed.326
Hard-Hit %32%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04522 BF
Season.025122 BF
Last 2 Years.036666 BF
wOBA allowed.285
Hard-Hit %24%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10030 PA
Season.048126 PA
Last 2 Years.023732 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 23@ DET0
Jun 24@ DET2
Jun 25@ BOS0
Jun 26@ BOS0
Jun 27@ BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA
Season.025122 PA
Last 2 Years.036666 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L9–1
ERA2.95
WHIP1.19
IP76.1
H / K / BB71 / 66 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.031224 PA
Season.0241065 PA
Last 2 Years.0222969 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.291
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.311
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-26

Home Runs0 in 30 PA
Career Average.033
Plate Appearances30
HR · K · BB0 · 8 · 4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.131

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+600
CZRCaesars+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.061

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.14328 PA
Season.078217 PA
Last 2 Years.056746 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 23@ DET0
Jun 24@ DET0
Jun 25@ BOS0
Jun 26@ BOS0
Jun 27@ BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05735 PA
Season.031191 PA
Last 2 Years.032746 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L9–1
ERA2.95
WHIP1.19
IP76.1
H / K / BB71 / 66 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.015138 PA
Season.029516 PA
Last 2 Years.0231519 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.382
Hard-Hit %43%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.320
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-4

Home Runs2 in 6 PA
Career Average.500
Plate Appearances6
HR · K · BB2 · 1 · 2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.391

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+340
CZRCaesars+330

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.042

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.2005 PA
Season.07553 PA
Last 2 Years.036193 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 21vs CIN0
Jun 22@ DET1
Jun 25@ BOS0
Jun 26@ BOS0
Jun 27@ BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA
Season.025122 PA
Last 2 Years.036666 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L9–1
ERA2.95
WHIP1.19
IP76.1
H / K / BB71 / 66 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.031224 PA
Season.0241065 PA
Last 2 Years.0222969 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.311
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head6-for-22

Home Runs0 in 23 PA
Career Average.261
Plate Appearances23
HR · K · BB0 · 6 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.176

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00024 PA
Season.031223 PA
Last 2 Years.039899 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 23@ DET0
Jun 24@ DET0
Jun 25@ BOS0
Jun 26@ BOS0
Jun 27@ BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05735 PA
Season.031191 PA
Last 2 Years.032746 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L9–1
ERA2.95
WHIP1.19
IP76.1
H / K / BB71 / 66 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.015138 PA
Season.029516 PA
Last 2 Years.0231519 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.335
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.320
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-12

Home Runs0 in 15 PA
Career Average.200
Plate Appearances15
HR · K · BB0 · 3 · 2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.139

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+510
CZRCaesars+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04323 PA
Season.04347 PA
Last 2 Years.031416 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 23@ DET0
Jun 24@ DET1
Jun 25@ BOS0
Jun 26@ BOS0
Jun 27@ BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05735 PA
Season.031191 PA
Last 2 Years.032746 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L9–1
ERA2.95
WHIP1.19
IP76.1
H / K / BB71 / 66 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.015138 PA
Season.029516 PA
Last 2 Years.0231519 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.320
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-3

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.667
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.15

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2.8× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07128 PA
Season.024166 PA
Last 2 Years.016569 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 23@ DET0
Jun 24@ DET0
Jun 25@ BOS1
Jun 26@ BOS0
Jun 27@ BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA
Season.025122 PA
Last 2 Years.036666 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L9–1
ERA2.95
WHIP1.19
IP76.1
H / K / BB71 / 66 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.031224 PA
Season.0241065 PA
Last 2 Years.0222969 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.297
Hard-Hit %28%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.311
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-7

Home Runs0 in 7 PA
Career Average.429
Plate Appearances7
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.077

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+900
CZRCaesars+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.019

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA
Season.00021 PA
Last 2 Years.013372 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 16vs CWS0
Jun 21vs CIN0
Jun 24@ DET0
Jun 25@ BOS0
Jun 27@ BOS1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA
Season.025122 PA
Last 2 Years.036666 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L9–1
ERA2.95
WHIP1.19
IP76.1
H / K / BB71 / 66 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.031224 PA
Season.0241065 PA
Last 2 Years.0222969 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.295
Hard-Hit %27%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.311
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.058

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA
Season.00074 PA
Last 2 Years.026726 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 23@ DET0
Jun 24@ DET0
Jun 25@ BOS0
Jun 26@ BOS0
Jun 27@ BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA
Season.025122 PA
Last 2 Years.036666 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L9–1
ERA2.95
WHIP1.19
IP76.1
H / K / BB71 / 66 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.031224 PA
Season.0241065 PA
Last 2 Years.0222969 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.305
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.311
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-8

Home Runs0 in 9 PA
Career Average.111
Plate Appearances9
HR · K · BB0 · 4 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.079

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

CZRCaesars+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.025122 PA
Last 2 Years.045640 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 23@ DET0
Jun 24@ DET0
Jun 25@ BOS0
Jun 26@ BOS0
Jun 27@ BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05735 PA
Season.031191 PA
Last 2 Years.032746 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L9–1
ERA2.95
WHIP1.19
IP76.1
H / K / BB71 / 66 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.015138 PA
Season.029516 PA
Last 2 Years.0231519 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.303
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.320
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-5

Home Runs0 in 5 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.139

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

CZRCaesars+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

BOS BOS Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from BOS's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07713 BF
Season.04347 BF
Last 2 Years.027294 BF
wOBA allowed.344
Hard-Hit %32%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00031 BF
Season.008126 BF
Last 2 Years.0331030 BF
wOBA allowed.276
Hard-Hit %36%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.017

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season.00020 PA
Last 2 Years.008129 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 20@ SEA0
Jun 21@ SEA0
Jun 22@ COL0
Jun 25vs NYY0
Jun 27vs NYY1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07713 PA
Season.04347 PA
Last 2 Years.027294 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L4–2
ERA3.70
WHIP1.28
IP41.1
H / K / BB31 / 46 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034207 PA
Season.0241087 PA
Last 2 Years.0253079 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.302
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.294
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-6

Home Runs0 in 6 PA
Career Average.167
Plate Appearances6
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.074

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.02676 PA
Last 2 Years.032313 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 23@ COL0
Jun 24@ COL0
Jun 25vs NYY0
Jun 26vs NYY0
Jun 27vs NYY0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00031 PA
Season.008126 PA
Last 2 Years.0331030 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L4–2
ERA3.70
WHIP1.28
IP41.1
H / K / BB31 / 46 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.018228 PA
Season.0261203 PA
Last 2 Years.0293494 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.321
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.296
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-14

Home Runs1 in 15 PA
Career Average.200
Plate Appearances15
HR · K · BB1 · 3 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.14

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+800
CZRCaesars+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08312 PA
Season.02099 PA
Last 2 Years.020204 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 23@ COL1
Jun 24@ COL0
Jun 25vs NYY0
Jun 26vs NYY0
Jun 27vs NYY0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07713 PA
Season.04347 PA
Last 2 Years.027294 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L4–2
ERA3.70
WHIP1.28
IP41.1
H / K / BB31 / 46 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034207 PA
Season.0241087 PA
Last 2 Years.0253079 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.358
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.294
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.115

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+525
BRBetRivers+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.042

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA
Season.06182 PA
Last 2 Years.042288 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 23@ COL0
Jun 24@ COL0
Jun 25vs NYY0
Jun 26vs NYY1
Jun 27vs NYY0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00031 PA
Season.008126 PA
Last 2 Years.0331030 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L4–2
ERA3.70
WHIP1.28
IP41.1
H / K / BB31 / 46 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.018228 PA
Season.0261203 PA
Last 2 Years.0293494 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.365
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.296
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-10

Home Runs1 in 10 PA
Career Average.200
Plate Appearances10
HR · K · BB1 · 4 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.203

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+390
CZRCaesars+390

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.020

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA
Season.01281 PA
Last 2 Years.017403 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 22@ COL0
Jun 23@ COL0
Jun 25vs NYY0
Jun 26vs NYY0
Jun 27vs NYY0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07713 PA
Season.04347 PA
Last 2 Years.027294 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L4–2
ERA3.70
WHIP1.28
IP41.1
H / K / BB31 / 46 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034207 PA
Season.0241087 PA
Last 2 Years.0253079 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.281
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.294
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-16

Home Runs0 in 17 PA
Career Average.118
Plate Appearances17
HR · K · BB0 · 5 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.076

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+750
BRBetRivers+650

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA
Season.01662 PA
Last 2 Years.026195 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 23@ COL0
Jun 24@ COL0
Jun 25vs NYY1
Jun 26vs NYY0
Jun 27vs NYY0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00031 PA
Season.008126 PA
Last 2 Years.0331030 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L4–2
ERA3.70
WHIP1.28
IP41.1
H / K / BB31 / 46 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.018228 PA
Season.0261203 PA
Last 2 Years.0293494 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.308
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.296
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.093

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+1150
CZRCaesars+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.0006 PA
Last 2 Years.00010 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 23@ COL0
Jun 24@ COL0
Jun 25vs NYY0
Jun 26vs NYY0
Jun 27vs NYY1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00031 PA
Season.008126 PA
Last 2 Years.0331030 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L4–2
ERA3.70
WHIP1.28
IP41.1
H / K / BB31 / 46 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.018228 PA
Season.0261203 PA
Last 2 Years.0293494 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.355
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.296
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.143

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

CZRCaesars+950

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0004 PA
Season.00029 PA
Last 2 Years.024165 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 19@ SEA0
Jun 20@ SEA0
Jun 24@ COL0
Jun 25vs NYY0
Jun 27vs NYY0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00031 PA
Season.008126 PA
Last 2 Years.0331030 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L4–2
ERA3.70
WHIP1.28
IP41.1
H / K / BB31 / 46 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.018228 PA
Season.0261203 PA
Last 2 Years.0293494 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.320
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.296
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-6

Home Runs1 in 8 PA
Career Average.375
Plate Appearances8
HR · K · BB1 · 2 · 2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.097

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

CZRCaesars+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.0001 PA
Last 2 Years.0002 PA

Last 2 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26vs NYY0
Jun 27vs NYY0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07713 PA
Season.04347 PA
Last 2 Years.027294 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L4–2
ERA3.70
WHIP1.28
IP41.1
H / K / BB31 / 46 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034207 PA
Season.0241087 PA
Last 2 Years.0253079 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.309
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.294
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.11

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.