Best MLB fantasy points matchups — Thursday, May 21, 2026
Every starting pitcher on the Thursday, May 21, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by projected DraftKings fantasy points. Innings, strikeouts, the win, and the runs / hits / walks allowed. Results show how each call played out.
DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.
Projected DK Points16.2 pts
Innings6
Strikeouts5.4
Win probability38%
Earned runs2.7
Hits / Walks5.1 / 2
DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.
Projected DK Points15.9 pts
Innings5.8
Strikeouts5.7
Win probability37%
Earned runs2.8
Hits / Walks5.2 / 2.1
DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.
Projected DK Points15.6 pts
Innings5.9
Strikeouts5.5
Win probability37%
Earned runs2.8
Hits / Walks5.6 / 2.1
DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.
Projected DK Points14.4 pts
Innings5.4
Strikeouts4.6
Win probability37%
Earned runs2.4
Hits / Walks4.1 / 1.8
DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.
Projected DK Points14.0 pts
Innings5.7
Strikeouts4.7
Win probability37%
Earned runs2.6
Hits / Walks5.2 / 2
DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.
Projected DK Points14.0 pts
Innings5.3
Strikeouts4.7
Win probability36%
Earned runs2.5
Hits / Walks4.5 / 1.9
DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.
Projected DK Points13.9 pts
Innings5.3
Strikeouts4.5
Win probability37%
Earned runs2.4
Hits / Walks4.2 / 1.8
DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.
Projected DK Points13.9 pts
Innings5
Strikeouts4.8
Win probability35%
Earned runs2.4
Hits / Walks4 / 1.8
DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.
Projected DK Points13.6 pts
Innings5.9
Strikeouts4.7
Win probability37%
Earned runs2.9
Hits / Walks5.9 / 2.2
DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.
Projected DK Points13.5 pts
Innings4.6
Strikeouts5.1
Win probability34%
Earned runs2.3
Hits / Walks4.6 / 1.7
DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.
Projected DK Points12.6 pts
Innings4.9
Strikeouts4.8
Win probability34%
Earned runs2.5
Hits / Walks5.3 / 1.9
DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.
Projected DK Points7.6 pts
Innings3.4
Strikeouts2.2
Win probability32%
Earned runs1.6
Hits / Walks3.3 / 1.2
DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.
Projected DK Points7.5 pts
Innings2.3
Strikeouts2.4
Win probability30%
Earned runs1.1
Hits / Walks1.8 / 0.8
DraftKings scoring: IP ×2.25, K ×2, Win ×4, ER −2, H −0.6, BB −0.6 — summed from each projected component.
14 with a ptsLive count — updates as games play
1
Braxton AshcraftP
PIT@STL· proj #2
32.15ptsFinal
2
Luis SeverinoP
ATH@LAA· proj #3
29.95ptsFinal
3
Cade CavalliP
WSHvsNYM· proj #12
26.75ptsFinal
4
Spencer StriderP
ATL@MIA· proj #8
26.65ptsFinal
5
Joey CantilloP
CLE@DET· proj #7
25.15ptsFinal
6
José SorianoP
LAAvsATH· proj #1
20.8ptsFinal
7
Eduardo RodriguezP
AZvsCOL· proj #4
20.75ptsFinal
8
Carlos RodónP
NYYvsTOR· proj #9
19.65ptsFinal
9
Zach AgnosP
COL@AZ· proj #13
18.05ptsFinal
10
Casey MizeP
DETvsCLE· proj #5
16.6ptsFinal
11
David PetersonP
NYM@WSH· proj #11
15.05ptsFinal
12
Dustin MayP
STLvsPIT· proj #6
13.2ptsFinal
13
Braydon FisherP
TOR@NYY· proj #14
10.4ptsFinal
14
Sandy AlcantaraP
MIAvsATL· proj #10
2.1ptsFinal
Grades post here as games go final — how often our top-ranked matchups hit, vs the season.
Best MLB Fantasy Points Matchups — Thursday, May 21, 2026
José Soriano (LAA) is the top fantasy points spot on the Thursday, May 21, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 17.3 pts, with Braxton Ashcraft (PIT) right behind. Every starter is ranked by projected DraftKings fantasy points — innings, strikeouts, the win, and the runs / hits / walks allowed. It's the read DFS and pitcher-prop players make before lock.
Top spot: José Soriano
José Soriano (LAA) tops the Thursday, May 21, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 17.3 pts vs ATH. Innings, strikeouts, the win, and the runs / hits / walks allowed.
The rest of the top of the board
Braxton Ashcraft (PIT) (89) — about 16.2 pts vs STL.
Luis Severino (ATH) (86) — about 15.9 pts vs LAA.
Eduardo Rodriguez (AZ) (83) — about 15.6 pts vs COL.
Casey Mize (DET) (70) — about 14.4 pts vs CLE.
Dustin May (STL) (67) — about 14.0 pts vs PIT.
How it played out
The top 10 starts averaged 20.7 pts. José Soriano finished with 20.8. Every projection is graded against the box score.
How to read the fantasy points board
Each starter's score (0–100) ranked by projected DraftKings fantasy points — innings, strikeouts, the win, and the runs / hits / walks allowed. We project a fantasy points count for the start and grade it against what actually happened.
Which pitcher has the best fantasy points matchup today (Thursday, May 21, 2026)?
José Soriano (LAA) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 17.3 pts against ATH.
What are the best pitcher fantasy points props today?
The top projected starts on Thursday, May 21, 2026: José Soriano (~17.3 pts), Braxton Ashcraft (~16.2 pts), Luis Severino (~15.9 pts), Eduardo Rodriguez (~15.6 pts), Casey Mize (~14.4 pts). The full board ranks every starter.
How is the fantasy points score calculated?
Ranked by projected DraftKings fantasy points — innings, strikeouts, the win, and the runs / hits / walks allowed. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected fantasy points count alongside, and graded against the box score.
Can I use this for pitcher props or DFS?
Yes — the board surfaces the best fantasy points spots and projects a number. Where there's a posted line we show the over/under and which side our projection leans. We show the data and grade it, not picks.
