MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Wednesday, June 10, 2026

BOS @ TB Earned Runs matchups · Wednesday, June 10, 2026

BOS
BOS
Boston Red Sox
57
Final
TB
Tampa Bay Rays
TB
Tropicana FieldElevation 15 ftCenter Field 404 ft 72°F DomeWind 0 mph, None

BOS Jake Bennett · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.2 BF

Expected batters faced22.2
From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.5 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-155
BOVBovada+105-145
DKDraftKings+116-154

We project 2.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

TB lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Yandy Díaz (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Austin Slater (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Junior Caminero (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Ryan Vilade (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Jonathan Aranda (L)11.7%2.2 PA
6Ben Williamson (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Nick Fortes (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Cedric Mullins (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Taylor Walls (R)11.7%2.0 PA

TB Drew Rasmussen · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.8%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-165+120
BOVBovada-165+125
DKDraftKings-155+116
FANFanatics-170+120

We project 2.6 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

BOS lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jarren Duran (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Ceddanne Rafaela (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Wilyer Abreu (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Willson Contreras (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Mickey Gasper (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Masataka Yoshida (L)11.7%2.0 PA
7Caleb Durbin (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Andruw Monasterio (R)11.7%2.0 PA