‹ Earned Runs · Wednesday, June 10, 2026
MIN @ DET Earned Runs matchups · Wednesday, June 10, 2026
MIN
Minnesota Twins
6–4
Final
DET
Detroit Tigers
◆ Comerica ParkElevation 600 ftCenter Field 420 ft☀ 87°F Partly CloudyWind 13 mph, R To L
Mike Paredes · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload20.2 BF
Expected batters faced20.2
From recent starts2
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.3 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
DET lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Kevin McGonigle (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Gleyber Torres (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Kerry Carpenter (L)11.7%2.2 PA
4Dillon Dingler (R)11.7%2.0 PA
5Riley Greene (L)11.7%2.0 PA
6Spencer Torkelson (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Colt Keith (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Zach McKinstry (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Zack Short (R)11.7%2.0 PA
Framber Valdez · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.2%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-135
BOVBovada-115-125
FANFanatics-105-135
We project 2.7 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
MIN lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Austin Martin (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Byron Buxton (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Brooks Lee (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Orlando Arcia (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Josh Bell (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Royce Lewis (R)11.7%2.5 PA
7Luke Keaschall (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Ryan Kreidler (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Alex Jackson (R)11.7%2.0 PA