‹ Earned Runs · Thursday, June 11, 2026
LAD @ PIT Earned Runs matchups · Thursday, June 11, 2026
LAD
Los Angeles Dodgers
8–6
Final
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
◆ PNC ParkElevation 780 ftCenter Field 399 ft☀ 72°F OvercastWind 11 mph, Out To LF
Justin Wrobleski · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.5%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload25.5 BF
Expected batters faced25.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.9 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-145
DKDraftKings-101-131
We project 2.9 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
PIT lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Nick Gonzales (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Marcell Ozuna (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Spencer Horwitz (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Esmerlyn Valdez (R)11.7%3.0 PA
7Jake Mangum (R)11.7%3.0 PA
8Rafael Flores Jr. (R)11.7%2.5 PA
9Jared Triolo (R)11.7%2.0 PA
Mitch Keller · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.6%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 3.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-150
DKDraftKings+122-163
FANFanatics+105-150
We project 2.7 ER vs the 3.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
LAD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Shohei Ohtani (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Andy Pages (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Freddie Freeman (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Mookie Betts (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Max Muncy (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Kyle Tucker (L)11.7%2.5 PA
7Ryan Ward (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Dalton Rushing (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Alex Freeland (L)11.7%2.0 PA