‹ Earned Runs · Thursday, June 11, 2026
MIN @ DET Earned Runs matchups · Thursday, June 11, 2026
MIN
Minnesota Twins
0–11
Final
DET
Detroit Tigers
◆ Comerica ParkElevation 600 ftCenter Field 420 ft☀ 82°F Partly CloudyWind 8 mph, L To R
Zebby Matthews · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.9%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.9 BF
Expected batters faced23.9
From recent starts5
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-155+110
BOVBovada-140+100
DKDraftKings-133+101
We project 2.7 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
DET lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Kevin McGonigle (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Gleyber Torres (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Riley Greene (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Dillon Dingler (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Kerry Carpenter (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Colt Keith (L)11.7%2.9 PA
7Spencer Torkelson (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Zach McKinstry (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Jake Rogers (R)11.7%2.0 PA
Keider Montero · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.1%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.5 BF
Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.5 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-135
BOVBovada+100-140
DKDraftKings-111-119
FANFanatics-105-135
We project 2.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
MIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Trevor Larnach (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Byron Buxton (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Kody Clemens (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Josh Bell (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Brooks Lee (L)11.7%2.5 PA
6Royce Lewis (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Victor Caratini (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Tristan Gray (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Austin Martin (R)11.7%2.0 PA