MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Thursday, June 11, 2026

SEA @ BAL Earned Runs matchups · Thursday, June 11, 2026

SEA
SEA
Seattle Mariners
57
Final
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
BAL
Oriole Park at Camden YardsElevation 33 ftCenter Field 410 ft 94°F CloudyWind 6 mph, Out To RF

SEA Bryan Woo · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.8%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-135
BOVBovada+100-140
DKDraftKings+114-151

We project 2.6 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

BAL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Taylor Ward (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Gunnar Henderson (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Adley Rutschman (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Pete Alonso (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Samuel Basallo (L)11.7%2.9 PA
6Leody Taveras (L)11.7%2.0 PA
7Colton Cowser (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Coby Mayo (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Jackson Holliday (L)11.7%2.0 PA

BAL Kyle Bradish · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.6%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.3 BF

Expected batters faced23.3
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-150
BOVBovada+105-145
DKDraftKings-102-131
FANFanatics+105-150

We project 2.6 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

SEA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Cole Young (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Julio Rodríguez (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Josh Naylor (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Randy Arozarena (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Luke Raley (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Dominic Canzone (L)11.7%2.3 PA
7Miles Mastrobuoni (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Jhonny Pereda (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Colt Emerson (L)11.7%2.0 PA