‹ Earned Runs · Friday, June 12, 2026
CHC @ SF Earned Runs matchups · Friday, June 12, 2026
CHC
Chicago Cubs
5–1
Final
SF
San Francisco Giants
◆ Oracle ParkElevation 0 ftCenter Field 391 ft☀ 62°F ClearWind 14 mph, Out To CF
Javier Assad · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.3%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload16.3 BF
Expected batters faced16.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.1 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-135
BOVBovada+105-145
DKDraftKings+114-151
We project 2.1 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
SF lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Luis Arraez (L)13.8%2.0 PA
2Bryce Eldridge (L)15.9%2.0 PA
3Casey Schmitt (R)11.3%2.0 PA
4Rafael Devers (L)14.5%2.0 PA
5Jung Hoo Lee (L)15.2%2.0 PA
6Willy Adames (R)12.3%2.0 PA
7Matt Chapman (R)12.4%2.0 PA
8Drew Gilbert (L)11.4%1.3 PA
9Daniel Susac (R)8.9%1.0 PA
Landen Roupp · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.6%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.9 BF
Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-160
BOVBovada+120-160
DKDraftKings+129-172
FANFanatics+110-155
We project 2.7 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)15.5%3.0 PA
2Alex Bregman (R)12.4%3.0 PA
3Michael Busch (L)12.2%3.0 PA
4Ian Happ (L)15.1%3.0 PA
5Seiya Suzuki (R)12.4%2.9 PA
6Nico Hoerner (R)8.4%2.0 PA
7Moisés Ballesteros (L)9.3%2.0 PA
8Carson Kelly (R)9.7%2.0 PA
9Dansby Swanson (R)12.8%2.0 PA