‹ Earned Runs · Friday, June 12, 2026
MIA @ PIT Earned Runs matchups · Friday, June 12, 2026
MIA
Miami Marlins
8–3
Final
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
◆ PNC ParkElevation 780 ftCenter Field 399 ft☀ 81°F Partly CloudyWind 8 mph, Out To LF
Sandy Alcantara · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.2%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload25.2 BF
Expected batters faced25.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.2 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-165+120
BOVBovada-165+125
DKDraftKings-135+102
FANFanatics-170+120
We project 3.2 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Spencer Horwitz (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)15.4%3.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (L)14.7%3.0 PA
4Ryan O'Hearn (L)12.5%3.0 PA
5Nick Gonzales (R)14.1%3.0 PA
6Tyler Callihan (L)14.7%3.0 PA
7Endy Rodríguez (L)11.9%3.0 PA
8Jake Mangum (L)12.0%2.2 PA
9Jared Triolo (R)9.8%2.0 PA
Braxton Ashcraft · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.3%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload25.0 BF
Expected batters faced25.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.9 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-160
BOVBovada+115-155
DKDraftKings+113-150
We project 2.9 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
MIA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Liam Hicks (L)13.1%3.0 PA
2Otto Lopez (R)14.8%3.0 PA
3Kyle Stowers (L)11.8%3.0 PA
4Xavier Edwards (L)11.5%3.0 PA
5Heriberto Hernández (R)12.3%3.0 PA
6Owen Caissie (L)11.6%3.0 PA
7Jakob Marsee (L)11.2%3.0 PA
8Joe Mack (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Javier Sanoja (R)9.3%2.0 PA