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Earned Runs · Friday, June 12, 2026

AZ @ CIN Earned Runs matchups · Friday, June 12, 2026

AZ
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
52
Final
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
CIN
Great American Ball ParkElevation 535 ftCenter Field 404 ft 80°F ClearWind 8 mph, Out To CF

AZ Eduardo Rodriguez · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.7%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.5 BF

Expected batters faced24.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.9 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-165+120
BOVBovada-150+110
DKDraftKings-154+116

We project 2.9 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

CIN lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Dane Myers (R)12.6%3.0 PA
2JJ Bleday (L)10.6%3.0 PA
3Sal Stewart (R)11.3%3.0 PA
4Spencer Steer (R)14.5%3.0 PA
5Eugenio Suárez (R)11.6%3.0 PA
6Blake Dunn (R)14.0%3.0 PA
7Noelvi Marte (R)13.2%2.5 PA
8Tyler Stephenson (R)10.2%2.0 PA
9Matt McLain (R)13.5%2.0 PA

CIN Nick Lodolo · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.5%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.8 BF

Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.8 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140+100
BOVBovada-120-120
DKDraftKings-118-112
FANFanatics-130-110

We project 2.8 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

AZ lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Ketel Marte (R)14.3%3.0 PA
2Corbin Carroll (L)12.1%3.0 PA
3Gabriel Moreno (R)13.5%3.0 PA
4Nolan Arenado (R)12.7%3.0 PA
5Ildemaro Vargas (R)12.9%3.0 PA
6Geraldo Perdomo (R)10.0%2.8 PA
7Jordan Lawlar (R)11.5%2.0 PA
8LuJames Groover (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Ryan Waldschmidt (R)11.5%2.0 PA