MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Friday, June 12, 2026

TEX @ BOS Earned Runs matchups · Friday, June 12, 2026

TEX
TEX
Texas Rangers
110
Final
BOS
Boston Red Sox
BOS
Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft 82°F Partly CloudyWind 2 mph, L To R

TEX Jack Leiter · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.3%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.3 BF

Expected batters faced24.3
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-120
BOVBovada-135-105
DKDraftKings-124-107
FANFanatics-115-125

We project 2.6 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

BOS lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Mickey Gasper (L)12.6%3.0 PA
2Ceddanne Rafaela (R)9.4%3.0 PA
3Wilyer Abreu (L)9.5%3.0 PA
4Willson Contreras (R)10.0%3.0 PA
5Jarren Duran (L)11.9%3.0 PA
6Caleb Durbin (R)11.2%3.0 PA
7Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)14.2%2.3 PA
8Marcelo Mayer (L)10.4%2.0 PA
9Connor Wong (R)10.7%2.0 PA

BOS Sonny Gray · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.6%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.5 BF

Expected batters faced21.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.4 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+125-175
BOVBovada+115-155
DKDraftKings-102-130

We project 2.4 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

TEX lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Joc Pederson (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Josh Jung (R)11.2%3.0 PA
3Brandon Nimmo (L)11.1%3.0 PA
4Wyatt Langford (R)12.3%2.5 PA
5Ezequiel Duran (R)12.7%2.0 PA
6Evan Carter (L)12.0%2.0 PA
7Jake Burger (R)11.3%2.0 PA
8Kyle Higashioka (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Nicky Lopez (L)10.7%2.0 PA