‹ Earned Runs · Saturday, June 13, 2026
PHI @ MIL Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, June 13, 2026
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
9–8
Final
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers
◆ American Family FieldElevation 597 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 82°F Partly CloudyWind 14 mph, R To L
Aaron Nola · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)21.7%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.9 BF
Expected batters faced21.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection3.1 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135-105
BOVBovada-115-125
DKDraftKings-128-103
FANFanatics-155+110
We project 3.1 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
MIL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Christian Yelich (L)18.2%3.0 PA
2Jackson Chourio (R)15.8%3.0 PA
3Brice Turang (L)16.5%3.0 PA
4William Contreras (R)11.3%2.9 PA
5Jake Bauers (L)16.4%2.0 PA
6Garrett Mitchell (L)13.9%2.0 PA
7Sal Frelick (L)11.3%2.0 PA
8David Hamilton (L)14.4%2.0 PA
9Joey Ortiz (R)11.5%2.0 PA
Shane Drohan · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload14.9 BF
Expected batters faced14.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.7 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-165+120
BOVBovada-165+125
DKDraftKings-133+100
We project 1.7 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
PHI lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Kyle Schwarber (L)14.3%2.0 PA
2Trea Turner (R)14.7%2.0 PA
3Bryce Harper (L)12.5%2.0 PA
4Alec Bohm (R)9.1%2.0 PA
5Brandon Marsh (L)11.9%2.0 PA
6Edmundo Sosa (R)11.6%1.9 PA
7Bryson Stott (L)10.3%1.0 PA
8J.T. Realmuto (R)9.7%1.0 PA
9Derek Hill (R)12.2%1.0 PA