‹ Earned Runs · Saturday, June 13, 2026
HOU @ KC Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, June 13, 2026
HOU
Houston Astros
8–7
Final
KC
Kansas City Royals
◆ Kauffman StadiumElevation 856 ftCenter Field 410 ft☀ 84°F Partly CloudyWind 5 mph, R To L
Mike Burrows · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.4%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.8 BF
Expected batters faced24.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 3.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-150
DKDraftKings+113-150
We project 2.7 ER vs the 3.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
KC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Carter Jensen (L)12.7%3.0 PA
2Bobby Witt Jr. (R)12.0%3.0 PA
3Vinnie Pasquantino (L)11.6%3.0 PA
4Maikel Garcia (R)10.9%3.0 PA
5Jac Caglianone (L)11.9%3.0 PA
6Salvador Perez (R)8.4%3.0 PA
7Michael Massey (L)11.2%2.8 PA
8Lane Thomas (R)11.0%2.0 PA
9Kameron Misner (L)11.2%2.0 PA
Noah Cameron · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.7%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.2 BF
Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-118
BOVBovada-105-135
DKDraftKings-108-123
FANFanatics-120-120
We project 2.7 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
HOU lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Jeremy Peña (R)12.7%3.0 PA
2Yordan Alvarez (L)12.0%3.0 PA
3Christian Walker (R)12.5%3.0 PA
4Isaac Paredes (R)10.9%3.0 PA
5Jose Altuve (R)14.6%3.0 PA
6Cam Smith (R)11.4%2.2 PA
7Jake Meyers (R)11.0%2.0 PA
8Brice Matthews (R)8.8%2.0 PA
9Christian Vázquez (R)11.2%2.0 PA